Alot of shifting now targeting Louisiana!!

[Comanche]

Right at the close of NYMEX trading today, all the prominent forecasters from various energy companies in house forecasters have shifted to a Louisiana coastal strike now, including some prominent public forecasters. What has changed so drastically that has spawned this sudden shift much further west?

By the way, better fill up every gasoline orifice you have now no matter where you live goegraphically, if this were to hit the LA coast it could have major implication in the refined products!! You ain't seen nuthin' yet!

[krysof]

The high pressure was much stronger than anticipated and it hasn't broken down at all.

[krysof]

The high pressure was much stronger than anticipated and it hasn't broken down at all.

[skysummit]

Yes, we know.

[Air Force Met]

[JTD]

Wow, if that isn't a consensus, I don't know what is

[x-y-no]

I'm kind of stunned at how much the European model deepens Katrina. Takes her down to 966mb in 72 hours, which doesn't sound so bad unless one considers that it initialized the storm at 1005mb, and generally underplays deepening.

EDIT: Oh, and, takes her straight over New Orleans.

[krysof]

Then New Orleans is in huge trouble.

[killah]

Air Force Met, please post a link to that site where you got the computer models please.

[MSRobi911]

Man oh Man, AirForceMet why you wanna go and post that picture? (I'm joking..haven't seen you in a while)

It's looking bad for the home team here in Mississippi, but we will survive....we made it thru Camille, Frederic, Elena, Georges, et. all so if the Good Lord is willing we will make it thru this one.

I am keeping everyone in the path of this storm in my prayers and hopefully the rest of you will too.

Mary

[Air Force Met]

Air Force Met, please post a link to that site where you got the computer models please.

http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/%7Evigh/guidance/

[Tallygrl]

Air Force Met, please post a link to that site where you got the computer models please.

http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/~vigh/guidance/

[Portastorm]

Here's my question: isn't the subtropical ridge from Texas east into the southeast Atlantic supposed to re-strengthen and rebuild early next week? If so, then how is Katrina going to pull a hard right-hand turn into the Gulf Coast? Granted storm speed is at play here ... but wouldn't the turn be more gradual?

I will defer to the great pro mets on our board, but I'm feeling less confident that the modeling has a good grip on this storm.

[tw861]

Problem is most of those models already have her moving west or west northwest. Only a couple have her still moving wsw as she is now.

[killah]

Thanks a lot guys.

[Houstonia]

Air Force Met, please post a link to that site where you got the computer models please.

http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/%7Evigh/guidance/

I have looked and looked on this page - where exactly is that model graphic that you posted?

thanks!

~H~

[PTrackerLA]

I'm absolutely stunned by those models. There aren't models ANYWHERE near the NHC track. I think the NHC holding on to their current track is irresponsible as New Orleans citizens currently all think that Katrina is no threat.

[HurryKane]

Air Force Met, please post a link to that site where you got the computer models please.

http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/%7Evigh/guidance/

I have looked and looked on this page - where exactly is that model graphic that you posted?

thanks!

~H~

Atlantic Basin, Early cycle track guidance, frame 2.

[Brent]

[smashmode]

Where is NOLA in that spaghetti mess?

I cant tell?