Umm.. New Orleans is in trouble

[Josephine96]

I saw the track for Katrina now..

If I'm in New Orleans, I think it's time to get concerned.. VERY concerned.. This isn't exactly looking pretty for New Orleans

[hicksta]

Very true.

[dhweather]

New Orleans got off light with Camille, and this path is VERY close to Camille's.

IF the path nudges 50 miles west, NOLA is GONE.

[LSU2001]

I saw the track for Katrina now..

If I'm in New Orleans, I think it's time to get concerned.. VERY concerned.. This isn't exactly looking pretty for New Orleans

Thats probably the understatement of the Year so Far
Tim

[Ixolib]

I saw the track for Katrina now..

If I'm in New Orleans, I think it's time to get concerned.. VERY concerned.. This isn't exactly looking pretty for New Orleans

Is it still reasonable to say we still have THREE DAYS until landfall? Or... is there any indication that this track is somewhat confident?? I mean, isn't she STILL traveling WSW? Even long after the more westerly shift should have happened based on previous forecasts.

[hicksta]

I saw the track for Katrina now..

If I'm in New Orleans, I think it's time to get concerned.. VERY concerned.. This isn't exactly looking pretty for New Orleans

Is it still reasonable to say we still have THREE DAYS until landfall? Or... is there any indication that this track is somewhat confident?? I mean, isn't she STILL traveling WSW? Even long after the more westerly shift should have happened based on previous forecasts.

[dhweather]

I saw the track for Katrina now..

If I'm in New Orleans, I think it's time to get concerned.. VERY concerned.. This isn't exactly looking pretty for New Orleans

Is it still reasonable to say we still have THREE DAYS until landfall? Or... is there any indication that this track is somewhat confident?? I mean, isn't she STILL traveling WSW? Even long after the more westerly shift should have happened based on previous forecasts.

Once she gets moving north, she'll accelerate.

[Brent]

I saw the track for Katrina now..

If I'm in New Orleans, I think it's time to get concerned.. VERY concerned.. This isn't exactly looking pretty for New Orleans

Is it still reasonable to say we still have THREE DAYS until landfall? Or... is there any indication that this track is somewhat confident?? I mean, isn't she STILL traveling WSW? Even long after the more westerly shift should have happened based on previous forecasts.

NHC says their confidence has increased... and the tight cluster in the models shows that.

Oh and John... where have you been?

[LSU2001]

THE OFFICIAL FORECAST BRINGS THE CORE OF THE INTENSE
HURRICANE OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO IN 48 HOURS OR SO. IT IS WORTH NOTING THAT THE GUIDANCE SPREAD HAS DECREASED AND MOSTOF THE RELIABLE NUMERICAL MODEL TRACKS ARE NOW CLUSTERED BETWEENTHE EASTERN COAST OF LOUISIANA AND THE COAST OF MISSISSIPPI. THIS CLUSTERING INCREASES THE CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST.

[hicksta]

She needs to turn WNW NOW to get on thier path.. Shes still chugging WSW

[Ixolib]

I know it's already gotta be in here someplace, but these threads are flying like Bud Light off the store shelves... Does anybody have a link/graphic of the models that have "clustered"?

[Steve]

I think everyone's taking a wait and see approach even though it's late in the game. Like I said, I got my wife and kids a room in Jackson, MS if need be and there are other options. If nothing changes though, tomorrow should unleash an insane amount of chaos here on the roads, at the stores and such. This threat is seemingly much worse than Georges, Ivan or Dennis, and we know what happened with those storms. What I'd recommend is that if anyone in Louisiana and Mississippi doesn't know the contraflow plan, you print out a copy of it now. You don't want to think you're heading to City X only to find out your next stop is completely the other way. You also might want to stay off the highways as much as possible until you actually do decide to evacuate lest you get caught up in something you don't want to be in.

Steve

[dwg71]

She needs to turn WNW NOW to get on thier path.. Shes still chugging WSW

No she needs to head west now for 12 hours or so, then begin wnw.

[Brent]

I know it's already gotta be in here someplace, but these threads are flying like Bud Light off the store shelves... Does anybody have a link/graphic of the models that have "clustered"?

http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/~vigh/ ... early2.png

[HurryKane]

I know it's already gotta be in here someplace, but these threads are flying like Bud Light off the store shelves... Does anybody have a link/graphic of the models that have "clustered"?

I'd post it but their site is getting absolutely clobbered and I can't get through.

[Brent]

I know it's already gotta be in here someplace, but these threads are flying like Bud Light off the store shelves... Does anybody have a link/graphic of the models that have "clustered"?

I'd post it but their site is getting absolutely clobbered and I can't get through.

I can't either... "Cannot Find Server"

FIND IT!!!

[Lori]

Ixolib:

Look for the models under New Models Thread Shows 00z.

[huricanwatcher]

Watching WTC .. (**SIGH**) .. but seems low key.....


all I am thinking is...


DO NOT CREATE MASS PANIC..... BUT NO ...... HEAD FOR THE HILLS..... CAUSE (looks like a ROYAL FLUSH)......

[beachbum_al]

I still say it is too early to call right now. A lot can happen between now and Sunday. I think all of us in that cone of uncertainity need to prepare for this storm.

[cajungal]

New Orleans got off light with Camille, and this path is VERY close to Camille's.

IF the path nudges 50 miles west, NOLA is GONE.

Very true! And 50 miles to the west, would put the eyewall directly over my house. You could kiss all it goodbye! Prepare for the worse and hope for the best.