Watch for "homebrew"

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dixiebreeze
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#21 Postby dixiebreeze » Fri Sep 02, 2005 5:41 pm

I'm starting to get very concerned about the disturbance in the Bahamas. Sure seems to be a hot spot.
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#22 Postby WeatherEmperor » Fri Sep 02, 2005 5:51 pm

dixiebreeze wrote:I'm starting to get very concerned about the disturbance in the Bahamas. Sure seems to be a hot spot.


indeed. local mets here in south florida are saying that something could develop and drift W or WSW.

<RICKY>
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#23 Postby Canelaw99 » Fri Sep 02, 2005 5:57 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:indeed. local mets here in south florida are saying that something could develop and drift W or WSW.

<RICKY>


Maybe if we ignore it it will go away :A:
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#24 Postby WeatherEmperor » Fri Sep 02, 2005 6:19 pm

Canelaw99 wrote:
WeatherEmperor wrote:indeed. local mets here in south florida are saying that something could develop and drift W or WSW.

<RICKY>


Maybe if we ignore it it will go away :A:


lol yea right.

<RICKY>
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#25 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Fri Sep 02, 2005 6:20 pm

Yes IMO the Bahamas disturbance will need to be watched closely.
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#26 Postby krysof » Fri Sep 02, 2005 6:29 pm

The shear is too strong for this to currently develop.
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#27 Postby MiamiensisWx » Fri Sep 02, 2005 6:33 pm

krysof wrote:The shear is too strong for this to currently develop.


Agreed. The shear appears to be almost surely limiting development. Still something to watch, though.
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#28 Postby cycloneye » Fri Sep 02, 2005 6:57 pm

WEST ATLANTIC...
A COMPLEX SCENARIO IS SHAPING UP OVER THE W ATLC WATERS. THREE
DISTINCT SURFACE LOWS ARE OBSERVED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY AND THE
ISOBARIC ANALYSIS...A 1011 MB LOW E OF JACKSONVILLE NEAR
31N77W...1010 MB LOW NEAR 28N70W...AND A 1011 MB LOW S OF
BERMUDA NEAR 31N64W. A WEAK COLD FRONT WHICH MOVED OFF THE U.S.
EAST COAST CONNECTS TO THE WESTERNMOST LOW...AND THEN A TROUGH
EXTENDS SW OF THE LOW INLAND OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA. THE TWO OTHER
LOWS LIE AHEAD OF THE FRONT...WITH A TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE
LOW NEAR BERMUDA TO 26N66W. AN UPPER LOW IS LOCATED WITHIN THE
SAME GENERAL REGION NEAR 30N61W WITH A TROUGH SW TO 24N69W AND
AN AREA OF UPPER DIFFLUENCE IS PRODUCING SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION FROM 23N-27.5N BETWEEN 63W-74W...PRIMARILY S OF THE
SURFACE FEATURES. THE LOWS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE SAME
NEIGHBORHOOD OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS BUT THEN THE GFS RIPS
ONE LOW NEWD INTO THE N ATLC AND A SECOND LOW DRIFTS WWD TOWARDS
FLORIDA (BUT STILL SITTING OFF THE COAST BY LATE WED). THE
ULTIMATE OUTCOME WILL LARGELY DEPEND ON WHERE AND IF DEEP
CONVECTION PERSISTS...SO STAY TUNED IN THE COMING DAYS.


8 PM Discussion.

Interesting to watch how this unfolds in the next few days.
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#29 Postby Zadok » Fri Sep 02, 2005 7:06 pm

Hmmm... very interesting. I hope they get some gas to the service stations in So. Florida by the middle of the week. :lol:
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#30 Postby Brent » Fri Sep 02, 2005 7:25 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:guys, what does homebrew mean? Does it mean some tropical system that forms very close to the US coast?

<RICKY>


Yep... storms that form near the U.S.
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#31 Postby Brent » Fri Sep 02, 2005 7:29 pm

Looking VERY interesting:

Image
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#32 Postby cajungal » Fri Sep 02, 2005 7:35 pm

Just let it recurve. Hopefully, this will not get it in the gulf.
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#33 Postby cycloneye » Fri Sep 02, 2005 9:39 pm

A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS EXTENDS FROM
JUST SOUTH OF BERMUDA SOUTHWESTWARD TO THE BAHAMAS. THIS ACTIVITY
IS ASSOCIATED WITH A COMPLEX...BROAD...AND NEARLY STATIONARY
SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS CURRENTLY ARE
NOT FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA...BUT
COULD GRADUALLY BECOME SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.


10:30 PM TWO .

Interesting the more bullish language now.
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#34 Postby Ivanhater » Fri Sep 02, 2005 9:47 pm

omg, if this goes in the gulf, could you imagine??pull up!!!!!!! turn!!!!
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#35 Postby JamesFromMaine2 » Fri Sep 02, 2005 10:27 pm

well if they got every one away from the gulf coast and then had a cat 5 go through there maybe it would do all the clean up for them with the surge and then after they could start rebuilding! if that were to happen it would save alot of time! lol Just so no one takes this the wrong way I really don't think its funny Katrina was the worse thing that could have ever happend but I do think that laughing about something and making the most out of it is better for me then crying!
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#36 Postby MiamiensisWx » Fri Sep 02, 2005 10:33 pm

JamesFromMaine2 wrote:well if they got every one away from the gulf coast and then had a cat 5 go through there maybe it would do all the clean up for them with the surge and then after they could start rebuilding! if that were to happen it would save alot of time! lol Just so no one takes this the wrong way I really don't think its funny Katrina was the worse thing that could have ever happend but I do think that laughing about something and making the most out of it is better for me then crying!


Interesting thought. However, I personally feel that is fantasy and, truthfully, the results of a second storm - especially a Category Five - would be beyond catastrophic. Also, it wouldn't help the debris problem, only worsen it. Think of all the arsenal the storm would have to create dangerous flying objects... ugh! Another storm surge would without doubt destroy entire areas, due to the earlier destruction by Katrina. People are suffering there and in other areas enough... we don't need another storm of ANY strength.
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#37 Postby SouthFloridawx » Fri Sep 02, 2005 10:36 pm

CapeVerdeWave wrote:
JamesFromMaine2 wrote:well if they got every one away from the gulf coast and then had a cat 5 go through there maybe it would do all the clean up for them with the surge and then after they could start rebuilding! if that were to happen it would save alot of time! lol Just so no one takes this the wrong way I really don't think its funny Katrina was the worse thing that could have ever happend but I do think that laughing about something and making the most out of it is better for me then crying!


Interesting thought. However, I personally feel that is fantasy and, truthfully, the results of a second storm - especially a Category Five - would be beyond catastrophic. Also, it wouldn't help the debris problem, only worsen it. Think of all the arsenal the storm would have to create dangerous flying objects... ugh! Another storm surge would without doubt destroy entire areas, due to the earlier destruction by Katrina. People are suffering there and in other areas enough... we don't need another storm of ANY strength.


i think he was trying to make light of the situation. :lol:
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#38 Postby JamesFromMaine2 » Fri Sep 02, 2005 10:40 pm

yeah I know like I said I am just trying not to get mad or cry or anything! Like I have told many people I don't think that area would survive another storm However we are in or entering the heart of the Hurricane season and storms are going to make landfall and we have no control over that all we can do is hope and pray for the best! :cry:
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#39 Postby MiamiensisWx » Fri Sep 02, 2005 10:40 pm

southfloridawx2005 wrote:i think he was trying to make light of the situation. :lol:


I know. It was a good thought, one we certainly need (of course!), but we sometimes have to deal with reality.

Still, though, lightening up the situation would be wonderful, especially if we could do it as part of helping those devastated by this storm... however, for those who have nothing, some humor - even well-meant - might very easily seem inappropriate.

Hope you see what I mean... sorry if I explained it wrong...

JamesFromMaine2, I understand...

:cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry:
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#40 Postby SouthFloridawx » Fri Sep 02, 2005 10:45 pm

we are all stressed out by it even though some of us didn't get the brunt of the storm.. we just got a tropical storm here in palm beach county.... But, everyone in the country is stressed out by the situation watching people suffer... but, it was starting to relieve some frustration when we saw the army come in today....

It's all good it's hard to tell tone of voice on these things..... :wink:
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