is south florida safe?

wzrgirl1 · #1 Postby **wzrgirl1** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 7:31 am

One local meterologist here in south florida....can't remember her name feels that south florida will be safe from Ophelia. How can a statement like that be made if the track is so uncertain? Do most of you feel we are safe here in dade and broward? :eek:

Scorpion · #2 Postby **Scorpion** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 7:32 am

Well, its still possible that it could take a track similar to Jeanne. But right now its falling apart.

DESTRUCTION5 · #3 Postby **DESTRUCTION5** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 7:38 am

Scorpion wrote:Well, its still possible that it could take a track similar to Jeanne. But right now its falling apart.

LMAO...Come on Scorp you know better

#4 Postby **mascpa** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 7:40 am

Falling apart?? With pressure drop to 989 per the 8am advisory?

Scorpion · #5 Postby **Scorpion** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 7:44 am

Look at the IR.

MortisFL · #6 Postby **MortisFL** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 7:46 am

Scorpion wrote:Look at the IR.

Why look at the IR when theres a radar out of Melbourne that can show you everything.

boca · #7 Postby **boca** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 7:54 am

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Since Ophelia is north of South Florida's latitude I think were safe from this storm because none of the models have it moving South Or SW. One senario has it moving west across N FL and the other a slow drift north then NE out to sea. I don't see this storm pulling a Betsy either.

wzrgirl1 · #8 Postby **wzrgirl1** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 7:58 am

boca wrote:The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Since Ophelia is north of South Florida's latitude I think were safe from this storm because none of the models have it moving South Or SW. One senario has it moving west across N FL and the other a slow drift north then NE out to sea. I don't see this storm pulling a Betsy either.

True that it is north of our latitude but after the loop will it still be...can it take that much of a dip southwest?

artist · #9 Postby **artist** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 8:01 am

that's my concern as well up here in Palm Beach county.

#10 Postby **feederband** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 8:02 am

Of corse it is safe they took the watches and warnings off....OOOPS...Might be drifting ssw now..... :roll:

boca · #11 Postby **boca** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 8:03 am

If the high builds in and it strong enough sure it could push it south or SW, but I don't think that will happen. Weather changes daily so what is today's thinking will probably change tomorrow. One think for sure don't get rid of your hurricane supplies until Christmas.

wzrgirl1 · #12 Postby **wzrgirl1** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 8:03 am

feederband wrote:Of corse it is safe they took the watches and warnings off....OOOPS...Might be drifting ssw now.....

in the short term yes....i am looking at about 5-7 days down the road...

boca · #13 Postby **boca** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 8:06 am

Flip a coin I thik everyone is doing it on this storm.

wzrgirl1 · #14 Postby **wzrgirl1** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 8:09 am

boca wrote:Flip a coin I thik everyone is doing it on this storm.

I guess it's too early to speculate....I told my hubby that if we get anything out of this....I am leaving.....not worried so much about damage....I just don't like to hear the winds no matter what speed...Katrina made me very nervous....and my son still has a hard time when he sees dark clouds...he thinks every storm is going to blow his house down....I don't want to put him through that again.

x-y-no · #15 Postby **x-y-no** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 8:38 am

If there's any northward component to the drift over the next two to three days, I don't see her getting far enough south when (if) she loops to affect us. It just doesn't seem the ridge will be strong enough to do that.

If the motion over the next couple of days is stationary to slowly east, then there's still some small chance were affected in the 5 to 7 day range.

#16 Postby **Windtalker1** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 8:38 am

Channel 6 this morning, Lonnie Smith, states that if this storm moves further out to see and starts her southwest movement back, South Florida can very well be back in the target zone....guess we all will see.

#17 Postby **cjrciadt** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 8:39 am

Dont count you guys out yet, the whole state will be watching her till Monday at least. :roll:

artist · #18 Postby **artist** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 8:40 am

where are you windtalker?

#19 Postby **Windtalker1** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 8:42 am

artist wrote:where are you windtalker?

In Davie...just West of Ft Lauderdale about 5 miles from the beach.

artist · #20 Postby **artist** » Thu Sep 08, 2005 8:42 am

what is the pink line there? it isn't listed on the key.

windtalker - guess that means up here we do have to watch out as well then. thanks!

is south florida safe?

is south florida safe?

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