Tropical Storm Ophelia

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
bucman1
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 394
Joined: Mon Sep 13, 2004 7:59 am

#81 Postby bucman1 » Tue Sep 06, 2005 11:40 am

This is ominiously similiar to Katrina in many ways,forming innocently in the Bahamas,alittle north of Katrina.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
DESTRUCTION5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4423
Age: 43
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:25 am
Location: Stuart, FL

#82 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Tue Sep 06, 2005 11:44 am

Climatoligy tells us this track verifies <1% of the time...I see her difting onshore long before JAX...More like IRC or even SLC..IMHO...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
sponger
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1620
Joined: Thu Jul 22, 2004 11:26 am
Location: St Augustine

#83 Postby sponger » Tue Sep 06, 2005 11:49 am

Either way, this will be a huge rain even for Florida!
0 likes   
Top
shaggy
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 655
Joined: Fri Jul 22, 2005 4:14 pm
Location: greenville, n.c.

#84 Postby shaggy » Tue Sep 06, 2005 11:50 am

why would she have to drift onshore Fl it could easily stay offshore florida and make landfall further north in GA or southern SC but the NHC has been good this year so i would prepare for this if i was in northern florida and southern GA.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
DESTRUCTION5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4423
Age: 43
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:25 am
Location: Stuart, FL

#85 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Tue Sep 06, 2005 11:52 am

ncdowneast wrote:why would she have to drift onshore Fl it could easily stay offshore florida and make landfall further north in GA or southern SC but the NHC has been good this year so i would prepare for this if i was in northern florida and southern GA.


Ridge building in..
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cajungal
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2327
Age: 48
Joined: Sun Mar 14, 2004 9:34 pm
Location: Schriever, Louisiana (60 miles southwest of New Orleans)

#86 Postby cajungal » Tue Sep 06, 2005 11:53 am

At least, LA or MS is not in the cone. I would sure hate for anything to come this way. It would be really bad news.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HurricaneGirl
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5839
Age: 60
Joined: Thu Feb 06, 2003 9:45 am
Location: Clare, Michigan
Contact:
Contact HurricaneGirl

#87 Postby HurricaneGirl » Tue Sep 06, 2005 11:53 am

sponger wrote:Either way, this will be a huge rain even for Florida!
Holy Crap it's coming right for us! :eek:
0 likes   
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 37988
Age: 36
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

#88 Postby Brent » Tue Sep 06, 2005 11:55 am

My initial feeling is it turns westward and comes in around Daytona Beach, maybe Cape Canaveral as a hurricane... probably a Cat 1, but you never know.
0 likes   
#neversummer
Top
Anonymous

#89 Postby Anonymous » Tue Sep 06, 2005 12:03 pm

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:Climatoligy tells us this track verifies <1% of the time...I see her difting onshore long before JAX...More like IRC or even SLC..IMHO...


IRC...SLC.... speak english dude! HAHA
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8345
Age: 46
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:
Contact SouthFloridawx

#90 Postby SouthFloridawx » Tue Sep 06, 2005 12:05 pm

Indiana River County
Saint Lucie County
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
sweetpea
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 858
Age: 57
Joined: Fri Jun 10, 2005 5:49 pm
Location: Sopchoppy, FL

#91 Postby sweetpea » Tue Sep 06, 2005 12:06 pm

HurricaneGirl wrote:
sponger wrote:Either way, this will be a huge rain even for Florida!
Holy Crap it's coming right for us! :eek:


Sure looks that way-that 8am Sat point is right over my head. Debbie
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cinlfla
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 687
Joined: Mon Aug 16, 2004 7:16 pm
Location: Titusville, Florida on the Spacecoast

#92 Postby cinlfla » Tue Sep 06, 2005 12:06 pm

IRC...SLC.... speak english dude! HAHA




IRC= Indian River County SLC= Saint Lucie County
0 likes   
Top
no advance
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 413
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 1:50 pm
Location: merritt is.

#93 Postby no advance » Tue Sep 06, 2005 12:07 pm

Joe B just put it on paper. TD16 will mill around to Sat then move into the gulf.
0 likes   
Top
chicagopizza
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 287
Joined: Tue Sep 07, 2004 3:24 pm
Location: Savannah, GA

#94 Postby chicagopizza » Tue Sep 06, 2005 12:08 pm

All I know is that I have to order food for 20 people by tomorrow and the party looks like it may have an uninvited guest if we are in that NE quadrant. :eek: However, I would prefer that over a turn into the gulf.
Last edited by chicagopizza on Tue Sep 06, 2005 12:10 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cjrciadt
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1616
Joined: Mon Aug 22, 2005 1:11 pm
Location: Kissimmee, FL

#95 Postby cjrciadt » Tue Sep 06, 2005 12:09 pm

no advance wrote:Joe B just put it on paper. TD16 will mill around to Sat then move into the gulf.
How will it get there, jump over FL? No landfall predictions?
Just getting a hurricane local statement on TWC, prepare now etc.
Last edited by cjrciadt on Tue Sep 06, 2005 12:12 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
DESTRUCTION5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4423
Age: 43
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:25 am
Location: Stuart, FL

#96 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Tue Sep 06, 2005 12:12 pm

cjrciadt wrote:
no advance wrote:Joe B just put it on paper. TD16 will mill around to Sat then move into the gulf.
How will it get there, jump over FL? No landfall predictions?


Yea No Advance..Give us a little Advance...LOL
0 likes   
Top
stormernie

Center - redeveloping

#97 Postby stormernie » Tue Sep 06, 2005 12:14 pm

In looking at the long range radar loops out of Miami and Melbourne it seems that a new center may or has develop north of Grand Bahama and east of Fort Pierce. Recon planes are on the way there and this should be verify as far as a true center later today.

Regardless it looks stationary and I don't see any real movement for at 24-48 hours.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8345
Age: 46
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:
Contact SouthFloridawx

#98 Postby SouthFloridawx » Tue Sep 06, 2005 12:15 pm

This is a weaker system lower in the atmosphere and the lower level winds are pushing it.

Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8345
Age: 46
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:
Contact SouthFloridawx

#99 Postby SouthFloridawx » Tue Sep 06, 2005 12:18 pm

As this thing grows in strength it will be pushed by the upper level winds. I think the question (blob of uncertainty) is that if and when it gets stronger it will be picked up by the upper level winds.

Is that a correct assumption Prof. Mets.?

[/img]http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/atlantic/winds/wg8dlm1.GIF[img][/img]
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8345
Age: 46
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:
Contact SouthFloridawx

#100 Postby SouthFloridawx » Tue Sep 06, 2005 12:18 pm

Image
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2005”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 13 guests