Tropical Storm Ophelia

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cycloneye
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Tropical Storm Ophelia

#1 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 06, 2005 8:12 am

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

NONAME at NRL.
Last edited by cycloneye on Thu Sep 15, 2005 7:41 pm, edited 18 times in total.
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Tropical Storm Ophelia Advisories

#2 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 06, 2005 8:13 am

First Advisorie at 11 AM.Wow the season is on a very fast pace and it's beating 1933.
Last edited by cycloneye on Sat Sep 17, 2005 10:06 pm, edited 140 times in total.
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#3 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Sep 06, 2005 8:14 am

wtf? i thought they would wait for recon, well its happens when it happens
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#4 Postby cjrciadt » Tue Sep 06, 2005 8:14 am

At this rate we will have Wilma by umm... Sept. 22nd!!!!
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#5 Postby Patrick99 » Tue Sep 06, 2005 8:16 am

Yeah, I was wondering when this would happen. It's looking pretty good.
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#6 Postby Steve H. » Tue Sep 06, 2005 8:17 am

Luis, why can't we open the pix at NRL site? I have been having trouble all weekend. Is the site down??
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#7 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 06, 2005 8:18 am

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN (AL162005) ON 20050906 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050906 1200 050907 0000 050907 1200 050908 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 26.5N 78.5W 27.7N 79.4W 28.6N 80.1W 29.2N 80.5W
BAMM 26.5N 78.5W 27.3N 79.2W 28.0N 79.8W 28.5N 80.2W
A98E 26.5N 78.5W 26.4N 78.8W 27.3N 79.4W 28.0N 79.5W
LBAR 26.5N 78.5W 27.4N 79.1W 28.2N 79.3W 28.9N 78.9W
SHIP 25KTS 33KTS 41KTS 48KTS
DSHP 25KTS 33KTS 41KTS 48KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050908 1200 050909 1200 050910 1200 050911 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 29.4N 80.7W 30.0N 80.7W 31.3N 79.9W 31.5N 77.1W
BAMM 28.7N 80.5W 29.2N 81.1W 30.2N 82.5W 30.9N 83.8W
A98E 28.6N 79.9W 29.6N 80.4W 31.1N 80.6W 32.4N 76.3W
LBAR 29.6N 79.0W 30.9N 77.4W 34.1N 74.1W 36.6N 64.5W
SHIP 54KTS 61KTS 61KTS 58KTS
DSHP 54KTS 52KTS 31KTS 27KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 26.5N LONCUR = 78.5W DIRCUR = 0DEG SPDCUR = 0KT
LATM12 = 26.5N LONM12 = 78.5W DIRM12 = 21DEG SPDM12 = 4KT
LATM24 = 25.6N LONM24 = 78.7W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 60NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

Confirmation from the models it's TD16.
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#8 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Sep 06, 2005 8:18 am

Image

By the way, we are also 1 system above the WPAC, isn't that nice!
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#9 Postby Patrick99 » Tue Sep 06, 2005 8:19 am

We're beating the WPAC??? Geez.
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Re: Breaking News=TD16 Forms off Florida

#10 Postby jlauderdal » Tue Sep 06, 2005 8:20 am

cycloneye wrote:http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

NONAME at NRL.


this thing looks like it is moving south according to radar
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#11 Postby Aquawind » Tue Sep 06, 2005 8:20 am

No Surprises here.. Morning visible is impressive. The 8am discussion mentioned organizing as well. It is September with 3 systems lined up..Action packed as expected..

Paul
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#12 Postby cinlfla » Tue Sep 06, 2005 8:21 am

By the way, we are also 1 system above the WPAC, isn't that nice!




This is probably going to sound like a really stupid question but I have to ask....Is the wpac usually ahead of the atlanitic with the number of storms during hurricane season?
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#13 Postby Frank2 » Tue Sep 06, 2005 8:21 am

Winds are very light to calm here in Fort Lauderdale at this hour, with overcast skies and light rain since sunrise.

Hard to say where the NHC will put the circulation center, though the radar image does seem to suggest that it's just off our coast, and drifting southeastward at this time.

Click on http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... kamx.shtml to view.

So much for my lunch date with the NHC this week...

Frank
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#14 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Sep 06, 2005 8:23 am

cinlfla wrote:
By the way, we are also 1 system above the WPAC, isn't that nice!




This is probably going to sound like a really stupid question but I have to ask....Is the wpac usually ahead of the atlanitic with the number of storms during hurricane season?


99.99% of the time!
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#15 Postby feederband » Tue Sep 06, 2005 8:24 am

What is the official count of named storms up to..?Some how I have lost track..
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#16 Postby wxmann_91 » Tue Sep 06, 2005 8:24 am

Is the wpac usually ahead of the atlanitic with the number of storms during hurricane season?


Yes, but it has been unusually active in the Atlantic and unusually quiet in the WPAC.
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#17 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 06, 2005 8:25 am

feederband wrote:What is the official count of named storms up to..?Some how I have lost track..


2005 so far=14/5/4.
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#18 Postby cjrciadt » Tue Sep 06, 2005 8:26 am

14 named storms, 15 if we get Ophelia, only TD 10 did not develop, well it did as TD12=Kat.
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#19 Postby Andrew92 » Tue Sep 06, 2005 8:30 am

cycloneye wrote:
feederband wrote:What is the official count of named storms up to..?Some how I have lost track..


2005 so far=14/5/4.


And Nate could become a hurricane, making it 14/6/4, and this could become Ophelia, making it potentially 15/6/4. TD #16 will likely have trouble making hurricane status, but I'm not counting it out entirely.

-Andrew92
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#20 Postby cinlfla » Tue Sep 06, 2005 8:31 am

Thanks for the reply, sorry for straying off the subject
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