The Carolina's & Ophelia

[ncbird]

I posted this in another thread but thought since many NC's may read this one would post here too.

Since it looks like a greater chance we may catch this here in NC, you may want to get a little more gas than usual for those generators. The electric companies have sent many of thier trucks/personel down to help those poor people in Mississippi so may take a little longer to get things back up and running here. Also if you have empty jugs consider filling them instead of going out and buying water. In some of the stores water is short on the shelfs as it was sent down south also.[/quote]

[ncbird]

will this be a Floyd in term of flooding since its moving slow plus it can't make up its mind?

no don't think this will be like Floyd. We have had very little rain since mid august so our ground is pretty dry and should be able to handle it. Remember with Floyd we had Dennis that drenched us with rain first and they Floyd came along and the ground couldn't handle any more.

[UpTheCreek]

Thanks ncbird, hadn't thought of that!!!

[Three Blind Mice]

Home Depot only had 1 gallon cans in Wilmington this morning.

Sure seems like everyone is very complacent about this cane.

[NCHurricane]

will this be a Floyd in term of flooding since its moving slow plus it can't make up its mind?

Some of the models are forecasting anywhere from 10-20" along the immediate path, but like ncbird said, we didn't have a soaking from another storm like Dennis 1 & 2.

[pgoss11]

There's also very little talk of this storm in the media. Don't they know that hurricane is lurking off the southeast coast? You'd think after Katrina they'd be all over this storm. I know it's not a Cat 4 like Katrina, but people died in southern Florida when Katrina was only a Cat 1

[ncbird]

There's also very little talk of this storm in the media. Don't they know that hurricane is lurking off the southeast coast? You'd think after Katrina they'd be all over this storm. I know it's not a Cat 4 like Katrina, but people died in southern Florida when Katrina was only a Cat 1

Me thinketh the media is still too absorbed in the Blame Game right now. But hope all the people in the cone area remember that it doesn't take a cat 4 to do harm. Even a cat 1 hurricane is dangerous.

[greeng13]

There's also very little talk of this storm in the media. Don't they know that hurricane is lurking off the southeast coast? You'd think after Katrina they'd be all over this storm. I know it's not a Cat 4 like Katrina, but people died in southern Florida when Katrina was only a Cat 1

they just talked about it here in charleston media channel 5 news http://www.wcsc.com ....they'll wait until after tennis to broadcast the news in its entirety. and they have been talking about it since yesterday evening as well...i've heard about it..also NOAA weather radio is constantly mentioning it.

[huricanwatcher]

will this be a Floyd in term of flooding since its moving slow plus it can't make up its mind?

Some of the models are forecasting anywhere from 10-20" along the immediate path, but like ncbird said, we didn't have a soaking from another storm like Dennis 1 & 2.

Dennis soaked us and FLOYD drowned us... 500 year flood .... aint gonna see that again

[spinfan4eva]

Storm is quite a bit southeast of the NHC track for 12hrs out and moving ESE
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
Follow the center and turn on the NHC plot overlays

[shaggy]

As far as the media goes I am not surprised by the level of coverage at the national level. Since we are not Florida we do not get that kind of coverage if this thing was a tropical storm threatening the florida coast the weather channel would have 3 mets on the ground to cover it here we will be lucky if someone is doing live shots tommorrow.

[oceanguync]

the wind has been increasingmostof the afternoon and the boats are being taken out of the marinas--we are just playing the waitng game now

[millibar]

Here's hoping the trend will continue, and Miss "O" will miss everybody here in TarHeel land and just go out to sea.

Chuck

[hurricanefreak1988]

Well, the 5PM track gives us a better shot at a hurricane instead of a remnant TD doing nothing but dumping loads rain on us, but it also moves Ophelia to the east of us. For now, it looks like we won't get too much from Ophelia being on the west side of her. Of course, this could change, and she could end up being "The One". We shall see.

[Thunder44]

The 18z GFS keeps it offshore of the NC coast and pretty much the entire east coast, but it's closer to the New England than the last run.

[pgoss11]

Thunder do you know the latest ukmet model run?

[SouthFloridawx]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

kind of looks like a hit along the OBX. Kind of worried about the SS there wonder what happen if

[nequad]

New GFDL takes the eye very near Cape Hatteras in 96 hours...

HURRICANE OPHELIA 16L

INITIAL TIME 18Z SEP 10

DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.


FORECAST STORM POSITION

HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT)

0 31.7 76.2 45./ 4.1
6 31.6 76.0 101./ 1.7
12 31.7 75.8 74./ 1.6
18 31.6 75.8 146./ 1.0
24 31.5 75.6 120./ 1.8
30 31.4 75.5 149./ 1.1
36 31.6 75.7 329./ 2.5
42 31.9 75.9 326./ 3.4
48 32.2 76.0 336./ 2.4
54 32.3 75.8 45./ 1.6
60 32.6 75.9 355./ 3.2
66 32.8 75.8 9./ 2.6
72 33.1 75.8 12./ 2.9
78 33.5 75.8 4./ 3.1
84 33.9 75.6 16./ 4.9
90 34.5 75.4 22./ 5.8
96 35.5 74.9 28./10.9
102 36.3 74.5 23./ 8.6
108 36.9 73.7 51./ 9.0
114 37.5 72.6 65./10.3
120 37.7 71.2 80./11.4
126 37.8 69.4 87./14.2

[shaggy]

looks like a fish and the track will shift to near lookout by 11pm i bet.How big of a bust this is becoming for the NHC they have not even hit a 12 hour forecast plot yet today!

[txwatcher91]

I wouldn't relax just yet. The ridge appears to be building on Ophelia appears to be stationary, which can normally means that a hurricane will change directions.

http://www.weatherunderground.com/radar ... owlabels=1