Flare Up in SE Bahamas

#21 Postby **gatorcane** » Sat Sep 10, 2005 6:43 pm

yes. remember Katrina and the huge area of convection that formed behind her?

Exactly. All too often we see large flare ups well South of a hurricane that do not develop.

#22 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Sat Sep 10, 2005 6:47 pm

we will see in the discussion at 8PM. I think it is more assiciated with the Upper level low than with "O",

#23 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Sat Sep 10, 2005 6:56 pm

and there you have it

CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 73W SOUTH OF 20N IS MOVING
WEST 15 KT. THE WAVE HAS BECOME INCREASING DIFFICULT TO TRACK AS
IT CONTINUES TO INTERACT WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE ATLC
NORTH OF THE SE BAHAMAS. IT APPEARS THAT MOST OF THE ENERGY WITH
THE WAVE WAS PULLED NORTHWARD INTO THE UPPER LOW WITH LITTLE
ASSOCIATED CONVECTION ACTIVITY REMAINING OVER THE CARIBBEAN.

ChaserUK · #24 Postby **ChaserUK** » Sat Sep 10, 2005 7:06 pm

it will persist I think and become the next system. Phillipe on the cards now.

#25 Postby **gatorcane** » Sat Sep 10, 2005 7:09 pm

it will persist I think and become the next system. Phillipe on the cards now.

no way. Read my post above.

scostorms · #26 Postby **scostorms** » Sat Sep 10, 2005 7:33 pm

I'm remaining open minded about this issue. It could very well become the next system, we don't know the future so why say it just wont happen?

MiamiensisWx · #27 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Sat Sep 10, 2005 7:35 pm

True... boca_chris does have a point. However, so far it seems to be persisting pretty well. See below...
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/WATL/IR4/20.jpg

TropicalBill · #28 Postby **TropicalBill** » Sat Sep 10, 2005 7:54 pm

Scostorms ... I'm with you. I'm rather put off by so many posts that speak in absolute terms. I think some people are discouraged from posting because they get pounced on immediately after offering an observation/opinion. I think we would all do well to work harder at keeping an open mind.

#29 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Sat Sep 10, 2005 8:26 pm

boca_chris wrote:
it will persist I think and become the next system. Phillipe on the cards now.

no way. Read my post above.

Boca chris as per NHC this flare up is not associated with Ophelia.

CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 73W SOUTH OF 20N IS MOVING
WEST 15 KT. THE WAVE HAS BECOME INCREASING DIFFICULT TO TRACK AS
IT CONTINUES TO INTERACT WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE ATLC
NORTH OF THE SE BAHAMAS. IT APPEARS THAT MOST OF THE ENERGY WITH
THE WAVE WAS PULLED NORTHWARD INTO THE UPPER LOW WITH LITTLE
ASSOCIATED CONVECTION ACTIVITY REMAINING OVER THE CARIBBEAN.

wxwatcher91 · #30 Postby **wxwatcher91** » Sat Sep 10, 2005 8:36 pm

1) I still believe there is a chance this flare-up is associated with Ophelia
2) whatever it is I am saying convection will be gone within 24 hours and this thread will be long forgotten.
3) I DO have crow ready if necessary however I am pretty confident in #1 and #2

oh and remember this everyone???
we had a huge thread going on this! the convection behind Katrina.

Patrick99 · #31 Postby **Patrick99** » Sat Sep 10, 2005 9:03 pm

boca_chris wrote:it's nothing. This typically happens with the "tails" of hurricanes.

Haven't tails of hurricanes spawned other tropical systems before? I believe they have....I remember several such instances, but not specifically, or else I'd trot them out.

#32 Postby **fci** » Sat Sep 10, 2005 11:40 pm

I think it is the ghost of Invest 92L :lol:

Flare Up in SE Bahamas

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