TD 14?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
jrod
Military Member
Military Member
Posts: 546
Joined: Fri Jun 17, 2005 1:22 pm
Location: jacksonville, fl

TD 14?

#1 Postby jrod » Mon Aug 29, 2005 3:44 pm

This one looks much better than td 13 ever did.
Image
0 likes   

User avatar
johngaltfla
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2072
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 9:17 pm
Location: Sarasota County, FL
Contact:

#2 Postby johngaltfla » Mon Aug 29, 2005 3:46 pm

Not yet, still an invest at NRL. But in 24 hours, I agree, it's easily going to be one.
0 likes   

Josephine96

#3 Postby Josephine96 » Mon Aug 29, 2005 3:48 pm

Say hi to Lee.. :) and more watching the tropics lol

( not a forecast lol}
0 likes   

User avatar
x-y-no
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8359
Age: 65
Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2004 12:14 pm
Location: Fort Lauderdale, FL

#4 Postby x-y-no » Mon Aug 29, 2005 3:54 pm

Looks good, but it also looks likely to be picked up by a trough in the 3-day timeframe.
0 likes   

txwatcher91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1498
Joined: Tue Aug 02, 2005 2:29 pm

#5 Postby txwatcher91 » Mon Aug 29, 2005 3:55 pm

Also, look what is getting ready to come off of Africa in a few days. What a active season we still have ahead of us.
0 likes   

User avatar
cjrciadt
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1616
Joined: Mon Aug 22, 2005 1:11 pm
Location: Kissimmee, FL

#6 Postby cjrciadt » Mon Aug 29, 2005 3:55 pm

The conveyor belt of 1995 has returned, maybe. :eek:
0 likes   

User avatar
ConvergenceZone
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5240
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 1:40 am
Location: Northern California

#7 Postby ConvergenceZone » Mon Aug 29, 2005 3:57 pm

x-y-no wrote:Looks good, but it also looks likely to be picked up by a trough in the 3-day timeframe.



Yep, they just mentioned that this will turn fairly quickly into the open Atlantic for the fish to worry about. It's just the way the high pressure is set up right now. It's been a hellish season already, so they can all be fish for all I care!
0 likes   

dolebot_Broward_NW
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 529
Joined: Fri Sep 10, 2004 6:38 am

#8 Postby dolebot_Broward_NW » Mon Aug 29, 2005 4:50 pm

Image


Ummmmmmmmmmmmmm.... Woah...

I know that isn't what I think it is, it isn't even a TD yet, how the heck could that be? I'm hoping thats just an "area of dry air".

Katrina developed what later became her eye east of Florida while still a TS.
0 likes   

Scorpion

#9 Postby Scorpion » Mon Aug 29, 2005 4:54 pm

Its a dry spot. Still looks TD worthy.
0 likes   

User avatar
cjrciadt
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1616
Joined: Mon Aug 22, 2005 1:11 pm
Location: Kissimmee, FL

#10 Postby cjrciadt » Mon Aug 29, 2005 4:54 pm

Developing in the same place and time as Ivan. Ivan 2?
0 likes   

hurricanefreak1988
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 869
Joined: Thu Jul 22, 2004 10:13 pm
Location: Fayetteville, NC
Contact:

#11 Postby hurricanefreak1988 » Mon Aug 29, 2005 6:31 pm

Hopefully soon-to-be T.D. Fourteen won't be a bust like T.D. Thirteen was. We have a list to use up! :)
0 likes   

Josephine96

#12 Postby Josephine96 » Mon Aug 29, 2005 6:32 pm

That's right.. keep having the names go.. 1 after the other.. :wink:
0 likes   

User avatar
wx247
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 14279
Age: 42
Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 10:35 pm
Location: Monett, Missouri
Contact:

#13 Postby wx247 » Mon Aug 29, 2005 6:36 pm

Outflow looks great, especially on the southern quadrant.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

spinfan4eva
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 295
Joined: Tue Aug 23, 2005 1:27 am
Location: Jacksonville, Florida
Contact:

#14 Postby spinfan4eva » Mon Aug 29, 2005 6:36 pm

Josephine96 wrote:That's right.. keep having the names go.. 1 after the other.. :wink:


Right, but make them fish :wink:
0 likes   

krysof

#15 Postby krysof » Mon Aug 29, 2005 6:39 pm

yet one always manages to sneak by
0 likes   

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#16 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Mon Aug 29, 2005 6:40 pm

It has banding in everything. It needs to be upgraded to at least a depression.
0 likes   

WeatherEmperor
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4806
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 2:54 pm
Location: South Florida

#17 Postby WeatherEmperor » Mon Aug 29, 2005 6:46 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:It has banding in everything. It needs to be upgraded to at least a depression.


Not just yet. Remember TD13 looked pretty good as well, the NHC upgraded it, only for it to sort of fall apart and discontinue advisories on it.

<RICKY>
0 likes   

User avatar
wxman57
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 23080
Age: 68
Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
Location: Houston, TX (southwest)

#18 Postby wxman57 » Mon Aug 29, 2005 6:54 pm

I doubt it's TD 14. Nope, it's TS Lee. Take a look at the 0730Z QS image. Several un-flagged 40kt westerly winds. I think it's already a TS and strengthening. NHC was preoccupied with some other storm today.

http://manati.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/sto ... 9_91as.png
0 likes   

User avatar
cjrciadt
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1616
Joined: Mon Aug 22, 2005 1:11 pm
Location: Kissimmee, FL

#19 Postby cjrciadt » Mon Aug 29, 2005 7:01 pm

wxman57 wrote:I doubt it's TD 14. Nope, it's TS Lee. Take a look at the 0730Z QS image. Several un-flagged 40kt westerly winds. I think it's already a TS and strengthening. NHC was preoccupied with some other storm today.

http://manati.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/sto ... 9_91as.png

TD13 reminded me of TD10. Now this reminds of Ivan, which rapidly increased to a Cat3 in three days of classification almost one year ago. Someone teach it to fish!
0 likes   

User avatar
senorpepr
Military Met/Moderator
Military Met/Moderator
Posts: 12542
Age: 43
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
Location: Mackenbach, Germany
Contact:

#20 Postby senorpepr » Tue Aug 30, 2005 8:55 pm

From the 5:30pm TWO

THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1500 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AS IT MOVES TO THE
WEST-NORTHWEST. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: MadaTheConquistador and 387 guests