SAL- From Africa thru 40 degrees longitude

[Weathermaster]

When this Sal going to diminish? This is a huge cloud of Saharian Dust cover half the Altlantic, voiding all precipitation and humidity.

Experts, when this is going to change? Over Africa is another big cloud voiding all Tropical waves.

Who turn off the vacumm?

[x-y-no]

It's likely to be a couple of weeks. We're solidly in the dry phase of the MJO right now.

[deltadog03]

CV season is done...imho.....

[msbee]

can someoen please give me a link to the current SAL view from satellite?
Thanks

[x-y-no]

can someoen please give me a link to the current SAL view from satellite?
Thanks

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/wavetrak/sal.html

[msbee]

thanks!

[HURAKAN]

I ALREADY HAD POSTED THE SAME!

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=73959

[wxcrazytwo]

CV season is done...imho.....

it never began.

[Anonymous]

Don't forget...Cape Verde waves have spawned almost every storm this year...

Arlene....wave
Bret....wave
Cindy...wave
Dennis...wave
Emily....wave
Franklin...wave
Gert....wave
Harvey...wave
Irene....wave
Jose...wave
Katrina...wave
Lee...wave
Maria...wave

Nate and Ophelia may not be completely from tropical waves.

[MiamiensisWx]

Interesting to note that the entire eastern Atlantic is devoid of any deep convection or well-organized waves. Check out the infra-red imagery.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EATL/IR4/20.jpg

Also, there is a lot of dry air to the north and south of the poorly organized waves that do not have good convection. Between the dry air, there is only a narrow band of moister conditions.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EATL/WV/20.jpg

There is barely anything at all in the interior of Africa as well.
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/europe/images/xxirmet7n.GIF

In many ways, this has been a really odd season so far, and not because of the early spurt of activity. When you think about it, it is remarkable how systems have formed at all... also, the ways systems have formed so far have been quite unusual (e.g., Nate and Ophelia forming from an old frontal boundary). It seems that since the Cape Verde season is not firing, systems are doing everything they can to form and "balance out the season". An interesting thought...

Any opinions?

[SouthFloridawx]

I think we will see different in a week or two.

[MiamiensisWx]

I think we will see different in a week or two.

True... things can change. However, we may not see as many true Cape Verde storms this year. Still, systems can form elsewhere in the Atlantic Basin.

I wonder why my shear discussion gets so few replies...

[Anonymous]

I was speaking with Matt Carrier last night, and he mentioned how this Cape Verde season might last into Mid-Late October.

[SouthFloridawx]

I was speaking with Matt Carrier last night, and he mentioned how this Cape Verde season might last into Mid-Late October.

did he mention why it might?

[MiamiensisWx]

I was speaking with Matt Carrier last night, and he mentioned how this Cape Verde season might last into Mid-Late October.

I was earlier thinking that as well and still am... that possibility could possibly occur if warm SSTs stick around that long and if conditions permit development if they improve by that late time.

[SouthFloridawx]

I was speaking with Matt Carrier last night, and he mentioned how this Cape Verde season might last into Mid-Late October.

I was earlier thinking that as well and still am... that possibility could possibly occur if warm SSTs stick around that long and if conditions permit development if they improve by that late time.

I would think with all that dry air and no cloud cover it would defintely sustain the warm SST's there in the atlantic. As soon as SAL moves out we could see more waves and CV season is not over like many are saying. I think as soon as people see there are no clouds and lot's of sal they think it is going to stay that way for the rest of the season. Fact is that weather changes all the time so you can't say it's defintely going to be over. Earlier in the season many people said the season was over and it was so boring.

[MiamiensisWx]

I would think with all that dry air and no cloud cover it would defintely sustain the warm SST's there in the atlantic. As soon as SAL moves out we could see more waves and CV season is not over like many are saying. I think as soon as people see there are no clouds and lot's of sal they think it is going to stay that way for the rest of the season. Fact is that weather changes all the time so you can't say it's defintely going to be over. Earlier in the season many people said the season was over and it was so boring.

Good points, southfloridawx2005. Based on the pattern of activity we could well have storms develop well into October and possibly have some outlier storms in November.

[Weathermaster]

Cape Verde season has not ended and at least 1 or 2 big storms will come from there.

There will be one to hit Caibbean islands...in such a big season is impossible that the Caribbean does not have at least one thread.

[vacanechaser]

CV season is done...imho.....

I think I wouls agree with you now... I did not agree early in the season when folks kept saying it was over, before it even started... However, SAL has proven to be a problem not only for development out there, but for the U.S. ... All the big waves made it through the eastern Atlantic and have developed further west.. Katrina being the biggest of course... The further west they get and then develop, the higher the chance of landfall somewhere in the western Atlantic.. So, SAL not all good...


Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

[gatorcane]

CV season is just about over....I say in 2 weeks its definitely OVER.