high setting in

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weatherwoman
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high setting in

#1 Postby weatherwoman » Sun Sep 11, 2005 5:48 am

it looks like the high setting in on the it might be giving her a push back south a little before the move northward any comment im on the coast of nc
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#2 Postby webke » Sun Sep 11, 2005 5:57 am

I have noticed that also, I wonder what affect it will have on its track as it seems to be drifting SSE.
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#3 Postby weatherwoman » Sun Sep 11, 2005 5:59 am

im glad you see that i though i was crazy
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#4 Postby TampaFl » Sun Sep 11, 2005 6:11 am

I noticed the same this morning :eek: . Thinking I needed another cup of coffee :lol: . I agree with the high so strong over the upper Ohio Valley, a push to the south east or even south is possible. Not sure how Ophelia is going to make a hard turn into the N.C coast as most of the models indicate. IMHO, would it not be hard for a system to move right into a strong high pressure as shown on the latest 970 - 989 hPa steering flow chart? Thoughts & comments welcomed.

Robert 8-)

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8dlm3.html
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#5 Postby weatherwoman » Sun Sep 11, 2005 6:15 am

looks pretty trapped right now they say its going to set for a couple more days i know the wind is kicking right now been up since 5 am watching the trees thats from the hi though
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#6 Postby webke » Sun Sep 11, 2005 6:17 am

I do not know how the high is going to affect Ophelia since it seems to be getting stronger, Maybe one of the Mets can answer that question.
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#7 Postby Skyline » Sun Sep 11, 2005 7:38 am

Pressure has been rising steadily all morning here too.

http://www.raywms.com/weather/Current_V ... o_Plus.htm
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NastyCat4

#8 Postby NastyCat4 » Sun Sep 11, 2005 8:13 am

It is NOT drifting SE--it is East/Stationary. The options for Ophelia are: a) hit the outer banks, or b) out to sea, if the ridge weakens. Either are likely, but the talk of a South movement just isn't there.
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#9 Postby tampastorm » Sun Sep 11, 2005 8:16 am

Oh there you are wrong. Yes the advisory says stationary. But watch the loop drifting South/East.
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#10 Postby WindRunner » Sun Sep 11, 2005 8:17 am

Looking at that steering map, you can see why the stationary movement exists at present, the two highs steering it are counteracting each other. The only way I see it moving into the NC coast is if the high over the E. US moves a good ways north and east. However, I consider myself far from being an expert on interpreting these, and I also don't know how either high is forecast to move, so take my skepticism lightly.
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#11 Postby HurricaneQueen » Sun Sep 11, 2005 9:25 am

According to Dereck's latest forecast: "Guidance suggests that the ridge to the west, will move north and east of the storm during the next 72 hours, which should cause a NW then north motion. Guidance does not indicate an acceleration once it turns NE; however, guidance is often too slow at accelerating these systems. Therefore, at the later time periods, this track is faster than guidance. Landfall is not indicated until a little less than 72 hours."

Hope that answers your question about the high.

Remembering the victims of 9/11
Lynn
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GO FLORIDA GATORS

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#12 Postby BUD » Sun Sep 11, 2005 12:06 pm

The Models have shifted a little to the left,GFDL,GFDN,BAMD,BAMM.Like a Wilm,NC
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#13 Postby shaggy » Sun Sep 11, 2005 12:12 pm

http://www.erh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... kmhx.shtml

this long range radar is showing a westerly movement at this time.I hope i am not misjudging this movement but it could have a slight impact on its future movement and POTENTIAL landfall!

this movement is also showing up on the vis floater:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
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#14 Postby jamima » Sun Sep 11, 2005 12:32 pm

I see a northwest movement. Maybe a wobble.
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Rainband

#15 Postby Rainband » Sun Sep 11, 2005 12:43 pm

2pm advisory says it's Stationary.
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#16 Postby Marilyn » Sun Sep 11, 2005 12:48 pm

Skyline wrote:Pressure has been rising steadily all morning here too.

http://www.raywms.com/weather/Current_V ... o_Plus.htm

I noticed our pressure is up what does that mean ??
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#17 Postby f5 » Sun Sep 11, 2005 12:58 pm

Looks like NC is going to pay for the northeast nice weather
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#18 Postby seahawkjd » Sun Sep 11, 2005 1:03 pm

I think what you are mistaking for movement is the west side of the eye wall rebuilding. Anyone else think this is the case? It seems to be starting to get its act together.
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#19 Postby Okibeach » Sun Sep 11, 2005 1:24 pm

Started out nice clear blue skies this a.m, Radar at that time had nearest bands to the southeast. Since then sky has become completely cloudy, quite gusty and occaisonal rain showers keep coming through. If this was truly stationary I do not think the bands would have expanded back into this area. I would guess either the system has grown in size or some west movement has occured. jmho
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#20 Postby feederband » Sun Sep 11, 2005 1:56 pm

seahawkjd wrote:I think what you are mistaking for movement is the west side of the eye wall rebuilding. Anyone else think this is the case? It seems to be starting to get its act together.

Think it is rebuilding but also the whole system looks to be veering to the west a little right now on the vis..


Edit ::::Sorry I ment West
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