Unbelievable Shift???

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gk1
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Unbelievable Shift???

#1 Postby gk1 » Fri Aug 26, 2005 4:07 pm

This is an incredible shift of nearly 210 miles west. Very unsual for the NHC to shift a path that much. Apal. went from ground 0 to the eastern edge of the Cone.!!!!! This is a major SHIFT!!!!!!!!!
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#2 Postby skysummit » Fri Aug 26, 2005 4:08 pm

and may shift again west late tonight depending on what the next model runs say.
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#3 Postby Sanibel » Fri Aug 26, 2005 4:10 pm

Official shift west into Mississippi...
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#4 Postby vbhoutex » Fri Aug 26, 2005 4:13 pm

Sanibel wrote:Official shift west into Mississippi...
??????????

What do you mean? Are you talking about NHC? Have they? If so, please provide a link.
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#5 Postby jax » Fri Aug 26, 2005 4:14 pm

Sanibel wrote:Official shift west into Mississippi...


we know... I'm as far away from LA as you can get on the MS coast...
73 miles from the state line... 52 miles if i took a boat to Lake Bourne
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#6 Postby Sanibel » Fri Aug 26, 2005 4:15 pm

Special NHC release just announced on CNN...
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#7 Postby raynpa » Fri Aug 26, 2005 4:16 pm

I expect the cone to shift even further west at 11pm
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#8 Postby PTrackerLA » Fri Aug 26, 2005 4:16 pm

An INCREDIBLE shift in the models. Even I'm worried here in Lafayette now. I'm freaking coned!!!!

Image
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#9 Postby JTD » Fri Aug 26, 2005 4:17 pm

Vbhoutex,

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphic ... 5day?large.

Sanibel,

I missed the interview with Max Mayfield that Wolf said was very omnious. What did he say exactly?
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#10 Postby LAwxrgal » Fri Aug 26, 2005 4:18 pm

I'm surprised the NHC shifted that far to the left. I expected more of a gradual shift in the cone based on the model guidance.

Knowing the models, they will shift again at 0z.
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#11 Postby Mattie » Fri Aug 26, 2005 4:18 pm

Should we have an "into the cone party"? Oh my -
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#12 Postby HurryKane » Fri Aug 26, 2005 4:18 pm

jason0509 wrote:Vbhoutex,

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphic ... 5day?large.

Sanibel,

I missed the interview with Max Mayfield that Wolf said was very omnious. What did he say exactly?


I didn't see it, but Stewart's 5 pm discussion mentioned Cat 4 before landfall.
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#13 Postby tallywx » Fri Aug 26, 2005 4:18 pm

When was the last time we had such model consensus three days out on the doomsday new orleans scenario? were models ever this resolute with ivan (before they shifted back east to pensacola?)
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#14 Postby vbhoutex » Fri Aug 26, 2005 4:20 pm

Thanks Jason. I am still at work and don't have time to search. Not liking the trend for anyone!!! Of course I didn't like the earliler progs much either since they had my mom in the bullseye. I guess I am just hard to please!! :roll: :roll: :roll: Why can't she just go poof??? :D :D :D
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#15 Postby PTrackerLA » Fri Aug 26, 2005 4:21 pm

Starting to think this could Louisiana's "big one". Highs near 100 this weekend, offshore waters are absolutely boiling, not good, not good at all....
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#16 Postby Houstonia » Fri Aug 26, 2005 4:21 pm

vbhoutex wrote:Thanks Jason. I am still at work and don't have time to search. Not liking the trend for anyone!!! Of course I didn't like the earliler progs much either since they had my mom in the bullseye. I guess I am just hard to please!! :roll: :roll: :roll: Why can't she just go poof??? :D :D :D


VB, I hope you're not talking about your MOM...

:grrr:
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#17 Postby krysof » Fri Aug 26, 2005 4:23 pm

Also the further west it goes, the more very warm water it has to work with. Is N.O. in serious danger?
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#18 Postby PTrackerLA » Fri Aug 26, 2005 4:25 pm

krysof wrote:Also the further west it goes, the more very warm water it has to work with. Is N.O. in serious danger?


I'd say this is a SERIOUS threat for N.O. at this time. At least the NHC got their new track out so the local media can alert the public on the evening news.
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#19 Postby JTD » Fri Aug 26, 2005 4:26 pm

vbhoutex wrote:Thanks Jason. I am still at work and don't have time to search. Not liking the trend for anyone!!! Of course I didn't like the earliler progs much either since they had my mom in the bullseye. I guess I am just hard to please!! :roll: :roll: :roll: Why can't she just go poof??? :D :D :D


N/P Vbhoutex. :D Don't we all wish it would go poof. I'm glad you're mom is out of the bullseye now although like you said, now it's bad for someone else.

Tough times :cry:
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#20 Postby smashmode » Fri Aug 26, 2005 4:26 pm

HurryKane wrote:
jason0509 wrote:Vbhoutex,

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphic ... 5day?large.

Sanibel,

I missed the interview with Max Mayfield that Wolf said was very omnious. What did he say exactly?


I didn't see it, but Stewart's 5 pm discussion mentioned Cat 4 before landfall.


Maxfield said cat 4....to a group of gasps in the room.
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