Will 92L Cape Verde Invest Be a U.S. Threat?
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- beachbum_al
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- wxwatcher91
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hmm... why dont we just say this will be Hurricane Maria with 200mph winds and will strike NYC...
the ridge may build in... and then maybe there could be a weakness... or anything!
...92L has thousands of miles to cross and at any point could turn northward...
on the contrary the ridge is expected to build in and 92L could enter the Carib...
WE DONT KNOW... think about it... the NHC can be off by a lot just 24 hours into the future... we are talking nearly two WEEKS...
I'm not discouraging opinions and all... just making a point...
the ridge may build in... and then maybe there could be a weakness... or anything!
...92L has thousands of miles to cross and at any point could turn northward...
on the contrary the ridge is expected to build in and 92L could enter the Carib...
WE DONT KNOW... think about it... the NHC can be off by a lot just 24 hours into the future... we are talking nearly two WEEKS...
I'm not discouraging opinions and all... just making a point...
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WeatherEmperor
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wxwatcher91 wrote:hmm... why dont we just say this will be Hurricane Maria with 200mph winds and will strike NYC...
the ridge may build in... and then maybe there could be a weakness... or anything!
...92L has thousands of miles to cross and at any point could turn northward...
on the contrary the ridge is expected to build in and 92L could enter the Carib...
WE DONT KNOW... think about it... the NHC can be off by a lot just 24 hours into the future... we are talking nearly two WEEKS...
I'm not discouraging opinions and all... just making a point...
i agree. some just seem to jump so quickly onto things.
<RICKY>
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bigmike
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As much as I hate to say it, I don't see how this can't be a threat to either US or Mexico due to how far south this wave is. Even if it gains just a little bit of altitude, it won't gain enough to be picked up by anything. I would hope to god it wouldn't go in the gulf, but it may, even if it tracks in Mexico. Of course we don't know how strong it will be. It may not even amount to much.
I'm just sick to my stomach watching all the Katrina footage. I'd love to see all of the storms be fish this year(even the weak ones), just because of the hell our country will be going through and what it's went through already.
I'm just sick to my stomach watching all the Katrina footage. I'd love to see all of the storms be fish this year(even the weak ones), just because of the hell our country will be going through and what it's went through already.
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- weatherwindow
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chris....i just dont see the possibility of a US landfalling CV system this season. the longwave pattern is pretty solidly ridge-trough with a repetitve series of full latitude troughs invading south of 30deg N. in addition, the typical seasonal ridgeing over the far eastern atlantic appears to be spotty at best.....perhaps, we could see a CV into the northern islands but nothing to the US coast. the remainder of this season will be marked by western developments, akin to the katrina situation, and caribbean or near caribbean development at low latitiude. the caribbean may be the last bastion of serious upper level support for development this season..........comments welcome.................my prayers for NOLA and the miss coast..............................rich
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- gatorcane
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chris....i just dont see the possibility of a US landfalling CV system this season. the longwave pattern is pretty solidly ridge-trough with a repetitve series of full latitude troughs invading south of 30deg N. in addition, the typical seasonal ridgeing over the far eastern atlantic appears to be spotty at best.....perhaps, we could see a CV into the northern islands but nothing to the US coast. the remainder of this season will be marked by western developments, akin to the katrina situation, and caribbean or near caribbean development at low latitiude. the caribbean may be the last bastion of serious upper level support for development this season..........comments welcome.................my prayers for NOLA and the miss coast..............................rich
Very well-said and I do agree with you for the most part. I think 92L will be the only Cape Verde U.S. threat, however. It has the highest chance of making it to the U.S. since it will be travelling at low lattitudes to avoid the ridge/trough scheme that would otherwise pull it out to sea. I don't forsee anything after this one to be a U.S. threat as we move farther into September and conditions become even more unfavorable in the Atlantic.
It's the GOM and Caribbean that we'll need to watch as September progesses and as we move into October.
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PERFERABLY NO!!!