Will Texas get its share?

f5 · #1 Postby f5 » Mon Sep 05, 2005 2:31 pm

So far every Gulf Coast State has been hit which make me think that Texas isn't a magnet for hurricanes much less major hurricane there been so much development along the coast the really last hit was Aclia which makes Houston/Galveston even more prone beacuse they population has exploded since then.The feeling here is are we out of the woods which makes me worried for a Katrina like disaster if Houston were to take a direct hit.

scostorms · #2 Postby **scostorms** » Mon Sep 05, 2005 2:40 pm

I don't know... it seems to me that those hurricanes are destined to strike the Gulf coast this year. I put together a map of who got what type of winds from tropical systems in the GOM, and from Corpus Christi, TX to Lake Charles, LA and Spring Hill, FL to Port Charlotte, FL have not seen any tropical winds. If those storms have a mind of their own, as a joke, they are racing to claim a plot of the Gulf coast!

ROCK · #3 Postby **ROCK** » Mon Sep 05, 2005 2:43 pm

f5 wrote:So far every Gulf Coast State has been hit which make me think that Texas isn't a magnet for hurricanes much less major hurricane there been so much development along the coast the really last hit was Aclia which makes Houston/Galveston even more prone beacuse they population has exploded since then.The feeling here is are we out of the woods which makes me worried for a Katrina like disaster if Houston were to take a direct hit.

Go to KHOU hurricane central to look at the impact of a cat 5 coming into Galveston. That pretty much explains it all. Remember NO was below sea level and after the 1900 storm Galveston island was raised somewhat and built the sea wall. Not downplaying a Kat like scenario but the damage would hopefully be not as severe.

f5 · #4 Postby f5 » Mon Sep 05, 2005 2:46 pm

ROCK wrote:
f5 wrote:So far every Gulf Coast State has been hit which make me think that Texas isn't a magnet for hurricanes much less major hurricane there been so much development along the coast the really last hit was Aclia which makes Houston/Galveston even more prone beacuse they population has exploded since then.The feeling here is are we out of the woods which makes me worried for a Katrina like disaster if Houston were to take a direct hit.

Go to KHOU hurricane central to look at the impact of a cat 5 coming into Galveston. That pretty much explains it all. Remember NO was below sea level and after the 1900 storm Galveston island was raised somewhat and built the sea wall. Not downplaying a Kat like scenario but the damage would hopefully be not as severe.

I don't even what to imagine what Houston would look like it would look like Missippi on a much larger scale :eek:

#5 Postby **jeff** » Mon Sep 05, 2005 3:15 pm

TX is not out of the woods for a tropical system landfall. It is early September and many systems have struck TX in Sept.

Residents should have their hurricane plans ready. Hopefully what has happened with Katrina will scare many into action when the time comes to put those plans in place.

KatDaddy · #6 Postby **KatDaddy** » Mon Sep 05, 2005 3:27 pm

Thanks for the sanity check and good to hear from you. Its been a very tough week and season. I have to say I am hoping for the best for the Houston-Galveston Area. Extrememly saddened by the loss of life and destruction. Never thought I would ever see Camille type destruction or 1900 death tolls (I feel that is next).

#7 Postby **HURAKAN** » Mon Sep 05, 2005 3:31 pm

Be thanksful that Texas like the Carolinas had been out of the woods so far this season.

CharleySurvivor · #8 Postby **CharleySurvivor** » Mon Sep 05, 2005 3:36 pm

No, no, no guys... Texas is being way to kind to those affected by Katrina. and the Texas state is gonna be just fine for the rest of the season.

A little birdy told me so :wink:

. God bless Texas!

f5 · #9 Postby f5 » Mon Sep 05, 2005 3:45 pm

CharleySurvivor wrote:No, no, no guys... Texas is being way to kind to those affected by Katrina. and the Texas state is gonna be just fine for the rest of the season.

A little birdy told me so . God bless Texas!

The only thing we had is heat(at least we still have AC) which is about average its alot better then hurricanes&tornados

#10 Postby **windsurfer77058** » Mon Sep 05, 2005 5:06 pm

We can't have a hurricane. We have all of Louisiana in Texas and that just wouldn't be very neighborly.

#11 Postby **stormcloud** » Mon Sep 05, 2005 5:16 pm

Historically Texas is not out of the woods from a tropical system hit until mid-October.

Swimdude · #12 Postby **Swimdude** » Mon Sep 05, 2005 6:51 pm

I believe Houston has had something to the effect of this...

10% of Houston landfalls in June
20% in July
40% in August
30% in September

Either way... We're not QUITE out of the woods, but look at all these storms we get... Allison... Alicia... A-storms. The early ones.

dwg71 · #13 Postby **dwg71** » Mon Sep 05, 2005 7:49 pm

Once we start getting cool fronts the odds drop dramatically. We had on come into the area over the weekend, but it was weak and did not push through. we've got about 2-3 weeks to be out of the woods.

I would give houston a 5% chance for a cane, 10% for a TC of any type.

hicksta · #14 Postby **hicksta** » Mon Sep 05, 2005 9:09 pm

windsurfer77058 wrote:We can't have a hurricane. We have all of Louisiana in Texas and that just wouldn't be very neighborly.

Where do you live in NB

cctxhurricanewatcher · #15 Postby **cctxhurricanewatcher** » Mon Sep 05, 2005 9:16 pm

jeff wrote:TX is not out of the woods for a tropical system landfall. It is early September and many systems have struck TX in Sept.

Residents should have their hurricane plans ready. Hopefully what has happened with Katrina will scare many into action when the time comes to put those plans in place.

I hope you're right, but I am afraid alot of people would do just what quite a few did during this last storm and that is stay.

susan · #16 Postby **susan** » Mon Sep 05, 2005 9:32 pm

The 1900 storm would have been an "A" storm...first one out of the shoot for that year....So there goes our "A" theory... :oops:

LaBreeze · #17 Postby **LaBreeze** » Mon Sep 05, 2005 9:34 pm

I hope nothing affects the Western GOM and Texas because the sst's in the WGOM are still way up there in the upper 80s and lower 90s. Katrina hardly affected those waters and they are still very, very warm.

#18 Postby **deltadog03** » Mon Sep 05, 2005 9:43 pm

great point....we have the warmest waters in the GOM right now

#19 Postby **jasons2k** » Mon Sep 05, 2005 9:52 pm

deltadog03 wrote:great point....we have the warmest waters in the GOM right now

Hey man,

yep, i agree too, one area still untapped, and that's TX

Jim Hughes · #20 Postby **Jim Hughes** » Mon Sep 05, 2005 10:08 pm

jeff wrote:TX is not out of the woods for a tropical system landfall. It is early September and many systems have struck TX in Sept.

Residents should have their hurricane plans ready. Hopefully what has happened with Katrina will scare many into action when the time comes to put those plans in place.

They have had some TS's but I think only one or two hurricanes have made landfall in Texas during the past twenty years or so. They have either been been very lucky or there might be some kind of decadal pattern going on.

Jim

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