The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
EXPERIMENTAL HURRICANE FORECAST
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA
NJN WEATHER CENTER
910 AM SAT SEPT 10TH 2005
Now that Ophelia has all but kissed any threat to Florida good bye, the question is where up the East coast will she go..?
Ophelia is still moving to the NE away from Florida and the rest of the US. But is expected to turn back. However, not like the loop we 1st thought.
Models are indicating that Ophelia may stall once again and gain some strength over the Gulf Stream, possibly to a strong or moderate Category 2.
Ophelia will have to deal with an approaching trough that is attempting to kick her out to sea now, but the high pressure will block her from doing so and will allow her to resume a W or WNW track.
My official forecast has Ophelia becoming a hurricane 1 more time and gaining strength as she approaches the Carolina coast for perhaps a Tuesday landfall.
Here's my experimental 5 day outlook on Ophelia:
Today: Still drifting NE. nearing blocking point in high. Max winds: 75 mph
Sunday: Back towards the west. Maybe NW. Strengthening. Max winds: 85 mph
Monday: Hurricane Warnings for the Carolina's. Max winds: 95 mph
Tuesday: Making landfall near Myrtle Beach SC. Strong Cat 2. Max winds: 100 mph
Wednesday: weakening inland. Max winds: 45 mph
Ophelia forecast #4: Focus shifts to South Carolina
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
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rainstorm
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spinfan4eva
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rainstorm wrote:latest recon shows 976 mb. models show ridge stronger. it may be a major concern for south carolina
Wouldnt a stronger ridge block northward movement and steer the storm SW towards Ga or Fla?
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8dlm3.html
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huricanwatcher
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