Based on a model that uses the current NHC track as well as census data New Orleans proper would feel peak winds of 112mph. Gulf Port and Pass Christian would have sustained winds of 126 mph.
The model predicts that the recent run over Florida caused 1.86 billion in uninsured damage. 1.42 billion of which occured in Miami-Dade.
http://hurricane.methaz.org/hurapak/AAL ... terep.html
The model predicts 9.42 billion dollars in damage over the entire course of the hurricane but given the damage Ivan did I believe that is an underestimation.
Here are the oil impacts
Short: less than 10 days disruption.
Medium: 10 to 30 days disruption.
Long: over 30 days disruption.
Categories are cumulative - short includes medium and long
Overall Production Impact Estimate as of 08/26/2005 23:11
Oil (BBLS) Total: 12890759. Short: 8568455. ( 66.5%) Medium: 3982090. ( 30.9%) Long: 1550178. ( 12.0%)
Nat Gas (cuft) Total: 120999392. Short: 52967120. ( 43.8%) Medium: 15678519. ( 13.0%) Long: 1938128. ( 1.6%)
