Sudden burst of convection...

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
Hyperstorm
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1500
Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 3:48 am
Location: Ocala, FL

Sudden burst of convection...

#1 Postby Hyperstorm » Mon Aug 29, 2005 10:38 am

Did anyone notice that as the eye of Hurricane Katrina was moving just to the SE and E of Lake Pontchartrain, a burst of convection developed right over the lake? That was very impressive to see.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

SSTs in the lake are very warm and could have strengthened the winds a bit over New Orleans...
0 likes   
Top
Josephine96

#2 Postby Josephine96 » Mon Aug 29, 2005 10:40 am

Oh lord.. Please don't tell us that :eek:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cjrciadt
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1616
Joined: Mon Aug 22, 2005 1:11 pm
Location: Kissimmee, FL

#3 Postby cjrciadt » Mon Aug 29, 2005 10:42 am

Josephine96 wrote:Oh lord.. Please don't tell us that :eek:
We saw in FL as a Cat1 how resilient she is.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
JtSmarts
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1442
Age: 39
Joined: Thu Jul 10, 2003 1:29 pm
Location: Columbia, South Carolina

#4 Postby JtSmarts » Mon Aug 29, 2005 10:47 am

The storm has maintained a good structure despite the weakening.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Hyperstorm
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1500
Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 3:48 am
Location: Ocala, FL

#5 Postby Hyperstorm » Mon Aug 29, 2005 10:58 am

This doesn't mean that the storm as a whole strengthened. Rather, just the localized winds that were coming from the north off the lake were probably strengthened by this burst. Radar during that time also showed higher DBZ values near New Orleans. The city could have easily gotten 100 mph sustained winds in this burst with possibly higher gusts.

The eye is filling in as it moves northward just as expected, so no strengthening now that it's inland...
0 likes   
Top
InimanaChoogamaga

#6 Postby InimanaChoogamaga » Mon Aug 29, 2005 11:03 am

She has done enough damage. I wish she would fizzle to nothing. :(
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cjrciadt
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1616
Joined: Mon Aug 22, 2005 1:11 pm
Location: Kissimmee, FL

#7 Postby cjrciadt » Mon Aug 29, 2005 11:05 am

Recon is still picking up winds of 130kts at flight level! Look at the latest recon.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 297 guests