25.5n/66w Looking suspicious this PM

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
Dean4Storms
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6358
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 31, 2003 1:01 pm
Location: Miramar Bch. FL

25.5n/66w Looking suspicious this PM

#1 Postby Dean4Storms » Fri Sep 02, 2005 3:54 pm

I believe this is the low that the models are depicting that gets caught under the CONUS ridge and gets pushed westward. You can also make out the other low to it's NNE that the models show getting absorbed into the westerlies and out to sea.

Looks like the early signs to me and a definite rotation beginning.
0 likes   
Top
WeatherEmperor
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4806
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 2:54 pm
Location: South Florida

#2 Postby WeatherEmperor » Fri Sep 02, 2005 3:56 pm

I think this was mentioned in the TWO but they said upper level winds are currently unfavorable or something. Ill check again at the 530pm update to be sure.

<RICKY>
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Hurricaneman
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7404
Age: 45
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 3:24 pm
Location: central florida

#3 Postby Hurricaneman » Fri Sep 02, 2005 3:57 pm

The low NNE of the suspicious area is the ramains of Lee
0 likes   
Top
krysof

#4 Postby krysof » Fri Sep 02, 2005 4:00 pm

NO it isn't. Lee is well to the north and east.
0 likes   
Top
WeatherEmperor
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4806
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 2:54 pm
Location: South Florida

#5 Postby WeatherEmperor » Fri Sep 02, 2005 4:00 pm

Hurricaneman wrote:The low NNE of the suspicious area is the ramains of Lee


lol i think you could be right. i didnt even notice that.

<RICKY>
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Hurricaneman
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7404
Age: 45
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 3:24 pm
Location: central florida

#6 Postby Hurricaneman » Fri Sep 02, 2005 4:04 pm

Do you think this will become something
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
tronbunny
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1558
Joined: Wed Sep 01, 2004 1:18 am
Location: Central FL

#7 Postby tronbunny » Fri Sep 02, 2005 4:05 pm

Unless that sucker is moving due W or even a bit SW...
I don't even want to think about it.
I'm looking forward to a long, leisurely weekend.. with no unpleasant weather for outdoor activity!
Also no pushing of panic buttons!
8-)
0 likes   
Top
MiamiensisWx

#8 Postby MiamiensisWx » Fri Sep 02, 2005 4:07 pm

Hurricaneman wrote:Do you think this will become something


No... some development is possible, but almost surely not much. There is at least 20KT to 30KT shear in the general area around the system. Not only that, but it's persistent shear, although it may be slowly decreasing. See below...
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/atlantic/winds/wg8shr.GIF

Possible rainmaker for Florida? Maybe. Significant development? Almost surely not.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Canelaw99
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2128
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 8:27 am
Location: Homestead, FL

#9 Postby Canelaw99 » Fri Sep 02, 2005 4:12 pm

tronbunny wrote:Unless that sucker is moving due W or even a bit SW...
I don't even want to think about it.
I'm looking forward to a long, leisurely weekend.. with no unpleasant weather for outdoor activity!
Also no pushing of panic buttons!
8-)


Amen! I'm with you!!! LOL
0 likes   
Top
Dean4Storms
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6358
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 31, 2003 1:01 pm
Location: Miramar Bch. FL

#10 Postby Dean4Storms » Fri Sep 02, 2005 4:24 pm

Hurricaneman wrote:The low NNE of the suspicious area is the ramains of Lee



No different low. The one I'm talking about is just a few hundred miles NNE of this developing low near the coordinates I gave. It is a naked swirl on visible Imagey loops and appears to be moving NNE.
0 likes   
Top
Dean4Storms
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6358
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 31, 2003 1:01 pm
Location: Miramar Bch. FL

#11 Postby Dean4Storms » Fri Sep 02, 2005 4:30 pm

Here you go, maybe this will help. Go to link and then zoom on the area just South and then further SSW of Bermuda, you will see both rotations.


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:
Contact HURAKAN

#12 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Sep 02, 2005 5:07 pm

Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
jasons2k
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 8250
Age: 52
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:32 pm
Location: The Woodlands, TX

#13 Postby jasons2k » Fri Sep 02, 2005 5:16 pm

OUCH!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148497
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#14 Postby cycloneye » Fri Sep 02, 2005 5:20 pm

HURAKAN wrote:Image


HURAKAN you forgot to to put another circule at the low right of the pic to 92L. :)
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Team Ghost and 138 guests