Invest 95C for CPAC

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WindRunner
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Invest 95C for CPAC

#1 Postby WindRunner » Fri Sep 09, 2005 7:32 pm

Image

Doesn't look like a whole lot right now, but you never know.
Last edited by WindRunner on Sat Sep 10, 2005 7:17 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#2 Postby WindRunner » Fri Sep 09, 2005 7:33 pm

18Z model runs show some development eventually, as they usually do with the CPAC.

WHXX01 KMIA 091816
CHGE77

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

.....THE FOLLOWING IS A TEST MESSAGE.....

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER CENTRAL PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST (CP952005) ON 20050909 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050909 1800 050910 0600 050910 1800 050911 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 14.7N 147.0W 15.2N 148.6W 15.6N 150.1W 15.6N 151.5W
BAMM 14.7N 147.0W 15.1N 149.1W 15.3N 151.0W 15.2N 152.8W
LBAR 14.7N 147.0W 15.3N 148.8W 15.8N 150.7W 16.3N 152.6W
SHIP 20KTS 22KTS 26KTS 31KTS
DSHP 20KTS 22KTS 26KTS 31KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050911 1800 050912 1800 050913 1800 050914 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 15.3N 152.7W 14.8N 154.5W 14.6N 155.1W 15.4N 155.6W
BAMM 14.9N 154.4W 14.2N 156.5W 13.7N 157.4W 13.9N 157.6W
LBAR 16.2N 154.1W 16.4N 156.3W 19.0N 157.0W 22.6N 155.7W
SHIP 37KTS 48KTS 55KTS 54KTS
DSHP 37KTS 48KTS 55KTS 54KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 14.7N LONCUR = 147.0W DIRCUR = 270DEG SPDCUR = 12KT
LATM12 = 14.9N LONM12 = 143.6W DIRM12 = 275DEG SPDM12 = 11KT
LATM24 = 14.9N LONM24 = 142.9W
WNDCUR = 20KT RMAXWD = 0NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

.....THE ABOVE HAS BEEN A TEST MESSAGE.....
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#3 Postby senorpepr » Fri Sep 09, 2005 9:10 pm

In your header you have 95L. That should be 95C. The L-suffix is for Atlantic systems.
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#4 Postby Hyperstorm » Fri Sep 09, 2005 9:16 pm

Not only that, the image you have is from 93E and not 95C. Here's the correct image:

Image

Even so, there's not much to write home about. Extremely diabolic winds are waiting to its west to shred it to pieces.

Needless to say, it will have a very harsh time...
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#5 Postby WindRunner » Sat Sep 10, 2005 7:16 am

Wow, I really do need some sleep. Thanks for showing those errors to me, and to whichever mod fixed the title. I'll fix the picture.
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#6 Postby WindRunner » Sat Sep 10, 2005 7:18 am

6Z models ran with a slight "upgrade" to 25kts, but less development forecast.

WHXX01 KMIA 100654
CHGE77

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

.....THE FOLLOWING IS A TEST MESSAGE.....

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER CENTRAL PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST (CP952005) ON 20050910 0600 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050910 0600 050910 1800 050911 0600 050911 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 15.3N 148.4W 15.7N 150.3W 15.8N 152.0W 15.6N 153.4W
BAMM 15.3N 148.4W 15.9N 150.7W 16.2N 152.6W 16.2N 154.3W
LBAR 15.3N 148.4W 16.0N 150.1W 16.6N 151.8W 16.8N 153.3W
SHIP 25KTS 31KTS 36KTS 40KTS
DSHP 25KTS 31KTS 36KTS 40KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050912 0600 050913 0600 050914 0600 050915 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 15.4N 154.4W 15.0N 155.4W 15.8N 155.8W 18.1N 156.0W
BAMM 16.1N 155.5W 15.9N 157.0W 16.2N 157.8W 17.3N 158.6W
LBAR 17.2N 154.6W 19.2N 155.5W 23.5N 155.1W 27.0N 152.9W
SHIP 43KTS 43KTS 43KTS 39KTS
DSHP 43KTS 43KTS 43KTS 39KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 15.3N LONCUR = 148.4W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR = 10KT
LATM12 = 14.9N LONM12 = 146.3W DIRM12 = 273DEG SPDM12 = 9KT
LATM24 = 14.9N LONM24 = 144.4W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 0NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

.....THE ABOVE HAS BEEN A TEST MESSAGE.....

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