New Computer Models

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milankovitch
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#21 Postby milankovitch » Sat Aug 27, 2005 9:02 pm

Ignore the BAM's look at the major models that is a very tight spread.
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#22 Postby milankovitch » Sat Aug 27, 2005 9:03 pm

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#23 Postby milankovitch » Sat Aug 27, 2005 9:05 pm

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#24 Postby CYCLONE MIKE » Sat Aug 27, 2005 9:11 pm

You can't ignore them right now. there is still plenty of time the track can change. The difference of several hours of a more westerly or north westerly track can mean a huge difference in the final outcome of this one.
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#25 Postby Steve » Sat Aug 27, 2005 9:18 pm

I'm quite surprised the 00z models didn't make a right shift. This almost looks scary considering what the storm looks like now. /hmmmm

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#26 Postby CYCLONE MIKE » Sat Aug 27, 2005 9:24 pm

Steve surprises you about that. How do you see the trough /shortwave affecting Katrina tonight. It looks weaker than forecast to me after watching the wv loops. dooes not seem to be much southerly flow coming of of the gulf ahead of her yet. A little of the ridge still looks to be holding tough to the north still of her also. BTW are you getting out of there tomorrow if she still looks to be coming at you.?
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#27 Postby CYCLONE MIKE » Sat Aug 27, 2005 9:25 pm

Steve what surprises you about that? How do you see the trough /shortwave affecting Katrina tonight. It looks weaker than forecast to me after watching the wv loops. dooes not seem to be much southerly flow coming of of the gulf ahead of her yet. A little of the ridge still looks to be holding tough to the north still of her also. BTW are you getting out of there tomorrow if she still looks to be coming at you.?
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#28 Postby CYCLONE MIKE » Sat Aug 27, 2005 9:26 pm

Steve what surprises you about that? How do you see the trough /shortwave affecting Katrina tonight. It looks weaker than forecast to me after watching the wv loops. Does not seem to be much southerly flow coming of of the gulf ahead of her yet. A little of the ridge still looks to be holding tough to the north still of her also. BTW are you getting out of there tomorrow if she still looks to be coming at you.?
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#29 Postby CYCLONE MIKE » Sat Aug 27, 2005 9:26 pm

Steve what surprises you about that? How do you see the trough /shortwave affecting Katrina tonight. It looks weaker than forecast to me after watching the wv loops. Does not seem to be much southerly flow coming out of the gulf ahead of her yet either. A little of the ridge still looks to be holding tough to the north of her also. BTW are you getting out of there tomorrow if she still looks to be coming at you.?
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#30 Postby duris » Sat Aug 27, 2005 9:28 pm

Steve wrote:I'm quite surprised the 00z models didn't make a right shift. This almost looks scary considering what the storm looks like now. /hmmmm

Steve

Shhhh. Drink more Abita.
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#31 Postby milankovitch » Sat Aug 27, 2005 9:31 pm

echo......echo.....echo..... oh sorry :)
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