60 Hours

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Sean in New Orleans
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60 Hours

#1 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Fri Aug 26, 2005 4:33 pm

Talk of an evacuation of New Orleans has hit the mainstream with this wild shift West with Katrina. FYI, It takes 60 hours to evacuate the 1.7 million people of SE Louisiana. I'm expecting an announcement of an evacuation by Sat. AM for sure if the track remains consistent with the 11:00 PM forecast. But, it's just too difficult to be certain of where this system is going to go....The chances of a Texas hit are increasing, IMO, but, we'll just have to watch, wait, and see. Katrina is offering nothing consistent at this time for any of us to make a confident judgment or call.
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Re: 60 Hours

#2 Postby Stormcenter » Fri Aug 26, 2005 4:35 pm

Sean in New Orleans wrote:Talk of an evacuation of New Orleans has hit the mainstream with this wild shift West with Katrina. FYI, It takes 60 hours to evacuate the 1.7 million people of SE Louisiana. I'm expecting an announcement of an evacuation by Sat. AM for sure if the track remains consistent with the 11:00 PM forecast. But, it's just too difficult to be certain of where this system is going to go....The chances of a Texas hit are increasing, IMO, but, we'll just have to watch, wait, and see. Katrina is offering nothing consistent at this time for any of us to make a confident judgment or call.


Where in Texas?
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#3 Postby raynpa » Fri Aug 26, 2005 4:36 pm

upper texas coast
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#4 Postby Portastorm » Fri Aug 26, 2005 4:38 pm

Saying "Texas" is a reach right now. I still think a Texas hit is quite low on the probability scale.

You folks in Louisiana, however ... :eek:
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#5 Postby Mattie » Fri Aug 26, 2005 4:41 pm

Guess you all saw this post on another thread???

micktooth wrote:Just heard Walter Maestri, the em. mgmt. director for Jefferson Parish say there is no need at this time to consider evacuation. This is the same guy who freaks out on any storm in the Gulf. Usually, there is an overreaction. I'm just afraid tomorrow the stuff will hit the fan really hard and the call will go out to get the he** out of here. I think the lack of official info on this one is pathetic. Maybe Dennis just got them a little gun shy.
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#6 Postby TXWXGAL » Fri Aug 26, 2005 4:44 pm

I have been reading this board for awhile and this is my first post. I don't believe Katrina will go far enough west to hit anywhere in TX. However, my thoughts and prayers go out to all in her path which I believe will be LA.
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#7 Postby PTrackerLA » Fri Aug 26, 2005 4:44 pm

Let's just say if tomorrow there's another left shift that take it into SE Louisiana I'll be at the store by the evening :eek:.
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#8 Postby sunny » Fri Aug 26, 2005 4:48 pm

PTrackerLA wrote:Let's just say if tomorrow there's another left shift that take it into SE Louisiana I'll be at the store by the evening :eek:.


And I will be out of the state :D
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#9 Postby PTrackerLA » Fri Aug 26, 2005 4:52 pm

sunny wrote:
PTrackerLA wrote:Let's just say if tomorrow there's another left shift that take it into SE Louisiana I'll be at the store by the evening :eek:.


And I will be out of the state :D


Just come to our house, we're a good 20 miles from the coast, no large trees around and cocktails 8-) :lol: .
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#10 Postby sunny » Fri Aug 26, 2005 4:54 pm

PTrackerLA wrote:
sunny wrote:
PTrackerLA wrote:Let's just say if tomorrow there's another left shift that take it into SE Louisiana I'll be at the store by the evening :eek:.


And I will be out of the state :D


Just come to our house, we're a good 20 miles from the coast, no large trees around and cocktails 8-) :lol: .


Could be fun!! But I just watched TWC update - looks like you are now on the edge of the cone.
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#11 Postby PTrackerLA » Fri Aug 26, 2005 5:02 pm

I know I'm alot more concerned now and won't feel better unless the models shift east again. If they shift west again :eek: :eek: .
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#12 Postby hicksta » Fri Aug 26, 2005 5:03 pm

My thinking is it it did hit NO. Have it come from the W... If it slid up going NW. itd be so bad...
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#13 Postby Thunder44 » Fri Aug 26, 2005 5:25 pm

Right now a Texas landfall looks unrealistic. People need stop getting overplaying these shifts in the models. I think models may be reacting to the storm heading more W or SW right now and causing to take the storm much further west. it wouldn't surprise me if we see a shift back east tonight or tomorrow.
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#14 Postby hicksta » Fri Aug 26, 2005 5:27 pm

It is still moving WSW or SW... The more it does that the greater texas chances improve...
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#15 Postby Stratosphere747 » Fri Aug 26, 2005 5:32 pm

hicksta wrote:It is still moving WSW or SW... The more it does that the greater texas chances improve...


Hicksta, it is not moving WSW or SW. Most likely due west.

Texas is still VERY remote as of now.
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#16 Postby perk » Fri Aug 26, 2005 5:59 pm

If Katrina continues on a due west heading past 86 or 87 degrees longitude Texas may end up in the cone.(and no -removed- here) :D
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#17 Postby hicksta » Fri Aug 26, 2005 6:00 pm

http://maps.wunderground.com/data/image ... strike.gif


Texas is no way NEAR out of this.
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