FOX NEWS JUST REPORTED..

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canegrl04
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FOX NEWS JUST REPORTED..

#1 Postby canegrl04 » Sun Aug 28, 2005 3:03 pm

Katrina expected to strengthen more.Mentioned 185mph,or as much as 200mph :eek:
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TPACane04

#2 Postby TPACane04 » Sun Aug 28, 2005 3:06 pm

and they based this info on what source?

Remember, this is the same channel that said the Pope had died, two days before he actually did.
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#3 Postby Hurritrax » Sun Aug 28, 2005 3:09 pm

At 902 mb 185mph+ isn't out of the question.
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#4 Postby Hurritrax » Sun Aug 28, 2005 3:09 pm

At 902 mb, 185mph+ is definitely possible.
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#5 Postby canegrl04 » Sun Aug 28, 2005 3:09 pm

Probably based on the fact that there is a patch of low-mid 90 degree temps just ahead of her
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#6 Postby wxwatcher91 » Sun Aug 28, 2005 3:10 pm

TPACane04 wrote:and they based this info on what source?

Remember, this is the same channel that said the Pope had died, two days before he actually did.


exactly. it shows they are good at predicting the future :lol:

seriously though I agree with you... as much as I love the hype of the media, that's all it is: hype. at this point all we can do really is monitor what recon finds...
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#7 Postby Air Force Met » Sun Aug 28, 2005 3:14 pm

TPACane04 wrote:and they based this info on what source?

Remember, this is the same channel that said the Pope had died, two days before he actually did.


I say it will get stronger. Why? Large eye...lots of warmer water...lots of room to contract during an ERC...approaching the coast at a right angle...and

Look at the outflow to the north...it's beginning to touch the westerlies. I would not be surprised (although I don't think it will...but close) to see Kat surpass the lowest pressure record....as it is...I think it's going to be a 895mb storm.
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#8 Postby thunderchief » Sun Aug 28, 2005 3:21 pm

that outflow enhancement to the north has been on my mind for the last few days. If that improves outflow then we could really see a storm for the history books.
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#9 Postby tailgater » Sun Aug 28, 2005 3:24 pm

wxwatcher91 wrote:
TPACane04 wrote:and they based this info on what source?

Remember, this is the same channel that said the Pope had died, two days before he actually did.


exactly. it shows they are good at predicting the future :lol:

seriously though I agree with you... as much as I love the hype of the media, that's all it is: hype. at this point all we can do really is monitor what recon finds...

Thanx wxwatcher, that made laugh when neither incident(KAT or the Pope)
are remotely funny.
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#10 Postby Brent » Sun Aug 28, 2005 3:27 pm

Air Force Met wrote:Look at the outflow to the north...it's beginning to touch the westerlies. I would not be surprised (although I don't think it will...but close) to see Kat surpass the lowest pressure record....as it is...I think it's going to be a 895mb storm.


:shocked!:
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#11 Postby ChaserUK » Sun Aug 28, 2005 3:33 pm

I also heard that on Fox too - pretty scarey. Looks like rain shield just approaching the most southern part of the coast S of NO
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Category 6?

#12 Postby jimvb » Sun Aug 28, 2005 3:41 pm

If Fox's report is correct, this makes Katrina a Category 6. I know that is not an official category, but if the categories were extended with their intervals the same, this would be the next category up from Category 5. Category 6 would be from 180 to 205 mph. I know of only two other Category 6s in the past - Camille in 1969, and Linda, a Pacific hurricane that did not strike anything.

But then I wonder, where did Fox get its information from?
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#13 Postby TPACane04 » Sun Aug 28, 2005 3:42 pm

good one, WX! Glad we can find something to smile about today...everything else is gloom and doom.
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#14 Postby ConvergenceZone » Sun Aug 28, 2005 3:47 pm

Winds down to 165 mph now. They say that it would be hard for the hurricane to maintain that type of strength for very long. I guess they were right. They are now saying that it would landfall as a 4 as opposed to a 5, but a 5 is still possible.
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#15 Postby johngaltfla » Sun Aug 28, 2005 3:51 pm

Air Force Met wrote:
TPACane04 wrote:and they based this info on what source?

Remember, this is the same channel that said the Pope had died, two days before he actually did.


I say it will get stronger. Why? Large eye...lots of warmer water...lots of room to contract during an ERC...approaching the coast at a right angle...and

Look at the outflow to the north...it's beginning to touch the westerlies. I would not be surprised (although I don't think it will...but close) to see Kat surpass the lowest pressure record....as it is...I think it's going to be a 895mb storm.


That was Joe Bastardi on FNC. He's right. When it hits that patch of 89-91 degree water near the coast it will be like one final explosion of expanding energy.

I appreciate your forecasts AFM. Alot of respect for what you've been saying. I can't wait to read your forecasts on TD13 and TD14 which we'll be dealing with next week....

:eek:
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#16 Postby NorthGaWeather » Sun Aug 28, 2005 3:51 pm

ConvergenceZone wrote:Winds down to 165 mph now. They say that it would be hard for the hurricane to maintain that type of strength for very long. I guess they were right. They are now saying that it would landfall as a 4 as opposed to a 5, but a 5 is still possible.


Ok, an improving IR image, more than favorable environment...its gonna get stronger.
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#17 Postby ConvergenceZone » Sun Aug 28, 2005 3:59 pm

Well they said that the weakening may be cause by the fact that it's starting to feel the influence of the trough, and I agree. As they say, you need PERFECT conditions to maintain a Cat 5, and so even something so insignificant is that is enough to weaken it a bit. Based on the new information, I still think it will be a high Cat 4 at landfall.
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#18 Postby ConvergenceZone » Sun Aug 28, 2005 4:01 pm

johngaltfla wrote:
Air Force Met wrote:
TPACane04 wrote:and they based this info on what source?

Remember, this is the same channel that said the Pope had died, two days before he actually did.


I say it will get stronger. Why? Large eye...lots of warmer water...lots of room to contract during an ERC...approaching the coast at a right angle...and

Look at the outflow to the north...it's beginning to touch the westerlies. I would not be surprised (although I don't think it will...but close) to see Kat surpass the lowest pressure record....as it is...I think it's going to be a 895mb storm.


That was Joe Bastardi on FNC. He's right. When it hits that patch of 89-91 degree water near the coast it will be like one final explosion of expanding energy.

I appreciate your forecasts AFM. Alot of respect for what you've been saying. I can't wait to read your forecasts on TD13 and TD14 which we'll be dealing with next week....

:eek:



The new model plots take TD13 well north of the islands and make it a fish. It's hard to say about TD14 though. TD13 probably won't get any attention because everyone will still be reeling from Katrina as TD 13 goes out to Sea.
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#19 Postby storms in NC » Sun Aug 28, 2005 4:04 pm

ConvergenceZone wrote:Winds down to 165 mph now. They say that it would be hard for the hurricane to maintain that type of strength for very long. I guess they were right. They are now saying that it would landfall as a 4 as opposed to a 5, but a 5 is still possible.


this is very true. I said this this morning some where on this boar I can't keep up I try. But it is very hard. But big BUT it can go back up.
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#20 Postby wxwatcher91 » Sun Aug 28, 2005 4:05 pm

TPACane04 wrote:good one, WX! Glad we can find something to smile about today...everything else is gloom and doom.


thanx. It's all we can do during times like this... I know I am over a thousand miles from the storm and the people in its path, and I know that I can't really say anything of comfort because of course I can be in better spirits then them because they are in a different situation... everyone in the path of Katrina are in my thoughts though and if I can add a joke to lighten things up I will :wink:
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