Sarasota fl seems to be a safe spot from storms....

[Noah]

I seem to be watching daily all these storms, be depression or hurricane to be safe..and thank god they have been skimming around sarasota. Seems im in a pretty safe spot, almost seem i dont need to check anymore unless my local weather says something.

[gatorcane]

no that is not true. From about Sarasota south along the west coast gets hit frequently when we are in an active period in the Atlantic as we are in now.

Your highest chances of getting hit are in September and especially October.

[boca]

No its Duval county in Jacksonville. Now that I said it we'll get hit by the Big O.

[gatorcane]

true.

I was up in St. Augustine this past Labor Day weekend and the that town would be flattened by a major hurricane with all of the very old buildings. Fort Castillo would be okay though.

[Deb321]

No its Duval county in Jacksonville. Now that I said it we'll get hit by the Big O.

I got hit by Frances and Jeanne here in Port St Lucie last year and now as soon as I sell my house I am moving to JAX and hopefully they won't follow me there. I feel like a hurricane magnet

[johngaltfla]

Get the book "Florida Hurricanes and Tropical Storms, 1871-2001" by John M. Williams, Iver W. Duedall.

You'll get a different read on our area. Of course, we're on the so-called "past due" list like Tampa is and New Orleans was.

[Noah]

I was in tampa last year and frances and jeanne skimmed us. I cant remember which one knocked out my power for 2 days by some 40 mph gusts.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Tampa bay area has been lucky as heck. We miss the big ones thankfully.
Unfortunately other ppl in other places get hit when they miss us.
Last year charley and ivan missed us.

Dennis missed. Katrina did not go up the coast like some of the models said. Now Ophelia is pulling away.

But we do get a lot of storms in weakened states.

Jeanne, Frances gusts to hurricane force; same with gordon 2000 and gabrielle 2001. 30-40 mph gusty winds from Henri 03, harvey 99, mitch 98, josephine 96; erin and jerry 95.
Charley brought some gusty winds as it passed by.

We have dodged the big ones.

The day we get hit is the day my home's first floor gets screwed by
bay flooding if a big one comes.

When Charley was threatening I was really afraid for example.

[Deb321]

Get the book "Florida Hurricanes and Tropical Storms, 1871-2001" by John M. Williams, Iver W. Duedall.

You'll get a different read on our area. Of course, we're on the so-called "past due" list like Tampa is and New Orleans was.

From what I understand our area Port St Lucie had not been hit in many years and then we got hit 2 times in 3 weeks

[Noah]

Tampa Bay Hurricane

I was scared to death from charley too, i was on the phone with my family wondering if i should go to port charlotte, then after wathcing it go due east kat 4..i freaked for them. Where in tampa are you,,i used to jog on bay shore bvld.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

In 1848 Tampa Bay was hit directly by 2 major hurricanes within 3 weeks.

One hit around early september as cat 4 or 5. The next hit late september as cat 3 or 4 or 5, One flooded the bay, one drained it
Not sure which did which
but I saw some documentary several years ago on these 2 big hits.

Then in 1921 a Major Cane hit as cat 3. Then in 1940s some intense
canes passed just offshore.
In 1960 or something a strong one hit.

Since then we have been really lucky.

[gatorcane]

Tampa bay area has been lucky as heck. We miss the big ones thankfully.
Unfortunately other ppl in other places get hit when they miss us.
Last year charley and ivan missed us.

Dennis missed. Katrina did not go up the coast like some of the models said. Now Ophelia is pulling away.

But we do get a lot of storms in weakened states.

Jeanne, Frances gusts to hurricane force; same with gordon 2000 and gabrielle 2001. 30-40 mph gusty winds from Henri 03, harvey 99, mitch 98, josephine 96; erin and jerry 95.
Charley brought some gusty winds as it passed by.

We have dodged the big ones.

The day we get hit is the day my home's first floor gets screwed by
bay flooding if a big one comes.

When Charley was threatening I was really afraid for example.

Unfortunately there will be a time a major hurricane will hit Tampa Bay. The surge from the bay will flood all of South Tampa and low lying areas of Pinellas County (St. Pete/Clearwater) will be wiped out. It's going to happen at some point. The question is when?

The amount of damage could be as much as New Orleans

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Tampa Bay Hurricane

I was scared to death from charley too, i was on the phone with my family wondering if i should go to port charlotte, then after wathcing it go due east kat 4..i freaked for them. Where in tampa are you,,i used to jog on bay shore bvld.

I am in St. Petersburg, the northeast part of it, right near the bay.
Very close to shore acres. A few miles north of the St.Pete Pier.

[Noah]

Not in my lifetime hopefully.

[johngaltfla]

Tampa bay area has been lucky as heck. We miss the big ones thankfully.
Unfortunately other ppl in other places get hit when they miss us.
Last year charley and ivan missed us.

Dennis missed. Katrina did not go up the coast like some of the models said. Now Ophelia is pulling away.

But we do get a lot of storms in weakened states.

Jeanne, Frances gusts to hurricane force; same with gordon 2000 and gabrielle 2001. 30-40 mph gusty winds from Henri 03, harvey 99, mitch 98, josephine 96; erin and jerry 95.
Charley brought some gusty winds as it passed by.

We have dodged the big ones.

The day we get hit is the day my home's first floor gets screwed by
bay flooding if a big one comes.

When Charley was threatening I was really afraid for example.

Unfortunately there will be a time a major hurricane will hit Tampa Bay. The surge from the bay will flood all of South Tampa and low lying areas of Pinellas County (St. Pete/Clearwater) will be wiped out. It's going to happen at some point. The question is when?

The amount of damage could be as much as New Orleans

That is correct. Some of the models the Emergency Management folks have used up there said that a Charley could have pushed a 6 ft. surge as deep as I-75 in Hillsborough County.

Ybor City would of course be way under water as well as most of Downtown and Davis Island (as usual).

[Deb321]

Boca-Chris I just read an article about that very subject.It was talking about Tampa being overdue and how horrible it would be today with the population and growth of the area.

[Terry]

Noah,

Bight your tongue. Don't jinx West Central FL - lol.

Many people in NOLA thought the big one wouldn't come their way either.

[gatorcane]

Boca-Chris I just read an article about that very subject.It was talking about Tampa being overdue and how horrible it would be today with the population and growth of the area.

Do you have the article? I'd like to give it a read through.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

the other night I had a horrific nightmare of a cat 4 hitting me dead on
It felt so real with visuals of stuff going everywhere. When I awoke it took me a few minutes to realize I had been
dreaming.

[Deb321]

Boca-Chris I just read an article about that very subject.It was talking about Tampa being overdue and how horrible it would be today with the population and growth of the area.

Do you have the article? I'd like to give it a read through.

I will see if I can find it Hopefully I bookmarked it