Post your numbers for the 2003 hurricane season here

#1 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed May 14, 2003 2:50 pm

Ok guys this thread will be about posting all your forecasts numbers to see which ones are right or are close to what will happen.You dont have to be an expert to participate because this is for rookies and not so rookies to have some fun this season.

At the end of the season we will see who will be right and maybe we can have a prize or prizes but that will be announced later.

If you want you may talk about why of your numbers but not be too long in your anaylisis.

Mines are 14/8/3

OtherHD · #2 Postby **OtherHD** » Wed May 14, 2003 3:32 pm

I came up with 12/7/2 a few weeks ago...just never publically released it. :roll:

So what the heck...12/7/2. (I came up with this before Ana BTW.)

Rainband · #3 Postby **Rainband** » Wed May 14, 2003 3:35 pm

12/6/4.... 8-)

#4 Postby **wx247** » Wed May 14, 2003 4:12 pm

Well... I have been thinking on this for a while. And I do think that there is a potential for the initial number to be skewed from extratropical systems... so I will go 15/6/3.

chadtm80 · #5 Postby **chadtm80** » Wed May 14, 2003 4:21 pm

15/9/3

#6 Postby **pojo** » Wed May 14, 2003 9:25 pm

14/7/3

Guest · #7 Postby **Guest** » Wed May 14, 2003 9:28 pm

Well nothing has changed for me sence we did this last month.....Anyways.......14-7-3

Stormsfury · #8 Postby **Stormsfury** » Wed May 14, 2003 9:35 pm

13 Storms (this does include Ana)
9 Hurricanes
3 Major Hurricanes

#9 Postby **vbhoutex** » Thu May 15, 2003 12:01 am

Last time we did this was before Ana and I posted 13/8/5. With SST's seeming to warm earlier than normal(at least in the GOM)and a definite La Nina looking pattern setting up, I am going to go to 15/8/5 which includes Ana and any subtropical systems.

mf_dolphin · #10 Postby **mf_dolphin** » Thu May 15, 2003 6:49 am

I'm going to go with 14 / 8 / and 4 (counting Ana)

#11 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu May 15, 2003 12:23 pm

Here is the list of forecasts so far:

Cycloneye=14/8/3
OtherHD=12/7/2
Rainband=12/6/4
wx247=15/6/3
chad=15/9/3
Pojo=14/7/3
King of weather=14/7/3
Stormsfury=13/9/3
Vboutex=15/8/5
mf dolphin=14/8/4
ticka=13/9/3

Ok let grow this list and continue to post your forecasts and at the end of the season we will see who is close or did forecast what happened.

Guest · #12 Postby **Guest** » Thu May 15, 2003 12:37 pm

Great Idea - Ceye in putting them all in one POST. Very efficent and shows everyone predictions.

Come on folks - post your 2003 forecast prediction!!!!!

Patricia

Amanzi · #13 Postby **Amanzi** » Thu May 15, 2003 2:35 pm

Im going to guess. 13/8/3

ColdFront77 · #14 Postby **ColdFront77** » Thu May 15, 2003 2:59 pm

14/8/4

#15 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu May 15, 2003 3:13 pm

Update of list of forecasts:

Cycloneye=14/8/3
OtherHD=12/7/2
Rainband=12/6/4
wx247=15/6/3
chad=15/9/3
Pojo=14/7/3
King of Weather=14/7/3
Stormsfury=13/9/3
Vboutex=15/8/5
mf dolphin=14/8/4
Ticka=13/9/3
Amanzi=13/8/3
Coldfront77=14/8/4
Jabber=15/9/4

Keep the forecasts comming to get this list big and at the end of the season let's review who was close or who was with the right numbers and this is for fun guys as from rookies to not so rookies can participate.

therock1811 · #16 Postby **therock1811** » Thu May 15, 2003 4:06 pm

My 2003 Forecast:

13 named storms
7 hurricanes
2 cat 3 or higher hurricanes

#17 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu May 15, 2003 4:17 pm

Update of the list of forecasts for the 2003 hurricane season:

Cycloneye=14/8/3
OtherHD=12/7/2
Rainband=12/6/4
wx247=15/6/3
chad=15/9/3
Pojo=14/7/3
King of Weather=14/7/3
Stormsfury=13/9/3
Vboutex=15/8/5
mf dolphin=14/8/4
Ticka=13/9/3
Amanzi=13/8/3
Coldfront77=14/8/4
Jabber=15/9/4
therock1811=13/7/2
deb-in-fi=11/3/3
Gulfbreezer=15/8/4

The list of forecasts is growing so keep posting your forecasts for the season to see at the end who get's it or who gets close to the reallity of what will happen.Rookies and not so rookies can post their forecasts so bring them on here and at the end in november 30th a prize can be there for who gets it.

#18 Postby **Steve** » Thu May 15, 2003 4:31 pm

Hey Scott,

>>Vboutex=15/8/5

Assuming that's you (vboutex), that's a serious departure from your generally conservative forecasts. If you're going with 15/8/5, that tells me you're seeing a WHOPPER of a season. For all the people that have posted so far, the average season according to storm2k feedback is:

13.733 Named Storms
07.733 Hurricanes
03.267 Intense Hurricanes

That would make for quite a season.

Steve

#19 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu May 15, 2003 4:40 pm

Yes that is David Steve and he went up in his forecast because he sees many factors in favor of a very active season.

So far nobody has gone below 11 or close to average.

deb_in_nc · #20 Postby **deb_in_nc** » Thu May 15, 2003 5:11 pm

I know this probably sounds dumb but 11/3/3 is the numbers sticking in my head.

Debbie

Post your numbers for the 2003 hurricane season here

Post your numbers for the 2003 hurricane season here

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