WSW motion continues @ 8 PM

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Florida_TSR

WSW motion continues @ 8 PM

#1 Postby Florida_TSR » Fri Aug 26, 2005 7:01 pm

Lat down to 24.7. The risk continues to move westward. I expect the NHC to move west again @ 11 PM.
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hicksta
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Re: WSW motion continues @ 8 PM

#2 Postby hicksta » Fri Aug 26, 2005 7:08 pm

Florida_TSR wrote:Lat down to 24.7. The risk continues to move westward. I expect the NHC to move west again @ 11 PM.


Doubt it
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logybogy

#3 Postby logybogy » Fri Aug 26, 2005 7:12 pm

I'm betting the 11PM NHC Forecast Track will be very close to New Orleans with the latest model shift and the need to get the New Orleans metros "attention" that there is a very serious threat here..
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#4 Postby Brent » Fri Aug 26, 2005 7:14 pm

I think it'll be very close to the Mouth of the MS River and the LA/MS border. Then if the models continue, over NO in the morning.
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Florida_TSR

#5 Postby Florida_TSR » Fri Aug 26, 2005 7:18 pm

The NHC has been too far north since it starting dropping at 26 N. The high pressure to the east is stronger than they have forecasted and the storm keeps moving on a WSW motion. The longer it continues falling in latitude the higher the risk moves west. When the storm finally shifts west it will have to gain the latitude lost over the prior 24 hours. On the current forecast track they have the storm at 24.9 @ 5 AM on SAT. It continues to move WSW. They have to move the track west again as it is not going to be @24.9 tomorrow morning.
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#6 Postby gatorcane » Fri Aug 26, 2005 7:33 pm

wow it's really startint to shoot more SW over the past 30 minutes...the NHC must be going bonkers right now!
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#7 Postby canegrl04 » Fri Aug 26, 2005 7:38 pm

Its hair pulling time :coaster:
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#8 Postby Opal storm » Fri Aug 26, 2005 7:39 pm

boca_chris wrote:wow it's really startint to shoot more SW over the past 30 minutes...the NHC must be going bonkers right now!

Just saw a slight jog back to the SW on TWC.I wonder how much longer it will go SW and I wonder how in the world the NHC didn't see this coming.
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#9 Postby raynpa » Fri Aug 26, 2005 7:42 pm

If Katrina keeps this up she will end up in the carribean sea.
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#10 Postby spinfan4eva » Fri Aug 26, 2005 7:44 pm

That trough is only going to dig down so far, If it continues wswward and misses it altogether, I suspect it could either meander out there for a while until something finally picks it up or be a western gulf threat
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#11 Postby gatorcane » Fri Aug 26, 2005 7:44 pm

If Katrina keeps this up she will end up in the carribean sea.


Katrina to the Yucatan she goes....
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#12 Postby Sanibel » Fri Aug 26, 2005 8:00 pm

Storm is fully 260* and still moving south of west.

Dry Tortuga's taking east core winds...
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#13 Postby johngaltfla » Fri Aug 26, 2005 8:12 pm

:notworthy:

I give up. I think I'll wait to see what she'll do when/if/ever the low drops down and scoops it north.

:eek:
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#14 Postby Sanibel » Fri Aug 26, 2005 9:39 pm

Estimate 250* average since 5pm position.

Katrina even more WSW now.


Obvious eye structure improvement. Estimate windspeed at least 105mph now...
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