is south florida safe?

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feederband
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#21 Postby feederband » Thu Sep 08, 2005 8:42 am

'Computer models are subject to LARGE errors'...I agree with that statement....
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#22 Postby boca » Thu Sep 08, 2005 8:43 am

Don't you just love weak steering curents. My nails are already bitten off from Katrina.
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#23 Postby deltadog03 » Thu Sep 08, 2005 8:46 am

i would say just watch it closely.....its still moving...to the west or wsw at times....vvvverrrrry slowly though...
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#24 Postby artist » Thu Sep 08, 2005 8:46 am

know what you mean - we already have half our shutters up just in case.

I didn't want to take a chance with Katrina before. She was just too close for comfort.
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#25 Postby wxwonder12 » Thu Sep 08, 2005 9:01 am

Seems as if most of the news stations are saying to just watch but if and when this system makes landfall it should be more of a N Florida event then S. Florida.
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#26 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Sep 08, 2005 9:07 am

I think florida should be a bit more worried about this one than they were with Katrina. The big O as some call it is sitting out there in the gulf stream and is expected to do so for the next few days. This would give it some time to pick up some proverbial steam from the atlantic and likely give it a chance to strengthen into something to reckon with. In my opinion checking out that radar presentation it is a huge rain maker because it is moving so slow. Anyway keep your eyes on this one and watch your local news.
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#27 Postby Patrick99 » Thu Sep 08, 2005 9:50 am

We're out of the woods - for now.
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#28 Postby wzrgirl1 » Thu Sep 08, 2005 12:56 pm

Thanks for your responses....after looking at the models...it seems as if there are still a couple that aim her towards south florida....so I guess until there is a consensus...we should keep an "eye" on her.....thanks again.... :lol:
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#29 Postby Foladar » Thu Sep 08, 2005 1:19 pm

Scorpion wrote:Well, its still possible that it could take a track similar to Jeanne. But right now its falling apart.

Oh god. At it again? :roll:
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#30 Postby Windtalker1 » Thu Sep 08, 2005 1:40 pm

Foladar wrote:
Scorpion wrote:Well, its still possible that it could take a track similar to Jeanne. But right now its falling apart.

Oh god. At it again? :roll:
Who said it's falling apart? If anything, the convection is now over the center of circulation and she is getting stronger...My take on the whole thing is that she will loop, she will go out farther than the models are stating and when she turns back, she will move more SW then W and land around Broward or Palm Beach County. The high is getting stronger to the North, she can't go North. When she does decide to come back west after her Jog to the East, she will be stronger (I say Cat 2) and will be threatening S Florida......No not because I live here ( I went with-out power for 3 days with Katrina, you think I want this again? If you do then your Nuts) Check the water vapor loop to see the High pressing Southward. We all here on the East Coast of Florida have to watch this one, not just the Central or Northern part of the State. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop. http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... kmlb.shtml The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.[/b]
Last edited by Windtalker1 on Thu Sep 08, 2005 2:20 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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#31 Postby no advance » Thu Sep 08, 2005 1:42 pm

Right now she is not going nowhere. 2pm NHc says no movement expected next 24 hrs.
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#32 Postby otowntiger » Thu Sep 08, 2005 2:43 pm

NO. South FL has more traffic accidents than average. I'd say its not safe to drive down there at all. :D
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#33 Postby Scorpion » Thu Sep 08, 2005 2:47 pm

Looks better organized than this morning. Foladar you shouldn't reference my old posts as things have changed. This morning it certainly looked like it fell apart.
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#34 Postby WeatherEmperor » Thu Sep 08, 2005 2:56 pm

otowntiger wrote:NO. South FL has more traffic accidents than average. I'd say its not safe to drive down there at all. :D


i agree. Miami traffic is some of the worst in the country.

<RICKY>
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#35 Postby wzrgirl1 » Thu Sep 08, 2005 4:42 pm

what does traffic have to do with this?
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#36 Postby jasons2k » Thu Sep 08, 2005 5:45 pm

wzrgirl1 wrote:what does traffic have to do with this?


I think it was just a joke....and you probably have a bigger risk of being in a traffic accident in S. FL. than getting hit by Ophelia.
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#37 Postby fci » Thu Sep 08, 2005 5:54 pm

A move to the west now is good for us in SE Fla.
Movement 100-175 miles east is not a good thing if ittakes a look and heads back.
We are S of it now (a little W of S but essentially S).
If it goes out 100-175 miles, then we become SW of it and in more of the cone if it does a loop and goes SW.
2 models take it down here but MANY do not.
Just the outliers...
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#38 Postby jasons2k » Thu Sep 08, 2005 6:06 pm

The ones that count do not
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#39 Postby wxmann_91 » Thu Sep 08, 2005 6:12 pm

Remember that thread where someone asked if New Orleans was safe from Katrina? That was before it made landfall in FL. And guess what happened.

PLEASE don't jinx S. FL. :eek: I've seen enough devastation for one lifetime.

Everybody along the Gulf Coast and East Coast should continue to watch this storm, you can never assume that you are safe.
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#40 Postby otowntiger » Thu Sep 08, 2005 8:06 pm

wzrgirl1 wrote:what does traffic have to do with this?

Your question had to do with safety and traffic safety is probably more relevant to your area than any threat from Ophelia and yes my snide comment was intended as a joke, did you not notice the :D ?
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