Katrina's Stalled

[Liberty30]

Obvious from the radar loops that the storm has stalled. This throws a monkey wrench into the last model runs and current track, as depending on how long the storm stays stalled, the track could greatly vary. Key West has absolutely gotten hammered by this storm.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar/loop/DS. ... kbyx.shtml

[skysummit]

I don't think you can really rely too much on just radar right now. The radar beam is around 7000ft near the eye. We need her eye to open up on satellite to have a better understanding on what she's going to do.

[loon]

I don't know that its "obvious", the center is pretty far away from radar, and due to distance from and angle of the radar, its quite possible you/we aren't seeing everything in the center...just my thought...

cheers,
loon

[ohiostorm]

Stalling some on sat too but I think its because shes getting ready to make her turn more northerly.

[ALhurricane]

Recon fixes continue to indicate a WSW motion.

[shaggy]

officially she is stil WSW at 8mph so thats the official motion according to recon and NHC (for now)

[gtalum]

Stalling some on sat too but I think its because shes getting ready to make her turn more northerly.

...imagining her turn signal blinking as she brakes for her right turn.

[hicksta]

Stalling some on sat too but I think its because shes getting ready to make her turn more northerly.

Hmm.. doubt it.

[loon]

Its best to watch recon fixes, they *know* where the center is, and which way it travels, much more than our eyes see..

loon

[skysummit]

Stalling some on sat too but I think its because shes getting ready to make her turn more northerly.

Hmm...I don't think she can turn north right now. That would be going against the flow.

[Air Force Met]

Obvious from the radar loops that the storm has stalled. This throws a monkey wrench into the last model runs and current track, as depending on how long the storm stays stalled, the track could greatly vary. Key West has absolutely gotten hammered by this storm.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar/loop/DS. ... kbyx.shtml

Not obvious. When your loop is only an hour long...and the storm is only moving at 8mph...it's hard to tell any movement. Recon shows it's still moving.

[krysof]

Katrina isn't making things easy on us. For such a complex storm, there will be a complex path.

[Opal storm]

Stalling some on sat too but I think its because shes getting ready to make her turn more northerly.

Hmm.. doubt it.

Actually I really don't see a WSW movement anymore,looks to be drifting west.I wouldn't doubt if it is starting to head more W/WNW.

[hicksta]

Stalling some on sat too but I think its because shes getting ready to make her turn more northerly.

Hmm.. doubt it.

Actually I really don't see a WSW movement anymore,looks to be drifting west.I wouldn't doubt if it is starting to head more W/WNW.

Recon... says its going wsw. Recon has the eye pinpointed. Recon doesnt guess from satalite they do it from plots. Recon for the win.

[greeng13]

Stalling some on sat too but I think its because shes getting ready to make her turn more northerly.

...imagining her turn signal blinking as she brakes for her right turn.

probably not going to florida again because not many use their turn signals down there lol.

[dixiebreeze]

Stalling some on sat too but I think its because shes getting ready to make her turn more northerly.

Bingo.

[Rainband]

Stalling some on sat too but I think its because shes getting ready to make her turn more northerly.

Bingo.

Dixie it's time for me to eat crow There is nothing to bring this storm anywhere near us. It is highly unlikely..hopefully it shifts west again Texas needs the rain and a N.O hit would be unimaginable. WE dodged the bullet agaiin!!

[dixiebreeze]

Stalling some on sat too but I think its because shes getting ready to make her turn more northerly.

Bingo.

Dixie it's time for me to eat crow There is nothing to bring this storm anywhere near us. It is highly unlikely..hopefully it shifts west again Texas needs the rain and a N.O hit would be unimaginable. WE dodged the bullet agaiin!!

Rainband, You may be right, but I'm not yet convinced it will move a whole lot farther west before making the turn. Since I've called this system correctly for the past couple of weeks, I'll stick with my hunch --- for now.

That said, I hope you're right -

[Emmett_Brown]

Hello,

First post here, but have posted for the past 5 years on TWC, so have talked to some of you before...

Looking at radar, she is exhibiting slightly different behavior:

1. Persistent WSW motion has at least paused over the past hour. Take that for what it's worth

2. Eye wall is beginning to close again on the NW side. May mean northerly shear is lessening. Recon observed open eye to the NW, so I was not imaging it.

3. Dry air is slowly mixing out and storm is becoming more symmetrical. Look for winds to jump this evening, approaching cat 3.

[stormie_skies]

Stalling some on sat too but I think its because shes getting ready to make her turn more northerly.

Bingo.

Dixie it's time for me to eat crow There is nothing to bring this storm anywhere near us. It is highly unlikely..hopefully it shifts west again Texas needs the rain and a N.O hit would be unimaginable. WE dodged the bullet agaiin!!