When will 92L be classified as TD or no TD at all?

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When will 92L be classified as TD or no TD at all?

Friday at 5 AM
3
9%
Friday at 11 AM
11
32%
Friday at 5 PM
9
26%
Friday at 11 PM
3
9%
Saturday at 5 AM
1
3%
Saturday at 5 AM
1
3%
Saturday at 11 AM
3
9%
Saturday at 5 PM
0
No votes
Saturday at 11 PM
0
No votes
At Sunday and beyond
0
No votes
Will not be a TD at all
3
9%
 
Total votes: 34
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cycloneye
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When will 92L be classified as TD or no TD at all?

#1 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 01, 2005 9:08 pm

I say tommorow at 11 AM.
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Re: When will 92L be classified as TD or no TD at all?

#2 Postby Brent » Thu Sep 01, 2005 9:18 pm

cycloneye wrote:I say tommorow at 11 AM.


I do too...

They almost never upgrade at 5am since it's dark, so I say 11am.
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Re: When will 92L be classified as TD or no TD at all?

#3 Postby cjrciadt » Thu Sep 01, 2005 9:20 pm

cycloneye wrote:I say tommorow at 11 AM.
I concur, we might be in real trouble. I surely hope not. :(
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#4 Postby Brent » Thu Sep 01, 2005 9:21 pm

Did the 0z models still call it an invest???
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#5 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 01, 2005 9:23 pm

Brent wrote:Did the 0z models still call it an invest???



TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST (AL922005) ON 20050902 0000 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050902 0000 050902 1200 050903 0000 050903 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 7.5N 35.3W 6.8N 37.8W 6.3N 40.2W 6.0N 42.3W
BAMM 7.5N 35.3W 6.8N 37.4W 6.4N 39.2W 6.6N 40.7W
A98E 7.5N 35.3W 7.3N 38.4W 7.4N 41.5W 6.9N 44.3W
LBAR 7.5N 35.3W 7.4N 38.2W 7.6N 41.4W 7.9N 44.7W
SHIP 25KTS 30KTS 34KTS 40KTS
DSHP 25KTS 30KTS 34KTS 40KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050904 0000 050905 0000 050906 0000 050907 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 5.9N 44.1W 7.2N 46.8W 10.4N 48.5W 15.2N 50.3W
BAMM 7.3N 42.0W 10.5N 44.6W 14.7N 48.0W 19.0N 52.3W
A98E 5.8N 46.7W 5.2N 50.9W 5.2N 54.7W 6.6N 58.0W
LBAR 8.1N 48.2W 8.5N 54.8W 8.3N 59.1W 16.1N 55.9W
SHIP 45KTS 53KTS 61KTS 64KTS
DSHP 45KTS 53KTS 61KTS 64KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 7.5N LONCUR = 35.3W DIRCUR = 265DEG SPDCUR = 15KT
LATM12 = 8.1N LONM12 = 31.9W DIRM12 = 266DEG SPDM12 = 13KT
LATM24 = 8.1N LONM24 = 29.1W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
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#6 Postby Brent » Thu Sep 01, 2005 9:24 pm

What is with the LBAR???? :lol:

Image

Yeah... it's going to completely stop and make a 180 degree turn... :roll:
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#7 Postby CFL » Thu Sep 01, 2005 9:35 pm

Well it's good to see that at least some of those aren't making a beeline for Florida.
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#8 Postby krysof » Thu Sep 01, 2005 9:37 pm

The Lbar is complete garbage because it's one of the most inaccurate models used.
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#9 Postby deltadog03 » Thu Sep 01, 2005 9:39 pm

just a thought for everyone.....how many times have we seen a weaker or a system that takes longer to develop and push way further west than models show in the intial???
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#10 Postby wxmann_91 » Thu Sep 01, 2005 10:13 pm

deltadog03 wrote:just a thought for everyone.....how many times have we seen a weaker or a system that takes longer to develop and push way further west than models show in the intial???


Many many times. Irene, Katrina, Emily, Ivan, and there's more.

But then again, many times it is not further west, ask Dennis (sudden jog east before Cuba). Also see Lee.
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