Geez...The 0Z GFDL

[Dean4Storms]

"remember originally Katrina was supposed to go into the Florida Panhandle and look what happened?"

Yeah but don't forget Oort had it heading to new orleans at the very beginning...his first call on katrina was very impressive. Didn't
forecast the southern dip but it still ended up in the same place.

im pretty sure he had it going to pcola not new orleans to start, and he shifted east with the models later, then to new orleans

You are right, he shifted his track like everyone else with Katrina.

[spinfan4eva]

Yes, Derek did shift his track like everyone else but he was the first to alarm us that NOLA was in trouble, even before the NHC. Unfortunately, he was right

[fci]

Post deleted

[jimvb]

Unless possibly one believes in parallel universes, there is exactly one future that is ahead of us, and all tropical cyclones that will develop will be part of that future. It isn't the case that there is one future for one tropical system, and another for another, and so forth.

Yet this is what the GFDL is trying to tell us. If you tell it to track Maria, 94L does not do much of anything except produce some blue bands of cloudiness. If you tell it to track 94L instead, it makes out of 94L a tropical storm which crosses Florida and hits New Orleans. These are both 20050906 00Z runs.

Why does GFDL have this system-dependent behavior? And will the real GFDL please stand up?

[nequad]

^huh?

[wxmann_91]

Geez, just saw this, and...


I THINK I'M GOING TO BE SICK.