Tropical Storm Ophelia

WindRunner · #1122 Postby **WindRunner** » Sun Sep 11, 2005 3:43 pm

Wow, a minimum Cat1 at 978. That's a little unusual, but I don't mind.

Website · #1123 Postby **Brent** » Sun Sep 11, 2005 3:43 pm

Near Nantucket Island as a TS Friday...

WOW.

#1124 Postby **feederband** » Sun Sep 11, 2005 3:45 pm

Is there a 5:01 update because the 5:00 IMO dont make a hill of beans..

#1125 Postby **cjrciadt** » Sun Sep 11, 2005 3:46 pm

WindRunner wrote:Wow, a minimum Cat1 at 978. That's a little unusual, but I don't mind.

Katrina had 985 pressure as a TD for her last advisory, low pressure gradient storms. :yayaya:

Website · #1126 Postby **Brent** » Sun Sep 11, 2005 3:47 pm

feederband wrote:Is there a 5:01 update because the 5:00 IMO dont make a hill of beans..

LOL!

#1127 Postby **deltadog03** » Sun Sep 11, 2005 3:55 pm

what do you know...models shifted south..not suprised here :roll:

#1128 Postby **feederband** » Sun Sep 11, 2005 3:57 pm

deltadog03 wrote:what do you know...models shifted south..not suprised here

Link....

WindRunner · #1129 Postby **WindRunner** » Sun Sep 11, 2005 3:59 pm

cjrciadt wrote:
WindRunner wrote:Wow, a minimum Cat1 at 978. That's a little unusual, but I don't mind.
Katrina had 985 pressure as a TD for her last advisory, low pressure gradient storms.

Yes, that's because a storms winds will weaken quicker than the pressure. She was also a 965mb TS after landfall.

krysof · #1130 Postby **krysof** » Sun Sep 11, 2005 4:00 pm

the most inaccurate models will shift wherever it moves

#1131 Postby **feederband** » Sun Sep 11, 2005 4:01 pm

krysof wrote:the most inaccurate models will shift wherever it moves

Has there been a accurate one with this storm..?

#1132 Postby **feederband** » Sun Sep 11, 2005 4:02 pm

Brent wrote:
feederband wrote:If the Lbar model pans out crows will become extinct..

POOR,POOR CROWS...What will eat next..??

#1133 Postby **cjrciadt** » Sun Sep 11, 2005 4:04 pm

feederband wrote:
krysof wrote:the most inaccurate models will shift wherever it moves

Has there been a accurate one with this storm..?

NO

#1134 Postby **deltadog03** » Sun Sep 11, 2005 4:07 pm

there hasn't been any accuracy on any of them...thats CORRECT....thats why we should focus more on the currents...and not always the models...

spinfan4eva · #1135 Postby **spinfan4eva** » Sun Sep 11, 2005 4:07 pm

NHC advisory is wrong IMHO if I am looking at this right. Take a look at this visible still shot and you can clearly see the eye East of Brunswick Ga. But on the plot, it is east of Savannah. I think its a difference of 1/2 of a degree and it is closer to 31.0N vs 31.5N

#1136 Postby **feederband** » Sun Sep 11, 2005 4:08 pm

deltadog03 wrote:there hasn't been any accuracy on any of them...thats CORRECT....thats why we should focus more on the currents...and not always the models...

So what's the currents saying..?

#1137 Postby **feederband** » Sun Sep 11, 2005 4:12 pm

spinfan4eva wrote:NHC advisory is wrong IMHO

...The ball games are on and probably no big bosses their.. :wink:

They should have just said check back at 11:00.... :wink:

#1138 Postby **LarryWx** » Sun Sep 11, 2005 4:12 pm

spinfan4eva wrote:NHC advisory is wrong IMHO if I am looking at this right. Take a look at this visible still shot and you can clearly see the eye East of Brunswick Ga. But on the plot, it is east of Savannah. I think its a difference of 1/2 of a degree and it is closer to 31.0N vs 31.5N

Savannah is at 32.0N.

#1139 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sun Sep 11, 2005 4:16 pm

feederband wrote:
spinfan4eva wrote:NHC advisory is wrong IMHO
...The ball games are on and probably no big bosses their.. They should have just said check back at 11:00....

Or in the next 24 to 48 hours!

wxmann_91 · #1140 Postby **wxmann_91** » Sun Sep 11, 2005 4:17 pm

THE FSU SUPERENSEMBLE KEEPS OPHELIA WELL
EAST OF THE COAST.

I'm not going to rely on any one particular model but I can say that is good news for the east coast.

Tropical Storm Ophelia

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