Check out the GFDL Model, takes the storm down to 908 MB

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
logybogy

Check out the GFDL Model, takes the storm down to 908 MB

#1 Postby logybogy » Sat Aug 27, 2005 2:48 pm

But on the bright side, it is rapidly weakening on approach to landfall in New Orleans and goes up to 926!

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/GFDL ... mloop.html

Image

Image

Image
0 likes   
Top
Scorpion

#2 Postby Scorpion » Sat Aug 27, 2005 2:49 pm

Of course it would be 926 at NO, it has travelled on land for a few hours.
0 likes   
Top
Mac

#3 Postby Mac » Sat Aug 27, 2005 2:50 pm

Scorpion wrote:Of course it would be 926 at NO, it has travelled on land for a few hours.


But land eerily similar to the marshland of southern Florida, and we all know how much she weakened over that area.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
EmeraldCoast1
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 114
Joined: Tue Sep 30, 2003 10:35 am
Location: Pensacola, FL

#4 Postby EmeraldCoast1 » Sat Aug 27, 2005 3:36 pm

I think the weakening indicated would be due to some shear that is forecast to show up around landfall time.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
JamesFromMaine2
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 989
Joined: Tue Jul 19, 2005 1:38 am
Location: Portland Maine USA
Contact:
Contact JamesFromMaine2

#5 Postby JamesFromMaine2 » Sat Aug 27, 2005 3:39 pm

EmeraldCoast1 wrote:I think the weakening indicated would be due to some shear that is forecast to show up around landfall time.


Last I knew they were saying that sheer could be affecting her at landfall that is not a forcast saying it will! its all about timing and anything can change!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Swimdude
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2270
Joined: Mon Jul 26, 2004 11:57 am
Location: Houston, TX

#6 Postby Swimdude » Sat Aug 27, 2005 3:56 pm

908 mb could very well = Cat. 5.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
EDR1222
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1253
Joined: Mon Nov 10, 2003 12:58 pm
Location: Melbourne, FL

#7 Postby EDR1222 » Sat Aug 27, 2005 4:00 pm

Sometimes the GFDL goes crazy with intensity, but all the ingrediants seem to be there. Hopefully the trend of late will continue where strong storms have repidly weakened prior to landfall on the Central Gulf Coast.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
canegrl04
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2486
Joined: Thu Aug 26, 2004 5:37 pm
Location: Texas

#8 Postby canegrl04 » Sat Aug 27, 2005 4:03 pm

908mb.Isn't that in Andrew neighborhood?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cjrciadt
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1616
Joined: Mon Aug 22, 2005 1:11 pm
Location: Kissimmee, FL

#9 Postby cjrciadt » Sat Aug 27, 2005 4:05 pm

canegrl04 wrote:908mb.Isn't that in Andrew neighborhood?

http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/at199202.asp
Ivan 910, Andrew 922 :eek:
0 likes   
Top
Valkhorn
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 492
Joined: Wed Sep 10, 2003 4:09 am
Contact:
Contact Valkhorn

#10 Postby Valkhorn » Sat Aug 27, 2005 4:06 pm

Andrew was 922mb
0 likes   
Top
cccmachine
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 67
Joined: Wed Sep 01, 2004 11:41 am
Location: Hernando MS

#11 Postby cccmachine » Sat Aug 27, 2005 4:11 pm

Thats Camille territory
0 likes   
Top
CYCLONE MIKE
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2183
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 6:04 pm
Location: Gonzales, LA

#12 Postby CYCLONE MIKE » Sat Aug 27, 2005 4:30 pm

And Grand Isle has only recommended evacs. I sure hope those people all around that area don't wait for the call and jsut get out of there now. I will never see Grand Isle again if that track verifies or any of my other fishing sites!!!
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: chaser1, Extratropical94, Google [Bot], JoshwaDone and 219 guests