Accuweather verification on Ophelia

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Windy
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Accuweather verification on Ophelia

#1 Postby Windy » Sun Sep 11, 2005 11:35 am

Just thought I'd point out the obvious: so far, their verification has been terrible. And not just the "crossing FL into the GOM" thing -- even as late as 9PM last night they had their guy on Fox News (why the heck is Fox using these guys?) saying the storm was going to hit South Carolina -- with the NC Outer Banks completely outside of their cone of probability. (Meanwhile, at that time, NHC forecast much further north, and the Met on CNN was actually showing the model plots and explaining that it would probably shift even further north, possibly to a fish track).

I hope, really, really hope, that they shut up for a while about how much better they are than the NHC. This has been a great storm to test them on -- the models were confused and the forecasting was hard. And while nobody has done a great job figuring out where this would go, so far the NHC has at least understood the trends better than Accuweather.
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#2 Postby no advance » Sun Sep 11, 2005 11:39 am

Sorry windy I disagree with you no one got this storm right. No one predicted it would be so slow.
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#3 Postby weatherwoman » Sun Sep 11, 2005 12:04 pm

i disagree we have a local met the i talk to and he told me this last week that he thought this would happen when everyone else was saying it would come into ga sc
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#4 Postby shaggy » Sun Sep 11, 2005 12:05 pm

well everybody said it was going to be a slow moving storm but accuweather has missed the track much more than NHC although as said above the forecast verification on this storm is ridiculously large!

Is it just me or is it slowly drifting west now?
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#5 Postby txwatcher91 » Sun Sep 11, 2005 12:08 pm

ncdowneast wrote:well everybody said it was going to be a slow moving storm but accuweather has missed the track much more than NHC although as said above the forecast verification on this storm is ridiculously large!

Is it just me or is it slowly drifting west now?


I agree, it appears to be slowly drifting west right now. Click on GOES-EAST Visible - Storm Relative.

http://www.cira.colostate.edu/RAMM/Rmsd ... PICAL.html
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#6 Postby BUD » Sun Sep 11, 2005 12:20 pm

The GFDL and GFDN were picking this up on its early morning runs.
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