The Carolina's & Ophelia

huricanwatcher · #21 Postby **huricanwatcher** » Sat Sep 10, 2005 2:07 pm

I have kidded around in the past that this storm or that storm in NC bound..

Unfortunately - this time looks like it really is going to be.... UGH

:roll:

#22 Postby **ncbird** » Sat Sep 10, 2005 2:39 pm

I usually don't pay much attention to TWC but thier projected path now has my attention.

http://www.weather.com/maps/news/atlsto ... large.html

Frantastic · #23 Postby **Frantastic** » Sat Sep 10, 2005 3:10 pm

I usually don't pay much attention to TWC but thier projected path now has my attention.

http://www.weather.com/maps/news/atlsto ... large.html

Now that is interesting!

mmgray · #24 Postby **mmgray** » Sat Sep 10, 2005 3:21 pm

Did the NHC move its track north? I thought TWC always just went with what the NHC said.

nequad · #25 Postby **nequad** » Sat Sep 10, 2005 3:24 pm

^ not yet...but it will change at the 5PM package...I'm sure

greeng13 · #26 Postby **greeng13** » Sat Sep 10, 2005 3:27 pm

mmgray wrote:Did the NHC move its track north? I thought TWC always just went with what the NHC said.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at1+shtml/145131.shtml?5day

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at1+shtml/145131.shtml?3day

NHC forecast/"cone of death" (at least until the 5pm advisory). I learned last year from many on this site that TWC does not necessarily follow the NHC track.

here are the probabilities as of 11:00am also

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIASPFAT1+shtml/101437.shtml

#27 Postby **MBismyPlayground** » Sat Sep 10, 2005 3:28 pm

I don't want to begin another thread so I am gonna stick this in here.
Has anyone in the general area of Myrtle Beach heard anything about evacuation??
I have a feeling that due to the disaster with Katrina officials are going to be very careful.
The *rumor mill* has it, per a fireman for Horry Co.,or so he said, that evacuations will begin here at 6 pm tonight. By 6 am tomorow they will go door to door and force evacuations.

If true, isn't this jumping the gun just a little bit????

chicagopizza · #28 Postby **chicagopizza** » Sat Sep 10, 2005 3:41 pm

I heard on the news that they are considering evacuating Beaufort county by 7am tomorrow morning and Jasper county. I was under the impression this might be a NC thing from what I have read -not an official forecast, but here they are saying that the next twelve hours are crucial for the GA/SC border, so I don't know what to think any more.

mmgray · #29 Postby **mmgray** » Sat Sep 10, 2005 3:47 pm

I just can't see this coming in anywhere south of Myrtle Beach. Looks like its sucking in alot of dry air too.

UpTheCreek · #30 Postby **UpTheCreek** » Sat Sep 10, 2005 3:49 pm

dekeoy wrote:I think I would get the boat out now. The ramp at Wrightsville is already pure chaos, and I'm sure it'll get worse as the day progresses. Good luck! Unfortunately, it looks like I'll be getting called into work sometime in the morning, although, things can change.

Thanks for that head's up. The road to the big ramps at Lawson's Creek in New Bern are somewhat inaccessible due to flooding. The smaller ramps still okay......so I put it on the trailer. Very windy and choppy on the ride over there!

If I ever have the need to evacuate, my boat is definitely going with us and I'm glad I took it out today! Plus it's a great source of fuel for the generator too.

huricanwatcher · #31 Postby **huricanwatcher** » Sat Sep 10, 2005 3:53 pm

(taken from HurricaneGirl)

HOLY CRAP:eek:

chicagopizza · #32 Postby **chicagopizza** » Sat Sep 10, 2005 3:57 pm

Just want to say they are reviewing whther to make it definite, from what I heard, late tonight, when they have their meeting. So, nothing offical, but it is a possibility.

beenthru6 · #33 Postby **beenthru6** » Sat Sep 10, 2005 4:05 pm

MBismyPlayground wrote:I don't want to begin another thread so I am gonna stick this in here.
Has anyone in the general area of Myrtle Beach heard anything about evacuation??
I have a feeling that due to the disaster with Katrina officials are going to be very careful.
The *rumor mill* has it, per a fireman for Horry Co.,or so he said, that evacuations will begin here at 6 pm tonight. By 6 am tomorow they will go door to door and force evacuations.

If true, isn't this jumping the gun just a little bit????

With the projection now moved north towards Wilmington, I don't think we are going to get that much if that projection holds true. Hopefully looking better for us here in the Myrtle Beach area

#34 Postby **OuterBanker** » Sat Sep 10, 2005 4:19 pm

Not good. On the other hand Savanah and Charleston have both been the target. Maybe it will shift to the fishing grounds next.

krysof · #35 Postby **krysof** » Sat Sep 10, 2005 4:21 pm

OuterBanker wrote:Not good. On the other hand Savanah and Charleston have both been the target. Maybe it will shift to the fishing grounds next.

Don't think so, it's not moving northeast anymore, next move will be towards the west, I think landfall may be even further north than Wilmington. That depends when it will go to the west.

Stormtrack03 · #36 Postby **Stormtrack03** » Sat Sep 10, 2005 4:21 pm

chicagopizza wrote:I heard on the news that they are considering evacuating Beaufort county by 7am tomorrow morning and Jasper county. I was under the impression this might be a NC thing from what I have read -not an official forecast, but here they are saying that the next twelve hours are crucial for the GA/SC border, so I don't know what to think any more.

I heard voluntary evacuations are issued at 6 pm for areas east of hwy 17 in SC... however i dont think mandatory evacuations will be necessary do to the lessening threat in SC.... NC could be a different story though.

Stormtrack03 · #37 Postby **Stormtrack03** » Sat Sep 10, 2005 4:27 pm

krysof wrote:
OuterBanker wrote:Not good. On the other hand Savanah and Charleston have both been the target. Maybe it will shift to the fishing grounds next.

Don't think so, it's not moving northeast anymore, next move will be towards the west, I think landfall may be even further north than Wilmington. That depends when it will go to the west.

Still a small chance this could be a fish :wink:

krysof · #38 Postby **krysof** » Sat Sep 10, 2005 4:29 pm

it's a possibility, but to do that, it would have to move more eastward, or barely move for the next few days, so it could get sent back to the northeast

#39 Postby **MBismyPlayground** » Sat Sep 10, 2005 4:34 pm

Stormtrack03 wrote:
chicagopizza wrote:I heard on the news that they are considering evacuating Beaufort county by 7am tomorrow morning and Jasper county. I was under the impression this might be a NC thing from what I have read -not an official forecast, but here they are saying that the next twelve hours are crucial for the GA/SC border, so I don't know what to think any more.

I heard voluntary evacuations are issued at 6 pm for areas east of hwy 17 in SC... however i dont think mandatory evacuations will be necessary do to the lessening threat in SC.... NC could be a different story though.

I do think that the powers that be are going to be very very careful with evacuation notices ect... No one wants to take a chance and leave people unprepared.
If you hear anymore on evacuations, specially the one east of 17 please let me know. Darnit, this is gonna hurt business tonight big time.

f5 · #40 Postby f5 » Sat Sep 10, 2005 4:36 pm

will this be a Floyd in term of flooding since its moving slow plus it can't make up its mind? :roll:

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