00Z coming in now.....
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... loop.shtml
BREAKING NEWS GFS 66 HOURS AT NOLA PICTURE INCLUDED
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BREAKING NEWS GFS 66 HOURS AT NOLA PICTURE INCLUDED
Last edited by dhweather on Fri Aug 26, 2005 11:04 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: BREAKING NEWS GFS - NOLA TWO RUNS IN A ROW!
...and what would be the implications of that track and intensity on our (MS) coast?
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Re: BREAKING NEWS GFS - NOLA TWO RUNS IN A ROW!
Ixolib wrote:
...and what would be the implications of that track and intensity on our (MS) coast?
We will be on the east (wet) side if that verifies, and we'll will get
cat 2/3 damage IF it is a cat 4.
Storm surge will be bad - likely 10+ feet.
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jschlitz wrote:dhweather wrote:jschlitz wrote:Not good, this is the "real" run too with all the synoptics.....
Yep, I'm now offically very worried.
Man, someone needs to go to NO and drag Steve out kicking and screaming. This has my stomach in knots.
Actually, he probably won't be kicking and screaming. By then the Abita will have kicked in and he should be easier to mover.
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gboudx
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jschlitz wrote:dhweather wrote:jschlitz wrote:Not good, this is the "real" run too with all the synoptics.....
Yep, I'm now offically very worried.
Man, someone needs to go to NO and drag Steve out kicking and screaming. This has my stomach in knots.
Yeah, I don't want to look at that anymore. Time for Catholics down there to break out the rosary beads and start praying. And don't forget to pray to that Saint that supposed to help with keeping hurricanes away.
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PurdueWx80
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The upper air wind pattern on the 00z GFS, if forecast correctly, screams of a cat5 hurricane with near perfect outflow and a 120 kt outflow jet to the NNE of the storm at landfall. Saving graces here are dry air entrainment or an ERC, as the storm will be moving quickly enough at that point to negate the effects of upwelled water.
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Cookiely
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I'm praying that it will be like last year when they were so sure Tampa would be hit and at the last minute turned. Hopefully New Orleans will be spared, but I pray for all who will be affected. Numerous states are going to be affected by Katrina after landfall. She has been going so slow that it will be a devastating flood situation if she doesn't speed up after landfall.
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deltadog03
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BayouVenteux
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Still a slight fade eastward on the track from the 18z run...sure it's only about 40-50 miles from what I can tell, but you take your good news were you can at times like these.
The trend's your friend. Unless you're in Jackson, Harrison and Hancock counties.
The trend's your friend. Unless you're in Jackson, Harrison and Hancock counties.
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Andrew '92, Katrina '05, Gustav '08, Isaac '12, Ida '21...and countless other lesser landfalling storms whose names have been eclipsed by "The Big Ones".
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