Evacuate. Be safe. Hopefully you'll dodge the bullet. If your city gets smacked, don't lose hope. We'll clean it up with you, and we'll rebuild it with you, and if the Netherlands can conquer the North Sea, we'll conquer the Gulf of Mexico.
Thinking of you in Ocala Florida,
Kevin
New Orleans
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
And the world will unite to help New Orleans.-
rightbayou
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Sean in New Orleans
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- Location: New Orleans, LA 30.0N 90.0W
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rightbayou wrote:Thank You, we've been prepared for this all our lives, but as it looks like it will actually happen, I find myself more sad than afraid...
Me too..I know we'll be just fine, but, I'm very sad and disappointed that it is presently predicted to come here. I'm not scared, and I'm not excited at all. I'm pretty down about it coming....
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LAwxrgal
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- Location: Reserve, LA (30 mi west of NOLA)
Sean in New Orleans wrote:rightbayou wrote:Thank You, we've been prepared for this all our lives, but as it looks like it will actually happen, I find myself more sad than afraid...
Me too..I know we'll be just fine, but, I'm very sad and disappointed that it is presently predicted to come here. I'm not scared, and I'm not excited at all. I'm pretty down about it coming....
Life as we have known it will change forever
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Andrew 92/Isidore & Lili 02/Bill 03/Katrina & Rita 05/Gustav & Ike 08/Isaac 12 (flooded my house)/Harvey 17/Barry 19/Cristobal 20/Claudette 21/Ida 21 (In the Eye)/Francine 24
Wake me up when November ends
Wake me up when November ends
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LAwxrgal
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- Location: Reserve, LA (30 mi west of NOLA)
Sean in New Orleans wrote:rightbayou wrote:Thank You, we've been prepared for this all our lives, but as it looks like it will actually happen, I find myself more sad than afraid...
Me too..I know we'll be just fine, but, I'm very sad and disappointed that it is presently predicted to come here. I'm not scared, and I'm not excited at all. I'm pretty down about it coming....
There's a possibility that life as we have known it will change forever
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Andrew 92/Isidore & Lili 02/Bill 03/Katrina & Rita 05/Gustav & Ike 08/Isaac 12 (flooded my house)/Harvey 17/Barry 19/Cristobal 20/Claudette 21/Ida 21 (In the Eye)/Francine 24
Wake me up when November ends
Wake me up when November ends
Not to let anyone's guard down, but with the damage photos I saw from Charley's and Ivan's landfalls, I was impressed with how well many strucutres held-up. The lesson I took from what I saw was that if homes and buildings meet hurricane code and are boarded-up properly, then the resultant storm damage will be minimal.
This does not, however, account for storm surge, where Ivan especially yielded very severe results. If you are told to evacuate, then do so - even if your building is to code and will be boarded up. Each tropical cyclone is different in its wind behaviors.
- Jay
KSC FL
This does not, however, account for storm surge, where Ivan especially yielded very severe results. If you are told to evacuate, then do so - even if your building is to code and will be boarded up. Each tropical cyclone is different in its wind behaviors.
- Jay
KSC FL
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NEXRAD wrote:Not to let anyone's guard down, but with the damage photos I saw from Charley's and Ivan's landfalls, I was impressed with how well many strucutres held-up. The lesson I took from what I saw was that if homes and buildings meet hurricane code and are boarded-up properly, then the resultant storm damage will be minimal.
This does not, however, account for storm surge, where Ivan especially yielded very severe results. If you are told to evacuate, then do so - even if your building is to code and will be boarded up. Each tropical cyclone is different in its wind behaviors.
- Jay
KSC FL
The wind is the least of New Orleans concerns. The structures that withstood
Charley and Ivan would be under water in NOLA.
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KBBOCA
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- Location: Formerly Boca Raton, often West Africa. Currently Charlotte NC
Definitely praying for all in Katrina's path.
I just checked Storm Carib's "How Close Can it Get" -- and it is truly unnerving.
http://stormcarib.com/closest.htm
Note the wonderful webfolks at StormCarib have posted coordinates for other areas that could be threatened...
New Orleans is
30.07 / 89.93
9.8 miles from New Orleans. OH MY
Results for 30.07N, 89.93W:
The approximate Closest Point of Approach (CPA) is located near 30.1N, 89.8W or about 9.8 miles (15.7 km) from your location. The estimated time of when the eye will be at that location is in about 56.0 hours.
I just checked Storm Carib's "How Close Can it Get" -- and it is truly unnerving.
http://stormcarib.com/closest.htm
Note the wonderful webfolks at StormCarib have posted coordinates for other areas that could be threatened...
New Orleans is
30.07 / 89.93
9.8 miles from New Orleans. OH MY
Results for 30.07N, 89.93W:
The approximate Closest Point of Approach (CPA) is located near 30.1N, 89.8W or about 9.8 miles (15.7 km) from your location. The estimated time of when the eye will be at that location is in about 56.0 hours.
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NEXRAD wrote:Not to let anyone's guard down, but with the damage photos I saw from Charley's and Ivan's landfalls, I was impressed with how well many strucutres held-up. The lesson I took from what I saw was that if homes and buildings meet hurricane code and are boarded-up properly, then the resultant storm damage will be minimal.
This does not, however, account for storm surge, where Ivan especially yielded very severe results. If you are told to evacuate, then do so - even if your building is to code and will be boarded up. Each tropical cyclone is different in its wind behaviors.
- Jay
KSC FL
In New Orleans, even though a building may be up to code, flood waters will be the major concern.
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kevin
Yes surge is the main concern. If the dikes that protect New Orleans fail, I'm no engineer but it cannot be good for that city. Winds and tornado threat are great enough to structures, but once they are flooded there's a whole new realm of immediate and then after effects. I hope people make it to higher ground, better to be crowded in a building than swept away in the waters.
I'm not one to criticize but if we can do an airlift of supplies to Berlin, supply the Israelis in the Yom Kippur war, and drop off lots of supplies to Chad just a year or so ago... it seems maybe we could get those 100,000 forecast to not be able to evacuate. I'm not knowledgeable about this area, so I won't criticize the plan (it seems very sophisticated already), but it seems like such a great human tragedy is out of place in America with all our technical might.
I'm not one to criticize but if we can do an airlift of supplies to Berlin, supply the Israelis in the Yom Kippur war, and drop off lots of supplies to Chad just a year or so ago... it seems maybe we could get those 100,000 forecast to not be able to evacuate. I'm not knowledgeable about this area, so I won't criticize the plan (it seems very sophisticated already), but it seems like such a great human tragedy is out of place in America with all our technical might.
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