Just wondering......

[NCGal]

on how far inland widespread power outages are likely in NC because of Ophelia??? Thanks in advance.

[O Town]

It is anyones guess how far inland power will go out, it all depends on how strong she is at landfall. I live in Orlando which is pretty much in the middle of Florida, and I had power out with all 3 ,Charley, Jeanne, and Frances last year. I was anywhere form 75-over 100 miles away from all those landfalls. Like with Jeanne we thought we were in the clear, and then an oak fell on the power pole and lines in our front yard and we were without power for about 5 days. So I would just prepare to be without power for at least a week. We were without for 4 days at the least and 7 days at the most with all the ones that hit here last year. Good luck!!!

[Marilyn]

on how far inland widespread power outages are likely in NC because of Ophelia??? Thanks in advance.

I am wondering the same thing we are 62 miles from wilmington NC Tropical force winds extend out 160 miles if she gets close really close if not hit Wilmington then we can expect anything between 39 and 74 mph winds i think that may be enough for power outage. it only takes one tree in the right spot to cause lights out . How far are you from the coast?

[NCGal]

on how far inland widespread power outages are likely in NC because of Ophelia??? Thanks in advance.

I am wondering the same thing we are 62 miles from wilmington NC Tropical force winds extend out 160 miles if she gets close really close if not hit Wilmington then we can expect anything between 39 and 74 mph winds i think that may be enough for power outage. it only takes one tree in the right spot to cause lights out . How far are you from the coast?

I am about 115 miles from Wilmington. Middlesex NC in Johnston County, NC

[brunota2003]

Here's the link to the NWS forcast for her area, I dont think she has to worry about poweroutages... But you never know, all it takes is ONE tree...: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/ifps/MapClick.p ... C&site=RAH

[Marilyn]

on how far inland widespread power outages are likely in NC because of Ophelia??? Thanks in advance.

I am wondering the same thing we are 62 miles from wilmington NC Tropical force winds extend out 160 miles if she gets close really close if not hit Wilmington then we can expect anything between 39 and 74 mph winds i think that may be enough for power outage. it only takes one tree in the right spot to cause lights out . How far are you from the coast?

I am about 115 miles from Wilmington. Middlesex NC in Johnston County, NC

You can get some winds also. i went to noaa and typed in my zip code we are now under a tropical storm warning here in bladen county I am hoping we do not lose our electic, but I am ready if we do.

[dekeoy]

NC Gal,

Three of my next doors neighbors just left headed to Johnston Co. (They are students and their parents wanted them home for the storm). I told them that if some of the models hold true, it could be havoc trying to get back by the time classes started back Thrusday or Friday, (Probably Monday IMO). Even if it skims the coast here, I think you could count on some wind, and like two others have said, One tree equals ????? without power.

[NCHurricane]

on how far inland widespread power outages are likely in NC because of Ophelia??? Thanks in advance.

Try this link out: Potential Impact

From http://hurricane.methaz.org/

[ncbird]

Alot will depend on how strong it is and where it makes landfall, when it recurves to the NE, and how fast it is moving. 24+ hours of T.S. force winds are going to be able to bring down more tree's than one where you have maybe 8 to 10 hours of wind. Even getting some good gusty wind for such an extended period can bring down an already weak tree.

[Lowpressure]

Alot will depend on how strong it is and where it makes landfall, when it recurves to the NE, and how fast it is moving. 24+ hours of T.S. force winds are going to be able to bring down more tree's than one where you have maybe 8 to 10 hours of wind. Even getting some good gusty wind for such an extended period can bring down an already weak tree.

Saturated tree roots play a role as well when you start talking prolonged events.

[Brent]

You only need a good 45 mph gust to get power outages... those could be well inland. I had power outages from a much weaker Frances 250 miles inland from her Panhandle landfall point.

[NCWeatherChic]

on how far inland widespread power outages are likely in NC because of Ophelia??? Thanks in advance.

I am wondering the same thing we are 62 miles from wilmington NC Tropical force winds extend out 160 miles if she gets close really close if not hit Wilmington then we can expect anything between 39 and 74 mph winds i think that may be enough for power outage. it only takes one tree in the right spot to cause lights out . How far are you from the coast?

I am about 115 miles from Wilmington. Middlesex NC in Johnston County, NC

NCGal, you are closer than 115 miles to Wilmington. I also live in Johnston Co. (Benson). You are probably referring to driving miles, that's different than actual distance between point A and point B. "As a crow flies" I am 88 miles from Wilmington. You are 110 miles, but sometimes that 5 miles can make a difference, especially with a storm at your back door.

[NC George]

In my opinion, there is a narrow corridor of potential tree damage in NC. The extreme eastern part of the state had all the limbs blown down in Isabel. The Central part had a couple of ice storms in the past few years, so that should have taken care of most of the weak limbs in that part of the state. Along and east of I-95, W of US 17, there hasn't been a branch clearing storm since Floyd.

[NCWeatherChic]

In my opinion, there is a narrow corridor of potential tree damage in NC. The extreme eastern part of the state had all the limbs blown down in Isabel. The Central part had a couple of ice storms in the past few years, so that should have taken care of most of the weak limbs in that part of the state. Along and east of I-95, W of US 17, there hasn't been a branch clearing storm since Floyd.

I somewhat agree. With Floyd our grounds were already deeply saturated therefore flooding occurred as well as trees in general fell over, roots and all. This time is somewhat different, the ground is dry, so it Ophelia may not knock over entire tree's but brittle bone dry limbs could fall easily with minimal sustained or gusting winds. Regardless, be prepared for loss of power. You can stock up on food, water, batteries etc. Not like it can't be used later if you end up not having any problems. Since NCGal lives in Middlesex, she may not have been affected nearly as bad as Raleigh and points to the West with the ice storms you mentioned. I know I wasn't but I worked in Raleigh and my office was closed. So from county to county with snow, sleet, rain, ice it can certainly vary.

[NCWeatherChic]

BTW, I'm not familiar with Ayden, NC. I have heard it mentioned but not sure of it's location, but I wanted to add that for us here in Johnston Co. when Isabelle was a threat, it was just a breezy, maybe a few gusts here and there and some rain. The storms that I can remember affected us the most would be Hugo, Fran and Floyd. (As in winds, outages, flooding and damage) But that's only in my lifetime and I still consider myself a "Spring Chicken".

[NCWeatherChic]

I wanted to add that my weather station picked up a wind gust at 27mph today but othewise it just breezy. Tonight I can hear my neighbors tin on her horse barn rattling when the wind blows. I know the barometric pressure has been crazy here since last Friday starting with falling, then rising on Sunday and then rising this morning and back to falling now. I wish it would rain at least, just not hard, just a light soaking rain. My garden needs it and my lawn has been brown patches now. Another observation, is the eery quiet today. I didn't hear the birds chirping like usual, only heard crows. It gets like this everytime a storm is coming, like the calm before the storm. Funny how animals have senses for such things and know to seek cover. Two neighbors have horses and I watched them today all gathering close to their stalls instead of the normal grazing throughout the pastures. They do this everytime a storm is very close. Too bad my crayfish ate my weather loach. You learn the hard way, never put crayfish in the tank with anything else other than other crayfish.

[ncbird]

I hate to do any comparison with Isabel with this system. The most resent system I could find that could be used to compare with this one, was Kyle (Sept./Oct. 2002). Came up from the south , make land fall near Long Beach, NC as a 35K T.S. and followed our Coastline north. Had some flooding in Smithfield from it and a tornado touched down in Johnston County that did some damage. Not sure what county Ayden is in, but I have the NC weather and damage reports for kyle at

http://www.nctropics.com/html/kyle.html

[NC1955]

http://hurricane.methaz.org/
nice site thanks for the link

[gotoman38]

on how far inland widespread power outages are likely in NC because of Ophelia??? Thanks in advance.

Try this link out: Potential Impact

From http://hurricane.methaz.org/

Awesome link!