Where Is The Carolina Contingency?

[UpTheCreek]

Mandatory evacuation issued for Oak Island NC begining at 6a.m. Tues. I couldn't believe this when I heard it as I don't believe this has ever happened for a T.S. / Cat 1. I confirmed it with the O.I. P.D. Maybe an over-reaction to what happened in N.O.???

Perhaps they are worried about it moving so slow. I have been hearing alot of comments from our local mets as to us being in T.S. force winds for over 24 hours.

Very true.....if there is 24 hours (or even more) of good wind pushing that sound water up the rivers and creeks, we're bound to get some flooding.

[brunota2003]

Here's a list for y'all:

Closings and Delays:

Craven County Schools - start regular time Tuesday, close early at 11:30 a.m.

YAY!!! I get a half day, at least we dont have to make that one up...!!!

Any school updates yet?

[CentralFlGal]

Poking my head in here with ya'll Carolina folk just to say be safe. Ophelia sure has been a strange storm!

[intricate]

Hmmm...

I guess I'm the only that's from the Triad area. It is BONE dry up here. Does anybody think we'll get half of a sprinkle up this way?

[Three Blind Mice]

New Hanover Schools closed Tuesday!

[orion]

Orion,

Where are you hearing this? I just got back from a local fire department meeting, and heard that schools were canceled so that they could be used for shelters if needed (for folks from Down East, flooding). Not saying that voluntary evacuations are not happening, but thought I would have heard something.

Robert

The school information was given to us here in Carteret County (where I teach)... and the evacuation info was from channel 7 news and their person they have in Atlantic Beach talking to the mayor and the fire chief (I think it was the chief) there.

[lurkey]

According to the local news here in Raleigh, Bladen County Schools, Pender County Schools and UNCW are closed Tuesday.

[ncbird]

Closings and Delays according to WITN

Arapahoe Charter School- dismissing at 12:30 Tuesday.

Carteret County Schools - closed Tuesday.

Carteret Community College- no classes Tuesday.

Coastal Carolina Community College in Jacksonville - closed for day classes Tuesday.

Craven County Schools - start regular time Tuesday, close early at 11:30 a.m.

Duplin County Schools- closed Tuesday.

John Carr Disabled Veterans Resource Center, closed Tuesday & Wednesday.

Jones County Schools- dismissing 11:30 am Tuesday.

Onslow County Courthouse - closed Tuesday and Wednesday.

Onslow County Schools - closed Tuesday for staff and students.

Onslow County United Transit System-closed Tuesday.

Pamlico County Schools- dismissing at 12:30pm Tuesday. Afterschool childcare programs at Pamlico Primary will remain open.

Pamlico Community College- closing at 3 p.m. Tuesday

[NC1955]

Hurricane Warning now posted for carteret, craven, onslow, pender

[NCHurricane]

Code: Select all

TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1115 PM EDT MON SEP 12 2005

...OUTER RAINBANDS REACHING THE COAST AS OPHELIA CONTINUES SLOWLY
NORTHWESTWARD...

...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE WARNINGS NOW POSTED FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER IN SOUTH
CAROLINA TO SURF CITY IN NORTH CAROLINA.

AT 11 PM EDT THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.9 WEST...OR ABOUT 155 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHEAST OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA OR ABOUT 140 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF MYRTLE BEACH. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 990 MB OR
29.23 INCHES.
 
OPHELIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH. A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OPHELIA
HAS THE POTENTIAL TO REGAIN HURRICANE STRENGTH DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK TAKES THE CENTER OF OPHELIA JUST EAST OF
THE CAPE FEAR REGION EARLY WEDNESDAY AT ITS CLOSEST APPROACH...
BEFORE POTENTIALLY MAKING LANDFALL IN THE CAPE LOOKOUT VICINITY
LATER THAT DAY. THIS TRAJECTORY WOULD BRING THE SUSTAINED HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS ALONG THE EAST FACING BEACHES BETWEEN SUNSET BEACH
AND SURF CITY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

DUE TO THE ERRATIC BEHAVIOR OF OPHELIA MOVEMENT...THE OFFICIAL
FORECAST TRACK WILL CONTINUE TO BE SUBJECT TO CHANGES.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE NOW POSTED FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER IN SOUTH
CAROLINA TO SURF CITY IN NORTH CAROLINA. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM
WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR ROBESON...BLADEN...COLUMBUS...DILLON
AND MARION COUNTIES. A FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR BLADEN...
PENDER...COLUMBUS...BRUNSWICK...NEW HANOVER AND HORRY COUNTIES
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT IS FOR RESIDENTS OF THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN
NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...GEORGETOWN...HORRY...MARION AND DILLON
AND IN SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...BRUNSWICK...NEW HANOVER...
PENDER...COLUMBUS...BLADEN AND ROBESON.

...WIND IMPACTS...
SUSTAINED NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT...WILL
CONTINUE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS OVERNIGHT. ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
COAST...PENDER...NEW HANOVER AND BRUNSWICK COUNTIES WILL OBSERVE
SUSTAINED NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH...WITH A FEW GUSTS TO
AROUND 40 MPH. ACROSS HORRY AND GEORGETOWN COUNTIES...NORTHERLY
WINDS WILL RUN 15 TO 25 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH.

BASED ON THE LATEST TRACK...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WILL OVERSPREAD THE COASTAL WATERS OVERNIGHT...REACHING THE
IMMEDIATE COAST IN THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. SUSTAINED 55 MPH
WINDS WILL POTENTIALLY BE FELT ALONG COASTAL SOUTHEAST NORTH
CAROLINA TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
ALONG THE IMMEDIATE BEACHES BETWEEN SUNSET BEACH AND SURF CITY.

...SEAS AND RIP CURRENTS...
LONG PERIOD SEAS OF 10 TO 14 FEET CONTINUE ACROSS THE COASTAL
WATERS. AT OPHELIA CLOSEST APPROACH LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...
SEAS WILL FURTHER BUILD TO 18 FEET...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE WATERS
WHERE THE CENTER OF OPHELIA PASSES NEARBY. MARINERS ARE URGED TO
REMAIN IN PORT.

ACCOMPANYING THE VERY ROUGH AND LARGE SURF WILL BE STRONG LONG SHORE
CURRENTS AND STRONG RIP CURRENTS. AS A RESULT...PEOPLE ARE URGED
TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
WATER LEVELS ALONG THE ENTIRE STRETCH OF COASTLINE WILL RUN 1 TO 2
FEET ABOVE PREDICTED ASTRONOMICAL TIDES OVERNIGHT. AT THE TIME OF
HIGH TIDE...3 AM TUESDAY...MINOR TIDAL FLOODING ACROSS FLOOD
PRONE LOCATIONS CAN BE EXPECTED. THIS WILL INCLUDE THE NORTH END OF
CAROLINA BEACH...AND ROADWAYS BORDERING MARSHES AND SOUNDS.

...HIGH SURF/BEACH EROSION IMPACTS...
MODERATE BEACH EROSION WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT ALONG AREA BEACHES
OVERNIGHT. THE EAST FACING BEACHES WILL BE MOST VULNERABLE...
ESPECIALLY ACROSS PENDER AND NEW HANOVER COUNTIES...AND BALD HEAD
ISLAND. STRONG RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
 
...RAINFALL...
OUTER RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH OPHELIA WILL OCCASIONALLY MOVE
ONSHORE TONIGHT ALONG THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF SOUTH AND NORTH
CAROLINA. SOME OF THE RAIN BANDS MAY ACTUALLY MOVE IN TO THE INLAND
COUNTIES AS WELL. THESE BANDS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING UP TO 2
INCHES OF RAIN IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME.

BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS
EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. COASTAL SECTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
NORTH CAROLINA COULD SEE 4 TO 6 INCHES OF TOTAL RAINFALL...WITH
ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES. NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA 2 TO 5
INCHES. LOCATIONS FARTHER INLAND WILL HAVE CONSIDERABLY LESS
RAINFALL. 

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PEOPLE IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO PREPARE FOR THE
STORM. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED BY NOW. FOR THE LATEST STORM
AND PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION VISIT WEATHER.GOV/ILM

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA AROUND 330 AM.

$$

MAC

[ncbird]

Thought I would pass on the link for the Electonic Storm Atlas. It has county surge maps for 21 NC coastal counties.

http://hurricanetrack.com/ncstormsurge/comaps.html

[Three Blind Mice]

The Big "O" seems to be getting it together this morning! Sure hope this doesn't continue.

[Okibeach]

The Big "O" seems to be getting it together this morning! Sure hope this doesn't continue.

Looks like it could be a long ride.

[Robert]

Orion,

Where are you hearing this? I just got back from a local fire department meeting, and heard that schools were canceled so that they could be used for shelters if needed (for folks from Down East, flooding). Not saying that voluntary evacuations are not happening, but thought I would have heard something.

Robert

The school information was given to us here in Carteret County (where I teach)... and the evacuation info was from channel 7 news and their person they have in Atlantic Beach talking to the mayor and the fire chief (I think it was the chief) there.

Yes, after writing I saw it on the 11:00 pm news, but they certainly do not seem to be making a big deal out of it (have not heard it from anybody except on the news). I would imagine (like most storms) they are suggesting evacuation of anyone on Bogue Banks, low areas and those in moble homes.

This morning is really nice. Still feels cooler then normal. We did get some really hard rain last night, but the highest gust I had was about 16 mph (this is a little blocked by some trees, but fairly open on my roof). In the past few days I have had gusts of 25-30 mph. But we will see what the next few days bring...

Robert

[RU4REAL]

heard Mr Avilia (spelling sorry about that) with the NHC say this morning on talk radio that the "O" may sit on us for 24 hours.

[weatherwoman]

looks like we will be getting hit hard for 24 hours here in carteret co, the eye is suppose to come in over somewhere between emerald isle and atlantic beach we'll see all you cartert co folks bunker down and get ready, oh yea i was at the end of the sportmans pier last nite and the waves were kicking

[orion]

Yes, after writing I saw it on the 11:00 pm news, but they certainly do not seem to be making a big deal out of it (have not heard it from anybody except on the news). I would imagine (like most storms) they are suggesting evacuation of anyone on Bogue Banks, low areas and those in moble homes.

This morning is really nice. Still feels cooler then normal. We did get some really hard rain last night, but the highest gust I had was about 16 mph (this is a little blocked by some trees, but fairly open on my roof). In the past few days I have had gusts of 25-30 mph. But we will see what the next few days bring...

Robert

Hey Robert... yeah, actually it is pretty warm out there now when the sun is out. I think we are gonna get the winds around 10am or so tomorrow and not letting up much till thursday... which is gonna push a whole lotta water around in down east carteret county. The kids I teach live to cedar island, atlantic, sea level, etc... many just finished rebuilding after losing everything in Isabel.

looks like we will be getting hit hard for 24 hours here in carteret co, the eye is suppose to come in over somewhere between emerald isle and atlantic beach we'll see all you cartert co folks bunker down and get ready, oh yea i was at the end of the sportmans pier last nite and the waves were kicking

Hi weatherwoman... i was out on the pier last night too. I just came from across the causeway over in atlantic beach... the kite store there has a pretty decent weather station... winds were staying around 20-22 mph and really not many gusts at all yet.

[NCECOM]

A couple cameras on Hatteras Island that might interest some of you.

http://www.darenc.com/webcam/

[Robert]

The kids I teach live to cedar island, atlantic, sea level, etc... many just finished rebuilding after losing everything in Isabel.
.

If memory serves right, Isabel came in over Atlantic Beach, or just to the East of there, and I heard about all the flooding down east. I didn't get down that way for another maybe 6 months, and there will still piles and piles of trash in front of every house. I am worried that this might be a similar set up.

Really I am worried about everything East of Beaufort (including Okracoke). I am not sure what the highest elevation is out there, but can not imagine there is much over 8 or 10 feet above sea level. One thing is sure, if I lived out there, I would not be staying. Just no place to go to get to higher ground.

Robert

[OuterBanker]

Dare Co schools closed at 12. Mandatory evac for Hatteras Island but NOT the northern beaches. This has already caused problems here because the Hampton Roads stations stated mandatory Dare County evacs. without the Hatteras Island statement. If she does stay on the TPC course the eye will pass right over Nags Head so no doubt there will be an evac here, just a matter of time.

Staying right here, we are a good 800 feet from the ocean and my first floor is a whopping 9.2 ft (around nine feet one and a three quater inches) msl.