TWC

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
tampastorm
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 434
Joined: Thu Aug 12, 2004 9:22 pm
Location: TAMPA

TWC

#1 Postby tampastorm » Sun Aug 28, 2005 7:53 am

Steve Lyons if going over possible land fall. It SEEMS like he is somewhat thinking it might be nudged further east then thought. Just my opinion of what he said. Obviously take for what its worth. Once again just my thoughts of what I heard.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

Re: TWC

#2 Postby dixiebreeze » Sun Aug 28, 2005 7:55 am

tampastorm wrote:Steve Lyons if going over possible land fall. It SEEMS like he is somewhat thinking it might be nudged further east then thought. Just my opinion of what he said. Obviously take for what its worth. Once again just my thoughts of what I heard.


I would imagine about this time that the mets will begin hinting at that.
0 likes   
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38266
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

#3 Postby Brent » Sun Aug 28, 2005 7:56 am

He did say that... I just watched. He thought a NE motion at landfall taking near the MS/AL border.

That wasn't his prediction, just a possibility.
0 likes   
#neversummer
Top
tampastorm
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 434
Joined: Thu Aug 12, 2004 9:22 pm
Location: TAMPA

#4 Postby tampastorm » Sun Aug 28, 2005 7:56 am

Of course if New orleans is spared from a direct hit, somewhere else will not be.
0 likes   
Top
tim_in_ga
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 125
Joined: Fri Jun 10, 2005 9:30 pm
Location: Buford, GA

#5 Postby tim_in_ga » Sun Aug 28, 2005 7:56 am

Dr. Lyons noted the trough coming down through Texas and said when that meets Katrina, we'll see a turn north, then more NE.
0 likes   
Top
Opal storm

#6 Postby Opal storm » Sun Aug 28, 2005 7:57 am

Sad thing is...he said the same thing before Ivan hit. :eek:
0 likes   
Top
EverythingIsEverything
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 107
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 4:18 pm
Location: Virginia Beach, Virginia
Contact:
Contact EverythingIsEverything

#7 Postby EverythingIsEverything » Sun Aug 28, 2005 7:58 am

i heard that as well, a turn to the northeast as Katrina nears the coastline, was a possibility he stated
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
artist
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9792
Joined: Mon Jun 06, 2005 3:26 pm
Location: West Palm

#8 Postby artist » Sun Aug 28, 2005 8:00 am

that is the reason why everyone within the cone area must prepare as though it is coming straight for them!
0 likes   
Top
tampastorm
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 434
Joined: Thu Aug 12, 2004 9:22 pm
Location: TAMPA

#9 Postby tampastorm » Sun Aug 28, 2005 8:00 am

The trough does look like it is not far from being right on top of Katrina.
0 likes   
Top
Opal storm

#10 Postby Opal storm » Sun Aug 28, 2005 8:01 am

tampastorm wrote:The trough does look like it is not far from being right on top of Katrina.

I know,it's moving pretty fast towards Katrina.
0 likes   
Top
RickyR
Tropical Wave
Tropical Wave
Posts: 6
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 7:30 pm
Location: Charleston, SC
Contact:
Contact RickyR

#11 Postby RickyR » Sun Aug 28, 2005 8:13 am

Agreed,
but wouldn't this storm with its size and power kinda push that trough, or keep it from going too far south?
Ricky...seeya...
0 likes   
Top
tampastorm
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 434
Joined: Thu Aug 12, 2004 9:22 pm
Location: TAMPA

#12 Postby tampastorm » Sun Aug 28, 2005 8:16 am

From what I heard this trough will without question have some effect on Katrina.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
swimaster20
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 285
Joined: Tue Nov 23, 2004 2:41 pm
Location: The Heart of Cajun Country

#13 Postby swimaster20 » Sun Aug 28, 2005 8:54 am

One thing that worries me though is that it is still barreling pretty much WNW and picked up forward speed. What do y'all think about that?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Dr. Jonah Rainwater
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 569
Joined: Sat Jul 23, 2005 2:45 pm
Location: Frisco, Texas
Contact:
Contact Dr. Jonah Rainwater

#14 Postby Dr. Jonah Rainwater » Sun Aug 28, 2005 8:58 am

Lyons is the only Met I've seen on TV this morning who seems to even be acknowledging the possibility of Katrina NOT hitting New Orleans. He seems to be the only one who remembers Charley's lessons with Tampa last year.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
storms in NC
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2338
Joined: Thu Jul 28, 2005 2:58 pm
Location: Wallace,NC 40 miles NE of Wilm
Contact:
Contact storms in NC

#15 Postby storms in NC » Sun Aug 28, 2005 9:01 am

Dr. Jonah Rainwater wrote:Lyons is the only Met I've seen on TV this morning who seems to even be acknowledging the possibility of Katrina NOT hitting New Orleans. He seems to be the only one who remembers Charley's lessons with Tampa last year.


Yeah he wes one that keep say tampa on Charley
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cjrciadt
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1616
Joined: Mon Aug 22, 2005 1:11 pm
Location: Kissimmee, FL

#16 Postby cjrciadt » Sun Aug 28, 2005 9:01 am

Dr. Jonah Rainwater wrote:Lyons is the only Met I've seen on TV this morning who seems to even be acknowledging the possibility of Katrina NOT hitting New Orleans. He seems to be the only one who remembers Charley's lessons with Tampa last year.

Just showed the animation with 25ft storm surge, you are dead if your in a barrier island riding this out if it comes that way.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
bvigal
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2276
Joined: Sun Jul 24, 2005 8:49 am
Location: British Virgin Islands
Contact:
Contact bvigal

#17 Postby bvigal » Sun Aug 28, 2005 9:02 am

Wouldn't the models and/or NHC take trough into consideration? I'm sure everyone must be aware of the risk of "cry wolf" making people complacent. Still, it looks to be a killer for some place. Do you think they have actually insisted on NOLA to be sure people left, just in case?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cjrciadt
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1616
Joined: Mon Aug 22, 2005 1:11 pm
Location: Kissimmee, FL

#18 Postby cjrciadt » Sun Aug 28, 2005 9:05 am

Jim is getting off the coast at noon, smart guy the people on the beach behind him are not. "This is not a movie, this is the real thing."
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 61 guests