We may have a cat 5 on our hands!! no doubt

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how stong will katrina get?

It is in the best condition that it is going to get in!
2
1%
med strength cat 3
9
5%
strong cat 3/boarderline cat 4
16
9%
med strength cat 4
27
15%
stong cat 4/boarderline cat 5
91
50%
med strength cat 5 (to me 160-180)
23
13%
Strong cat 5 (to me 180-200)
5
3%
unbilevably stong cat 5 (200 Mph+)
8
4%
 
Total votes: 181

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Astro_man92
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We may have a cat 5 on our hands!! no doubt

#1 Postby Astro_man92 » Sat Aug 27, 2005 6:50 am

I bileve that we will definitely have at least a boarderline cat 5

how about you


Comments please
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TampaFl
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#2 Postby TampaFl » Sat Aug 27, 2005 6:54 am

I belive it will be a very strong CAT 4, but it would not suprise me if it reaches CAT 5 status :eek:

RObert 8-)
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#3 Postby mtm4319 » Sat Aug 27, 2005 6:56 am

The NHC projection seems reasonable. 120-125 knots, medium strength cat. 4.
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#4 Postby Astro_man92 » Sat Aug 27, 2005 7:01 am

yah I belive it is DEFINATLY going ot be at least a med strength cat 4 but I think it would be cool if katrina got to cat 5 status but weakend to a boarderline cat 4 or med strength cat 3 before making second landfall


It would be a late, less destructive (I hope) Ivan he he he

late because of the names, 2 names late he he
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#5 Postby no advance » Sat Aug 27, 2005 7:05 am

Med Cat 3
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#6 Postby cjrciadt » Sat Aug 27, 2005 7:33 am

Just woke up, 940mb with only 115 winds that cant be right. :?: :?:
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The Big Dog
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#7 Postby The Big Dog » Sat Aug 27, 2005 8:03 am

Alright... who are the yahoos who said 200+?
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#8 Postby canegrl04 » Sat Aug 27, 2005 8:20 am

Strenght forecasting is still the toughest thing about hurricanes.Remeber Charlie? Katrina could be anywhere from cat 3 to cat 5,but I thing cat 4 to borderline cat 5
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#9 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat Aug 27, 2005 8:23 am

I don't think it can become a cat5 ever. My reasoning is because it is spreading out...It would need pressures below 900 millibars for this thing to get anywhere near cat5. I don't think so.
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#10 Postby WindRunner » Sat Aug 27, 2005 8:43 am

Seems like cat4/cat5 line is the majority here, and I agree.
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#11 Postby Trader Ron » Sat Aug 27, 2005 9:19 am

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:I don't think it can become a cat5 ever. My reasoning is because it is spreading out...It would need pressures below 900 millibars for this thing to get anywhere near cat5. I don't think so.


Would you bet $1000 that it won't become a Cat 5? I know i wouldn't.

:D
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#12 Postby HurricaneGirl » Sat Aug 27, 2005 9:44 am

It seems Katrina dipped South to stay over the overly-warm, Gulf of Mexico as long she possilby could, so she would strengthen. I wouldn't be surprised at all :eek: She has a mind of her own. :eek:
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#13 Postby EverythingIsEverything » Sat Aug 27, 2005 9:56 am

it going to be an unexplainable weakening, everything is going to be there for katrina to strengthen, but it wont come together. probably cat 3 on the lower end of that at landfall.
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#14 Postby CharleySurvivor » Sat Aug 27, 2005 10:07 am

Whatever cat she will be, she will be BIG; a monster in MY eyes compare to our Charley.
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#15 Postby WindRunner » Sat Aug 27, 2005 10:10 am

Interesting to see the recent surge in the med cat5 range . . .
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#16 Postby mtm4319 » Sat Aug 27, 2005 12:40 pm

Bump. With the rise in pressure, cat 5 is looking more unlikely to me.
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#17 Postby tallywx » Sat Aug 27, 2005 12:46 pm

Of course, considering she dropped from 984 mb to 940 mb in 24 hours, she needs a break. Not very often are we "endowed" with a hurricane that deepens that impressively.

She still has 48 hours over water, and has yet to hit the loop current. She just received a shock from coming under the influence of a different steering pattern (WNW versus WSW) as induced by an entirely different mechanism (weakness/different high than before). Look for her to restrengthen significantly once she stabilizes that shock.
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#18 Postby tallywx » Sat Aug 27, 2005 12:46 pm

Of course, considering she dropped from 984 mb to 940 mb in 24 hours, she needs a break. Not very often are we "endowed" with a hurricane that deepens that impressively.

She still has 48 hours over water, and has yet to hit the loop current. She just received a shock from coming under the influence of a different steering pattern (WNW versus WSW) as induced by an entirely different mechanism (weakness/different high than before). Look for her to restrengthen significantly once she stabilizes that shock.
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Big-Iguana

#19 Postby Big-Iguana » Sat Aug 27, 2005 12:50 pm

Typical hyping that infiltrates peoples heads cause they get conditioned from main stream media propaganda techniques and/or group think.

Take the poll and subtract a catagory and you have it, cat 4 medium. :wink:
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#20 Postby WindRunner » Sat Aug 27, 2005 12:51 pm

mtm4319 wrote:Bump. With the rise in pressure, cat 5 is looking more unlikely to me.


I wouldn't drop the consideration yet. It's just a little ERC before she bombs again (another 44mbs over next 24 hrs :?: :lol: ) I voted borderline 4/5 myself, though.
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