Large wobble to WNW

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logybogy

Large wobble to WNW

#1 Postby logybogy » Sun Aug 28, 2005 11:49 am

I think the people who are thinking the storm will shift east. Remember Floyd. Everyone thought it would turn from South Florida and they were waiting and waiting and waiting and freaking out until the turn WAY AFTER people expected.

Katrina is like Floyd. It's an 18 wheeler....and these things take their sweet time turning.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
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#2 Postby raynpa » Sun Aug 28, 2005 11:54 am

I hope it makes the predicted north turn.....and weakens
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Wannabewxman79
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#3 Postby Wannabewxman79 » Sun Aug 28, 2005 12:05 pm

I hope it makes the predicted north turn.....and weakens


A few million others are right there hoping with you, along with myself.
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#4 Postby oneness » Sun Aug 28, 2005 12:19 pm

Just looking at that loop, the eye has cleaned up again, and gotten a bit bigger once more, plus the entire circulation has become more symmetrical in general. Looks like a very stable system, showing almost no change in forward path.

Anyone wobble-wishing at this point is missing the forest for the trees.
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#5 Postby storms in NC » Sun Aug 28, 2005 12:21 pm

looks like it is going to be just west of their next piont
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#6 Postby oneness » Sun Aug 28, 2005 12:31 pm

yep, I suspect this thing is going to lag in the turn a bit due to inertia of its speed and direction.

Just 2 cents.
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#7 Postby wxman57 » Sun Aug 28, 2005 12:38 pm

I'm adjusting our track to just west of downtown New Orleans from just east of downtown. Coming across around 90.1W vs 89.9W. Definite 305 motion at 13 kts now.
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#8 Postby Stratosphere747 » Sun Aug 28, 2005 12:44 pm

wxman57 wrote:I'm adjusting our track to just west of downtown New Orleans from just east of downtown. Coming across around 90.1W vs 89.9W. Definite 305 motion at 13 kts now.


I was hoping it would not do that 57...Speechless..
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#9 Postby rtd2 » Sun Aug 28, 2005 12:46 pm

At 1 PM CDT...1800z...the center of Hurricane Katrina was located
near latitude 26.5 north... longitude 88.6 west or about 180 miles
south-southeast of the mouth of the Mississippi River.

Katrina is moving toward the northwest near 13 mph...and a turn
toward the north-northwest is expected over the next 24 hours.
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#10 Postby storms in NC » Sun Aug 28, 2005 12:52 pm

wxman57 wrote:I'm adjusting our track to just west of downtown New Orleans from just east of downtown. Coming across around 90.1W vs 89.9W. Definite 305 motion at 13 kts now.


you may have to push it a tap more west.
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#11 Postby cajungal » Sun Aug 28, 2005 1:33 pm

OMG! That is right over my house if that happens! The 91 degree line is where Houma sits. Don't worry, I am safe. I evacuated and I am at my aunt and uncle's home.
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#12 Postby storms in NC » Sun Aug 28, 2005 2:01 pm

it is sw of the next point the NHC has. go here and check the latlon and tropfcstpts

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

Let me know what you think.
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#13 Postby ROCK » Sun Aug 28, 2005 2:07 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:
wxman57 wrote:I'm adjusting our track to just west of downtown New Orleans from just east of downtown. Coming across around 90.1W vs 89.9W. Definite 305 motion at 13 kts now.


I was hoping it would not do that 57...Speechless..



if coming in east was not bad enough....really really bad if this verifies....
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#14 Postby CYCLONE MIKE » Sun Aug 28, 2005 2:07 pm

I just came in from trimming tree limbs cutiing grass, etc and saw this on satellite. I said oh shi* it is not turning yet and like you sain south of the next point. could it turn in an hour or so , sure but not looking likely. Check out he wv loop of east Texas. It is almost as Katrina has stopped the progression of the trough eastward and it stalled out. Also she looks to have expanded more west too. Not looking good at all.
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#15 Postby CYCLONE MIKE » Sun Aug 28, 2005 2:09 pm

I just came in from trimming tree limbs cutting grass, etc and saw this on satellite. I said oh shi* it is not turning yet and like ya'll said, south of the next point. Could it turn in an hour or so , sure but not looking likely. Check out he wv loop of east Texas. It is almost as Katrina has stopped the progression of the trough eastward and it stalled out. Also she looks to have expanded more west too. Not looking good at all.
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#16 Postby mvtrucking » Sun Aug 28, 2005 2:15 pm

Viewing the 1845 loop it looks like to has jumped back on track.It was a little west of the forecast points for a bit. I guess these storms do that? Strickly a amateur view.
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