Tropical Storm Ophelia

#1261 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Sep 12, 2005 1:19 pm

seahawkjd wrote:I'm sorry, I can't find my link anymore that translates t numbers into wind speeds. What is 3.0 3.5 again?

Below is a chart with all the T Numbers and what they represent in terms of windspeeds and pressure.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/CI-chart.html

Derek Ortt · #1262 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Mon Sep 12, 2005 1:22 pm

how in the world is AFWA getting a shear pattern number for this?

superfly · #1263 Postby **superfly** » Mon Sep 12, 2005 1:25 pm

hurricanefreak1988 wrote:Wow. I think I'll add Most Annoying Storm of the Year to my list of awards at the end of the season just for Ophelia. She has driven us all nuts!

That'd probably be Irene actually.

#1264 Postby **seahawkjd** » Mon Sep 12, 2005 1:28 pm

I would like to know the answer to Derek's question, but just listening to the weather channel the anchor said "Ophilia may become the next hurricane of the season" then corrected herself saying it had once been a hurricane. Then proceeded to say that the 2pm update would be coming shortly, this at 2:25 after she had just finished reading the 2pm stats on the storm.

#1265 Postby **cjrciadt** » Mon Sep 12, 2005 1:31 pm

seahawkjd wrote:I would like to know the answer to Derek's question, but just listening to the weather channel the anchor said "Ophilia may become the next hurricane of the season" then corrected herself saying it had once been a hurricane. Then proceeded to say that the 2pm update would be coming shortly, this at 2:25 after she had just finished reading the 2pm stats on the storm.

That is what you get for going to TWC to get tropical info. :lol:

bartman · #1266 Postby **bartman** » Mon Sep 12, 2005 1:32 pm

txwatcher91 wrote:Didn't want to start a new thread on this so, does anybody have some good SST maps for where Ophelia is at now?

http://www.cormp.org/indexreal.php

Under "Links of Interest", select "National Buoy Data" to get to the area you're looking for. really good site, actually.

BensonTCwatcher · #1267 Postby **BensonTCwatcher** » Mon Sep 12, 2005 1:32 pm

cjrciadt wrote:
seahawkjd wrote:I would like to know the answer to Derek's question, but just listening to the weather channel the anchor said "Ophilia may become the next hurricane of the season" then corrected herself saying it had once been a hurricane. Then proceeded to say that the 2pm update would be coming shortly, this at 2:25 after she had just finished reading the 2pm stats on the storm.
That is what you get for going to TWC to get tropical info.

Oh yeah..

The "Waffle" Channel

#1268 Postby **cjrciadt** » Mon Sep 12, 2005 1:34 pm

http://intellicast.com/Local/USNationalWide.asp?loc=usa&seg=StormCenter&prodgrp=SatelliteImagery&product=AtlanticLoop&prodnav=none
Loop of the entire Atlantic, something interesting of Africa? Nah :wink:

Jim Hughes · #1269 Postby **Jim Hughes** » Mon Sep 12, 2005 1:37 pm

bartman wrote:Some robust movement going on. The 2PM coordinates show that "O" has moved nearly 30 mi since the 11AM coordinates position. At this latitude, 1 degree is approximately 56 mi. "O" has moved a bit over 0.5 degrees in the WNW direction. With the 3-hr interval between coordinate readings, this translates to closer to 10MPH rather than the reported 4MPH. If this continues, "O" will be putting her significant feeder bands ashore in NESC / SENC in about 6 hrs.

It does seem like it picked up speed compared to before. If you did the math ratio from it's movement from 11am (Which I know means nothing...somewhat) you come up with 33.0N 80.3 W.....Charleston SC is 32.9N 83.0 W....

Jim

txwatcher91 · #1270 Postby **txwatcher91** » Mon Sep 12, 2005 1:43 pm

bartman wrote:
txwatcher91 wrote:Didn't want to start a new thread on this so, does anybody have some good SST maps for where Ophelia is at now?

http://www.cormp.org/indexreal.php

Under "Links of Interest", select "National Buoy Data" to get to the area you're looking for. really good site, actually.

BensonTCwatcher and bartman, thanks for the links.

shaggy · #1271 Postby **shaggy** » Mon Sep 12, 2005 1:51 pm

hey all i work 3rd shift this week and am just waking up to TS ophelia.As i start to go over the models and what not the one thing i have noticed is a little faster motion to the NW if i am seeing right.If i am not mistaken by overlaying the forecast track over the floater it has already passed its 12 hour point and is still going NW.When she hits the gulfstream that will be a concerning time because she might just fire some new convection!

#1272 Postby **vbhoutex** » Mon Sep 12, 2005 1:54 pm

Another current concern with Ophelia besides the possibility of some strengthening is also the fact that her movement is so slow and the steering currents are weak. If this continues, per the TWD, there is the possiblility that Ophelia could linger just offshore for several says. Hopefully this doesn't turn into a flooding rain event as well as a Hurricane.

shaggy · #1273 Postby **shaggy** » Mon Sep 12, 2005 1:59 pm

thanks VB hadn't really thought of the prolonged rain here since it hasn't rained in ummm FOREVER.Think we could handle a steady rain but to much to fast and we would have run off problems!I think she is moving slightly W of NW and has seemed to be moving at a decent clip.

All i know is this is the type of storm people like to track because you do not know what she is going to pull which makes her a very challenging and full of surprises

BensonTCwatcher · #1274 Postby **BensonTCwatcher** » Mon Sep 12, 2005 2:14 pm

New convection forming in bands and trying to fire over the center

krysof · #1275 Postby **krysof** » Mon Sep 12, 2005 2:15 pm

looks a lot better than this morning, probably because it's moving more

#1276 Postby **stormynorfolk** » Mon Sep 12, 2005 2:19 pm

Is the big O trying to get loopy again? Sure seems to look that way:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-wv-loop.html

superfly · #1277 Postby **superfly** » Mon Sep 12, 2005 2:22 pm

stormynorfolk wrote:Is the big O trying to get loopy again? Sure seems to look that way:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-wv-loop.html

Why are you looking at WV when you have visible? Center is still clearly going NW.

#1278 Postby **feederband** » Mon Sep 12, 2005 2:25 pm

superfly wrote:
stormynorfolk wrote:Is the big O trying to get loopy again? Sure seems to look that way:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-wv-loop.html

Why are you looking at WV when you have visible? Center is still clearly going NW.

Didn't see a loop but a little stair step did occur...

#1279 Postby **stormynorfolk** » Mon Sep 12, 2005 2:25 pm

superfly wrote:
stormynorfolk wrote:Is the big O trying to get loopy again? Sure seems to look that way:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-wv-loop.html

Why are you looking at WV when you have visible? Center is still clearly going NW.

Hmm... doesn't appear that way on radar:

http://www.erh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p20-r/si.kltx.shtml

Maybe I'm just seeing things...

#1280 Postby **deltadog03** » Mon Sep 12, 2005 2:36 pm

not going NW...going almost due west.....ophelia to SC...here I come...ready or not.... :lol:

Tropical Storm Ophelia

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