Based on the 8:05 p.m. NHC Discussion......

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dixiebreeze
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Based on the 8:05 p.m. NHC Discussion......

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Sep 08, 2005 7:13 pm

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

I'll go out on a shaky limb and predict that Ophelia will not likely veer too far north or east and that she will either make the loop back the SW eventually or meander into the Florida east coast sooner or later.

According to Berg, one of the best Mets, Ophelia's northerly outflow is "shielding her" from the strong ridge that is carrying Nate out to sea. Which means, possibly, that she is starting the create her own environment in a small way.

I just hope that IF she does visit Florida, she will be a minimal 'cane.
Last edited by dixiebreeze on Thu Sep 08, 2005 7:27 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#2 Postby CronkPSU » Thu Sep 08, 2005 7:18 pm

what 8 PM discussion?
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#3 Postby jkt21787 » Thu Sep 08, 2005 7:19 pm

CronkPSU wrote:what 8 PM discussion?

Perhaps the TWD (Tropical Weather Discussion). Otherwise I have no idea either. NHC does not issue discussions with intermediate advisories on tropical systems unless its a special advisory.
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#4 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Sep 08, 2005 7:24 pm

CronkPSU wrote:what 8 PM discussion?
\

The tropical discussion that is SOP every 6 hours and talks about the entire tropics. Surely you've heard of that.

Excuse me -- should have said 8:05 p.m. NHC Discussion.
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#5 Postby BayouVenteux » Thu Sep 08, 2005 7:26 pm

TWD link:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MI ... 2359.shtml?
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Andrew '92, Katrina '05, Gustav '08, Isaac '12, Ida '21...and countless other lesser landfalling storms whose names have been eclipsed by "The Big Ones".
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#6 Postby Eyes2theSkies » Thu Sep 08, 2005 7:28 pm

nice take on things dixie
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#7 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Sep 08, 2005 7:30 pm

Eyes2theSkies wrote:nice take on things dixie


Thank you Eyes.
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#8 Postby HurricaneQueen » Thu Sep 08, 2005 7:42 pm

Keep them on their toes, Dix!!!! :D
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GO FLORIDA GATORS
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#9 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Sep 08, 2005 8:07 pm

HurricaneQueen wrote:Keep them on their toes, Dix!!!! :D


:lol: Hey Lynn, are you back in the "Sunshine" state? Good to hear from you. Hope Ophelia doesn't blow back across Florida and into the GOM!
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#10 Postby Josephine96 » Thu Sep 08, 2005 8:09 pm

Dixie.. feel free to read and comment on my forecast if ya'd like too :wink:
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#11 Postby HurricaneQueen » Thu Sep 08, 2005 9:11 pm

Yes, Dixie. Physically we are back. Mentally, I'm still floating around the Carribean!!! :lol:

I'm keeping an eye on both systems-you never know!

Stay safe,
L
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#12 Postby Jevo » Thu Sep 08, 2005 10:06 pm

Based on the 8:05 p.m. NHC Discussion...... Im getting free beer and nachos tomorrow
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Disclaimer: 50% of the time I have no clue of what I am talking about. Chances are I am taking a less than educated guess that sounds good because 10 years ago I stole Mike Watkins book 'The Hurricane and its Impact'. For official information please direct yourself to the NHC and their cadre of weather geniuses.
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