Minimum pressure/maximum wind reports:
Naha, about 200 NM SW of the center (hourly reports):
11 UTC Sep 04 29.21 (0989) N 41 light rain showers
Minamidaitojima, about 30 NM SW of the center and just outside the eye (3-hourly reports):
03 UTC Sep 04 28.08 (0951) N 60 heavy rain showers
06 UTC Sep 04 27.68 (0937) NW 37 light rain showers
Pressure likely lower than 935 in the center.
Lowest pressure so far:
Naze, going to be in the western eyewall (3-hourly reports):
15 UTC Sep 04 29.01 (0982) NNE 16
Side note: JTWC track has shifted further east...a strong surge could be sent up into Kagoshima if that verifies.
TY Nabi (14W) - WPAC
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StormsAhead
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- Location: Cape Cod, Massachusetts
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HurricaneBill
- Category 5
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- Location: East Longmeadow, MA, USA
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no advance
- Category 1
- Posts: 413
- Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 1:50 pm
- Location: merritt is.
Pro surfers are kiling it in Japan http://www.aspworldtour.com/ Better than Sulnday night baseball.
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StormsAhead
- Category 5
- Posts: 1447
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- Location: Cape Cod, Massachusetts
Amami- 2 AM UTC- 28.26 (0957) N 59 Gust 79
Naze- 12 AM UTC- 28.64 (0970) NNW 30
Okinoerabu- 2 AM UTC- 28.85 (0977) NW 40 Gust 63
Conditions are rapidly deteriorating in the Kagoshima area, almost TS winds and squalls. Satellite estimates are increasing, and the typhoon has strengthened to 115 knots. New JTWC track has the center going just east of Kagoshima, which would be much better than just to the west. Landfall will likely be in about 24 hours.
Naze- 12 AM UTC- 28.64 (0970) NNW 30
Okinoerabu- 2 AM UTC- 28.85 (0977) NW 40 Gust 63
Conditions are rapidly deteriorating in the Kagoshima area, almost TS winds and squalls. Satellite estimates are increasing, and the typhoon has strengthened to 115 knots. New JTWC track has the center going just east of Kagoshima, which would be much better than just to the west. Landfall will likely be in about 24 hours.
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P.K.
- Professional-Met
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- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
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Still at 85kts.
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0514 NABI (0514)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 050900UTC 29.1N 130.2E GOOD
MOVE NNW 07KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 085KT
50KT 160NM EAST 140NM WEST
30KT 450NM EAST 350NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 060900UTC 33.0N 130.8E 100NM 70%
MOVE NNE 11KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 075KT
45HF 070600UTC 38.3N 134.9E 160NM 70%
MOVE NNE 17KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
69HF 080600UTC 45.6N 145.8E 270NM 70%
MOVE NE 27KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0514 NABI (0514)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 050900UTC 29.1N 130.2E GOOD
MOVE NNW 07KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 085KT
50KT 160NM EAST 140NM WEST
30KT 450NM EAST 350NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 060900UTC 33.0N 130.8E 100NM 70%
MOVE NNE 11KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 075KT
45HF 070600UTC 38.3N 134.9E 160NM 70%
MOVE NNE 17KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
69HF 080600UTC 45.6N 145.8E 270NM 70%
MOVE NE 27KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
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StormsAhead
- Category 5
- Posts: 1447
- Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 6:38 pm
- Location: Cape Cod, Massachusetts
Maximum wind/Minimum pressure:
Amami: NNW 62 MPH Gust 86 MPH/28.15 in (953 hPa)
Minamidatojima: N 60 MPH/27.68 in (937 hPa)
Okinoerabu: NW 43 MPH Gust 63 MPH/28.85 in (977 hPa)
Naze: NNW 40 MPH/28.44 in (963 hPa)
Latest observations in the path:
Miyazaki: E 43 MPH Gust 55 MPH/29.27 in (991 hPa) Rain
Nagasaki: NNE 37 MPH/29.36 in (994 hPa) Light Rain
Kagoshima: ENE 35 MPH/29.07 in (984 hPa) Heavy Rain
Tanegashima: E 31 MPH/28.82 in (976 hPa) Heavy Rain
Nyutabaru: ENE 31 MPH/29.36 in (994 hPa) Rain
JTWC has an initial intensity of 110 knots and a path that would put Kagoshima in the western part of the eye. However, at 9z the typhoon made a wobble to the left of the track.
Amami: NNW 62 MPH Gust 86 MPH/28.15 in (953 hPa)
Minamidatojima: N 60 MPH/27.68 in (937 hPa)
Okinoerabu: NW 43 MPH Gust 63 MPH/28.85 in (977 hPa)
Naze: NNW 40 MPH/28.44 in (963 hPa)
Latest observations in the path:
Miyazaki: E 43 MPH Gust 55 MPH/29.27 in (991 hPa) Rain
Nagasaki: NNE 37 MPH/29.36 in (994 hPa) Light Rain
Kagoshima: ENE 35 MPH/29.07 in (984 hPa) Heavy Rain
Tanegashima: E 31 MPH/28.82 in (976 hPa) Heavy Rain
Nyutabaru: ENE 31 MPH/29.36 in (994 hPa) Rain
JTWC has an initial intensity of 110 knots and a path that would put Kagoshima in the western part of the eye. However, at 9z the typhoon made a wobble to the left of the track.
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P.K.
- Professional-Met
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- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
- Location: Watford, England
- Contact:
Typhoon Nabi hits southern Japan
Southern Japan has been lashed by a powerful typhoon that triggered landslides and floods and killed at least one person.
More than 100,000 people were ordered to flee from the storm, Typhoon Nabi, which brought winds of 144km/h (89mph), and up to 80cm (32in) of rain.
One woman drowned after falling from a ferry and at least 16 others were missing.
Up to 23 people were injured, Kyodo news agency reported.
Three people were missing after a mudslide slammed into houses in Shiiba village in Miyazaki, local police said.
"The search for them is not proceeding due to heavy rain," an official told the AFP news agency.
"We have been seeing torrential rain and the slow speed of the typhoon is making things worse. We have ordered cities and towns to be on high alert," an official at the regional government on Kyushu island told AFP.
About 10% of Japan's population lives on Kyushu, where the Typhoon made landfall at 1400 (0500GMT).
Seventy troops have been deployed to the island.
Ferry services from Fukuoka to South Korea, and from elsewhere in Kyushu to western Japan have been cancelled.
About 20,000 air passengers have had their flights cancelled due to Nabi.
Typhoon Nabi has already sparked thunder storms in Tokyo, bringing more than 110 mm (4.3 inches) of rain to the capital in an hour late on Sunday.
China hit
It follows Typhoon Talim which battered Taiwan and China last week.
The reported death toll in China rose to at least 84 on Monday.
Most of the victims were in Anhui province in the south-east of the country, state media said.
As many as one million people have been evacuated from their homes.
Talim had weakened to a tropical storm by the time it arrived on mainland China, but it still brought torrential rains, floods and mudslides.
Typhoon Nabi is also expected to affect eastern China's Zhejiang province and southern and eastern parts of South Korea.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/asia-pacific/4215098.stm
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0514 NABI (0514)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 060900UTC 33.5N 130.3E GOOD
MOVE N 14KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 065KT
50KT 110NM EAST 95NM WEST
30KT 375NM EAST 350NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 070900UTC 39.9N 135.1E 100NM 70%
MOVE NNE 21KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 065KT
45HF 080600UTC 46.2N 145.4E 170NM 70%
MOVE NE 25KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 060KT
69HF 090600UTC 48.2N 159.1E 270NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW
Southern Japan has been lashed by a powerful typhoon that triggered landslides and floods and killed at least one person.
More than 100,000 people were ordered to flee from the storm, Typhoon Nabi, which brought winds of 144km/h (89mph), and up to 80cm (32in) of rain.
One woman drowned after falling from a ferry and at least 16 others were missing.
Up to 23 people were injured, Kyodo news agency reported.
Three people were missing after a mudslide slammed into houses in Shiiba village in Miyazaki, local police said.
"The search for them is not proceeding due to heavy rain," an official told the AFP news agency.
"We have been seeing torrential rain and the slow speed of the typhoon is making things worse. We have ordered cities and towns to be on high alert," an official at the regional government on Kyushu island told AFP.
About 10% of Japan's population lives on Kyushu, where the Typhoon made landfall at 1400 (0500GMT).
Seventy troops have been deployed to the island.
Ferry services from Fukuoka to South Korea, and from elsewhere in Kyushu to western Japan have been cancelled.
About 20,000 air passengers have had their flights cancelled due to Nabi.
Typhoon Nabi has already sparked thunder storms in Tokyo, bringing more than 110 mm (4.3 inches) of rain to the capital in an hour late on Sunday.
China hit
It follows Typhoon Talim which battered Taiwan and China last week.
The reported death toll in China rose to at least 84 on Monday.
Most of the victims were in Anhui province in the south-east of the country, state media said.
As many as one million people have been evacuated from their homes.
Talim had weakened to a tropical storm by the time it arrived on mainland China, but it still brought torrential rains, floods and mudslides.
Typhoon Nabi is also expected to affect eastern China's Zhejiang province and southern and eastern parts of South Korea.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/asia-pacific/4215098.stm
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0514 NABI (0514)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 060900UTC 33.5N 130.3E GOOD
MOVE N 14KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 065KT
50KT 110NM EAST 95NM WEST
30KT 375NM EAST 350NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 070900UTC 39.9N 135.1E 100NM 70%
MOVE NNE 21KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 065KT
45HF 080600UTC 46.2N 145.4E 170NM 70%
MOVE NE 25KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 060KT
69HF 090600UTC 48.2N 159.1E 270NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW
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