Hurricane Katrina

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senorpepr
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#1581 Postby senorpepr » Sun Aug 28, 2005 9:11 am

RECCO Observation
Storm Name: KATRINA (12L)
Mission Number: 17
Flight ID: AF302
Observation Number: 20
Time: 1400Z
Latitude: 25.3°N
Longitude: 88.8°W
Location: 280 mi SSE of Grand Isle, Louisana
Turbulence: Light occasional moderate
Flight condition: In cloud
Pressure Altitude: 10000 feet
Flight level wind: NW (310°) @ 79 mph
Temperature: 54°F
Dewpoint: 52°F
Weather: Rainshowers
700mb height: 9600 feet
Surface Wind: N/A
Remarks: SW 50NM TURNPOINT. INBOUND
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#1582 Postby oneness » Sun Aug 28, 2005 9:12 am

yep, just pointing out the change.
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#1583 Postby bvigal » Sun Aug 28, 2005 9:14 am

This is old now, but is after Katrina reaching 910mb. It's high resolution visible from GHCC with great sun angle showing off the eye.
click here to view
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#1584 Postby storms in NC » Sun Aug 28, 2005 9:14 am

I just looked at the WV loop and it has jog to the west more. but still going NW
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#1585 Postby senorpepr » Sun Aug 28, 2005 9:15 am

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: KATRINA (12L)
Mission Number: 17
Flight ID: AF302
Flt Data Number: 39
Latest Recon Position: 267 mi SSE of Grand Isle, Louisana

Ob #01: 13:57:00Z; 25.5°N 89.1°W; PA: 10016 ft; D-Value: -200 ft; Wind: NNW (336°) @ 78 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 52°F; Max Wind: 78 mph; Radar Altitude: 9980 ft
Ob #02: 13:57:30Z; 25.5°N 89°W; PA: 10010 ft; D-Value: -217 ft; Wind: NNW (332°) @ 78 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 51°F; Max Wind: 81 mph; Radar Altitude: 9954 ft
Ob #03: 13:58:00Z; 25.4°N 89°W; PA: 10016 ft; D-Value: -226 ft; Wind: NNW (328°) @ 78 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 52°F; Max Wind: 79 mph; Radar Altitude: 9954 ft
Ob #04: 13:58:30Z; 25.4°N 88.9°W; PA: 10010 ft; D-Value: -236 ft; Wind: NNW (328°) @ 76 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 52°F; Max Wind: 77 mph; Radar Altitude: 9934 ft
Ob #05: 13:59:00Z; 25.4°N 88.9°W; PA: 10016 ft; D-Value: -249 ft; Wind: NW (325°) @ 78 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 50°F; Max Wind: 78 mph; Radar Altitude: 9931 ft
Ob #06: 13:59:30Z; 25.4°N 88.9°W; PA: 10016 ft; D-Value: -262 ft; Wind: NW (323°) @ 78 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 49°F; Max Wind: 79 mph; Radar Altitude: 9915 ft
Ob #07: 14:00:00Z; 25.4°N 88.8°W; PA: 10016 ft; D-Value: -272 ft; Wind: NW (322°) @ 81 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 50°F; Max Wind: 83 mph; Radar Altitude: 9905 ft
Ob #08: 14:00:30Z; 25.4°N 88.8°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: -282 ft; Wind: NW (318°) @ 79 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 52°F; Max Wind: 81 mph; Radar Altitude: 9885 ft
Ob #09: 14:01:00Z; 25.4°N 88.8°W; PA: 10016 ft; D-Value: -279 ft; Wind: NW (315°) @ 81 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 52°F; Max Wind: 81 mph; Radar Altitude: 9902 ft
Ob #10: 14:01:30Z; 25.4°N 88.7°W; PA: 10023 ft; D-Value: -295 ft; Wind: NW (313°) @ 77 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 50°F; Max Wind: 78 mph; Radar Altitude: 9888 ft
Ob #11: 14:02:00Z; 25.4°N 88.7°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: -335 ft; Wind: NW (314°) @ 78 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 51°F; Max Wind: 79 mph; Radar Altitude: 9829 ft
Ob #12: 14:02:30Z; 25.4°N 88.7°W; PA: 10013 ft; D-Value: -354 ft; Wind: NW (313°) @ 79 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 52°F; Max Wind: 81 mph; Radar Altitude: 9823 ft
Ob #13: 14:03:00Z; 25.4°N 88.7°W; PA: 10013 ft; D-Value: -377 ft; Wind: NW (310°) @ 83 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 53°F; Max Wind: 83 mph; Radar Altitude: 9797 ft
Ob #14: 14:03:30Z; 25.4°N 88.6°W; PA: 10013 ft; D-Value: -400 ft; Wind: NW (310°) @ 82 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 52°F; Max Wind: 83 mph; Radar Altitude: 9774 ft
Ob #15: 14:04:00Z; 25.5°N 88.6°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: -433 ft; Wind: NW (307°) @ 82 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 52°F; Max Wind: 83 mph; Radar Altitude: 9738 ft
Ob #16: 14:04:30Z; 25.5°N 88.6°W; PA: 10016 ft; D-Value: -459 ft; Wind: NW (312°) @ 81 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 49°F; Max Wind: 81 mph; Radar Altitude: 9718 ft
Ob #17: 14:05:00Z; 25.5°N 88.6°W; PA: 10013 ft; D-Value: -482 ft; Wind: NW (312°) @ 76 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 51°F; Max Wind: 77 mph; Radar Altitude: 9692 ft
Ob #18: 14:05:30Z; 25.5°N 88.5°W; PA: 10013 ft; D-Value: -509 ft; Wind: NW (312°) @ 78 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 53°F; Max Wind: 78 mph; Radar Altitude: 9665 ft
Ob #19: 14:06:00Z; 25.5°N 88.5°W; PA: 10016 ft; D-Value: -535 ft; Wind: NW (311°) @ 81 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 53°F; Max Wind: 82 mph; Radar Altitude: 9642 ft
Ob #20: 14:06:30Z; 25.6°N 88.5°W; PA: 10013 ft; D-Value: -571 ft; Wind: NW (312°) @ 85 mph; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 53°F; Max Wind: 86 mph; Radar Altitude: 9606 ft
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#1586 Postby milankovitch » Sun Aug 28, 2005 9:18 am

The water vapor is showing some brown in the eye

H. 908 mb
I. 10 C/ 3056 m
J. 26 C/ 3056 m
K. 6 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C22

Look at that dewpoint 6 degrees!

Image
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#1587 Postby Brent » Sun Aug 28, 2005 9:20 am

That, IMO, shows a very very intense hurricane that isn't gonna weaken anytime soon... sun is probably brightly shining in the eye right now.
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#1588 Postby Patrick99 » Sun Aug 28, 2005 9:21 am

Back - just got my power back last night. This morning is the first I've seen of Katrina on the satellite since Thursday night...all I can say is WOW. She is one mean-looking storm.

New Orleans had better hope for a sudden change of direction, an eyewall replacement, or the famous N-Gulf-sucks-in-dry-air-prior-to-landfall phenomenon.

Coming off of Florida, this storm took the worst possible track for the N. Gulf Coast. I don't think it could have been scripted any worse.
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#1589 Postby WindRunner » Sun Aug 28, 2005 9:21 am

This is my favorite kind of sat pic, personally.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/FLOAT/RGB/20.jpg
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#1590 Postby senorpepr » Sun Aug 28, 2005 9:23 am

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: KATRINA (12L)
Mission Number: 17
Flight ID: AF302
Flt Data Number: 40
Latest Recon Position: 258 mi SSE of Grand Isle, Louisana

Ob #01: 14:07:00Z; 25.6°N 88.5°W; PA: 10013 ft; D-Value: -604 ft; Wind: NW (313°) @ 84 mph; Temp: 55°F; Dewpt: 53°F; Max Wind: 86 mph; Radar Altitude: 9570 ft
Ob #02: 14:07:30Z; 25.6°N 88.5°W; PA: 10013 ft; D-Value: -643 ft; Wind: NW (313°) @ 86 mph; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 53°F; Max Wind: 88 mph; Radar Altitude: 9531 ft
Ob #03: 14:08:00Z; 25.6°N 88.4°W; PA: 10010 ft; D-Value: -689 ft; Wind: NW (313°) @ 90 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 53°F; Max Wind: 92 mph; Radar Altitude: 9482 ft
Ob #04: 14:08:30Z; 25.6°N 88.4°W; PA: 10013 ft; D-Value: -735 ft; Wind: NW (313°) @ 96 mph; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 53°F; Max Wind: 96 mph; Radar Altitude: 9442 ft
Ob #05: 14:09:00Z; 25.7°N 88.4°W; PA: 10016 ft; D-Value: -787 ft; Wind: NW (316°) @ 99 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 52°F; Max Wind: 100 mph; Radar Altitude: 9390 ft
Ob #06: 14:09:30Z; 25.7°N 88.4°W; PA: 10016 ft; D-Value: -850 ft; Wind: NW (314°) @ 103 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 53°F; Max Wind: 105 mph; Radar Altitude: 9327 ft
Ob #07: 14:10:00Z; 25.7°N 88.4°W; PA: 10013 ft; D-Value: -915 ft; Wind: NW (312°) @ 108 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 53°F; Max Wind: 112 mph; Radar Altitude: 9262 ft
Ob #08: 14:10:30Z; 25.7°N 88.3°W; PA: 10016 ft; D-Value: -994 ft; Wind: NW (310°) @ 116 mph; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 50°F; Max Wind: 119 mph; Radar Altitude: 9183 ft
Ob #09: 14:11:00Z; 25.7°N 88.3°W; PA: 10016 ft; D-Value: -1083 ft; Wind: NW (309°) @ 120 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 53°F; Max Wind: 122 mph; Radar Altitude: 9094 ft
Ob #10: 14:11:30Z; 25.7°N 88.3°W; PA: 10013 ft; D-Value: -1188 ft; Wind: NW (310°) @ 127 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 53°F; Max Wind: 129 mph; Radar Altitude: 8986 ft
Ob #11: 14:12:00Z; 25.8°N 88.3°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: -1312 ft; Wind: NW (310°) @ 136 mph; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 54°F; Max Wind: 139 mph; Radar Altitude: 8852 ft
Ob #12: 14:12:30Z; 25.8°N 88.3°W; PA: 10016 ft; D-Value: -1447 ft; Wind: NW (309°) @ 145 mph; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 52°F; Max Wind: 150 mph; Radar Altitude: 8730 ft
Ob #13: 14:13:00Z; 25.8°N 88.2°W; PA: 10039 ft; D-Value: -1614 ft; Wind: NW (308°) @ 151 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: ****; Max Wind: 161 mph; Radar Altitude: 8586 ft
Ob #14: 14:13:30Z; 25.8°N 88.2°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: -1824 ft; Wind: NW (315°) @ 130 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: ****; Max Wind: 131 mph; Radar Altitude: 8330 ft
Ob #15: 14:14:00Z; 25.8°N 88.2°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: -1975 ft; Wind: NW (311°) @ 108 mph; Temp: 58°F; Dewpt: 58°F; Max Wind: 118 mph; Radar Altitude: 8179 ft
Ob #16: 14:14:30Z; 25.9°N 88.2°W; PA: 9974 ft; D-Value: -2090 ft; Wind: NW (311°) @ 81 mph; Temp: 62°F; Dewpt: 60°F; Max Wind: 88 mph; Radar Altitude: 8045 ft
Ob #17: 14:15:00Z; 25.9°N 88.1°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: -2169 ft; Wind: NW (314°) @ 60 mph; Temp: 66°F; Dewpt: 59°F; Max Wind: 65 mph; Radar Altitude: 7992 ft
Ob #18: 14:15:30Z; 25.9°N 88.1°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: -2224 ft; Wind: NW (308°) @ 41 mph; Temp: 69°F; Dewpt: 57°F; Max Wind: 46 mph; Radar Altitude: 7930 ft
Ob #19: 14:16:00Z; 25.9°N 88.1°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: -2267 ft; Wind: NW (309°) @ 29 mph; Temp: 73°F; Dewpt: 53°F; Max Wind: 32 mph; Radar Altitude: 7890 ft
Ob #20: 14:16:30Z; 25.9°N 88.1°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: -2293 ft; Wind: NW (305°) @ 17 mph; Temp: 76°F; Dewpt: 50°F; Max Wind: 23 mph; Radar Altitude: 7864 ft
Note: **** means data accuracy was suspect
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#1591 Postby WindRunner » Sun Aug 28, 2005 9:26 am

Oooh, 161mph in the NW eyewall.
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#1592 Postby Dean4Storms » Sun Aug 28, 2005 9:29 am

ETA, Look out P'Cola.

The ETA has swung east!!
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#1593 Postby Dean4Storms » Sun Aug 28, 2005 9:30 am

ETA, Look out P'Cola.

The ETA has swung east!!

http://weather.cod.edu/forecast/loop.etauspcp.html
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#1594 Postby senorpepr » Sun Aug 28, 2005 9:30 am

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: KATRINA (12L)
Mission Number: 17
Flight ID: AF302
Flt Data Number: 41
Latest Recon Position: 247 mi SE of Grand Isle, Louisana

Ob #01: 14:17:00Z; 26°N 88.1°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -2313 ft; Wind: WNW (291°) @ 10 mph; Temp: 77°F; Dewpt: 44°F; Max Wind: 13 mph; Radar Altitude: 7844 ft
Ob #02: 14:17:30Z; 26°N 88°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: -2336 ft; Wind: SE (142°) @ 1 mph; Temp: 78°F; Dewpt: 42°F; Max Wind: 2 mph; Radar Altitude: 7825 ft
Ob #03: 14:18:00Z; 26°N 88°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -2352 ft; Wind: E (98°) @ 8 mph; Temp: 77°F; Dewpt: 43°F; Max Wind: 12 mph; Radar Altitude: 7805 ft
Ob #04: 14:18:30Z; 26.1°N 88°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: -2359 ft; Wind: E (93°) @ 21 mph; Temp: 77°F; Dewpt: 44°F; Max Wind: 25 mph; Radar Altitude: 7792 ft
Ob #05: 14:19:00Z; 26.1°N 88°W; PA: 10010 ft; D-Value: -2352 ft; Wind: ESE (107°) @ 26 mph; Temp: 78°F; Dewpt: 45°F; Max Wind: 30 mph; Radar Altitude: 7815 ft
Ob #06: 14:19:30Z; 26.1°N 88°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: -2359 ft; Wind: ESE (121°) @ 41 mph; Temp: 74°F; Dewpt: 51°F; Max Wind: 46 mph; Radar Altitude: 7792 ft
Ob #07: 14:20:00Z; 26.1°N 88°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: -2346 ft; Wind: SE (127°) @ 60 mph; Temp: 71°F; Dewpt: 53°F; Max Wind: 71 mph; Radar Altitude: 7808 ft
Ob #08: 14:20:30Z; 26.1°N 87.9°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: -2290 ft; Wind: SE (133°) @ 96 mph; Temp: 67°F; Dewpt: 56°F; Max Wind: 103 mph; Radar Altitude: 7864 ft
Ob #09: 14:21:00Z; 26.2°N 87.9°W; PA: 10020 ft; D-Value: -2201 ft; Wind: SE (133°) @ 122 mph; Temp: 62°F; Dewpt: 58°F; Max Wind: 132 mph; Radar Altitude: 7979 ft
Ob #10: 14:21:30Z; 26.2°N 87.9°W; PA: 9974 ft; D-Value: -2096 ft; Wind: SE (135°) @ 139 mph; Temp: 56°F; Dewpt: 56°F; Max Wind: 143 mph; Radar Altitude: 8038 ft
Ob #11: 14:22:00Z; 26.2°N 87.9°W; PA: 10039 ft; D-Value: -1955 ft; Wind: SE (138°) @ 149 mph; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: ****; Max Wind: 157 mph; Radar Altitude: 8241 ft
Ob #12: 14:22:30Z; 26.2°N 87.9°W; PA: 10030 ft; D-Value: -1791 ft; Wind: SE (141°) @ 176 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: ****; Max Wind: 191 mph; Radar Altitude: 8399 ft
Ob #13: 14:23:00Z; 26.2°N 87.9°W; PA: 9875 ft; D-Value: -1627 ft; Wind: SE (133°) @ 183 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: ****; Max Wind: 189 mph; Radar Altitude: 8409 ft
Ob #14: 14:23:30Z; 26.2°N 87.8°W; PA: 10052 ft; D-Value: -1516 ft; Wind: SE (138°) @ 182 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: ****; Max Wind: 185 mph; Radar Altitude: 8698 ft
Ob #15: 14:24:00Z; 26.2°N 87.8°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: -1411 ft; Wind: SE (138°) @ 179 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: ****; Max Wind: 182 mph; Radar Altitude: 8743 ft
Ob #16: 14:24:30Z; 26.2°N 87.8°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -1309 ft; Wind: SE (138°) @ 174 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: ****; Max Wind: 176 mph; Radar Altitude: 8848 ft
Ob #17: 14:25:00Z; 26.3°N 87.8°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: -1220 ft; Wind: SE (140°) @ 168 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: ****; Max Wind: 170 mph; Radar Altitude: 8937 ft
Ob #18: 14:25:30Z; 26.3°N 87.8°W; PA: 10023 ft; D-Value: -1125 ft; Wind: SE (142°) @ 164 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 51°F; Max Wind: 165 mph; Radar Altitude: 9058 ft
Ob #19: 14:26:00Z; 26.3°N 87.8°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: -1047 ft; Wind: SE (144°) @ 158 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 51°F; Max Wind: 160 mph; Radar Altitude: 9114 ft
Ob #20: 14:26:30Z; 26.3°N 87.7°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: -971 ft; Wind: SE (145°) @ 151 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 53°F; Max Wind: 153 mph; Radar Altitude: 9190 ft
Note: **** means data accuracy was suspect
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#1595 Postby Dean4Storms » Sun Aug 28, 2005 9:30 am

ETA, Look out P'Cola.

The ETA has swung east!!

http://weather.cod.edu/forecast/loop.etauspcp.html
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#1596 Postby cjrciadt » Sun Aug 28, 2005 9:33 am

183,182,179 in mph she is Camille!!!!!
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#1597 Postby BamaMan » Sun Aug 28, 2005 9:33 am

Looks to be right over the AL/MS border moving NE
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#1598 Postby Hyperstorm » Sun Aug 28, 2005 9:33 am

There you go...

It CONTINUES to strengthen. I wouldn't be surprised if the winds are bumped up to 165 mph at 11 am due to the report of 159kts.

Very sad situation...
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#1599 Postby mtm4319 » Sun Aug 28, 2005 9:34 am

Dean4Storms wrote:ETA, Look out P'Cola.

The ETA has swung east!!

http://weather.cod.edu/forecast/loop.etauspcp.html



More like "look out Mobile". That's got it going right up the bay.

But it's only one model anyway.
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#1600 Postby senorpepr » Sun Aug 28, 2005 9:35 am

166kt supports 150kt on the surface. 170-175mph. (150kt = 172.8 so probably 175)
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