Where Is The Carolina Contingency?

[GaryOBX]

Hey OuterBanker...

Word is that Dare County Emergency Management is not planning to meet again unless something drastic happens... I'm guessing an increase in winds (which, IMO, has already happened) or a change in course.

The person I spoke with seemed pretty confident that there would be no evacuations north of Oregon Inlet.

[Three Blind Mice]

We are in the soup at 5PM. Like a light switch went off, here comes the rain and winds(light but gusty)

[shaggy]

going to be a rough day or 2 for us now saying up to 15 inches of rain in isolated spots and thats a ton of rain!

[NC George]

Just heard on local news all of Hyde County mandatory evacuation. Transportation provided for those in need (we do things right in NC!)

[shaggy]

hey george i am just up the road a ways and its weird that at the time of closest approch she will only be 32 miles SE of me with 64knt wind profiles saying she will have those winds 30M and 50 knt winds out to 50M to the NW but NWS is only calling for winds in the mid 40's with higher gusts here!

[ncbird]

Well my husband, our 3 dogs, our parrot, and I have moved to our safer place (Live in a mobil home and just don't feel safe staying there). Have things all set up here. Have desk top computer set up and generator is ready to go if we loose electric. Also have laptop with both batteries fully charged just in case. Should be able to stay connected as long as we don't loose phones. Plenty of water and food, and extra propane for the grill. Radio, flashlights, and extra batteries... Think we all set. Maybe a little too prepared (if you can ever be too much of that), but at least we safe and could go for a couple weeks if needed.

Hope everyone is staying safe....

NCBird

[GaryOBX]

In Currituck County, an mandatory evacuation for Carova starting at 6AM Wednesday. No paved roads... just 4-wheel drive access in Carova.

[NC George]

hey george i am just up the road a ways and its weird that at the time of closest approch she will only be 32 miles SE of me with 64knt wind profiles saying she will have those winds 30M and 50 knt winds out to 50M to the NW but NWS is only calling for winds in the mid 40's with higher gusts here!

It's those gusts you have to watch out for! I work in Greenville (lived there for many years, too, just rent is cheaper in Ayden, and they don't mind my ~15 cars.)

How's this for a coincedence: In August 1999, my Audi was totalled in a rear end collision. A few days later slow moving Cat 1 Dennis filled us up to maximum safe capacity with water, then Floyd flooded us. Here it is in 2005. My Audi was just totalled in a rear end collision last Thursday. A few days later a slow moving Cat 1 will dump a lot of rain on us, more than likely filling us up to maximum safe capacity...

How far is this parallel chain of events going to continue?

[shaggy]

hey george i am just up the road a ways and its weird that at the time of closest approch she will only be 32 miles SE of me with 64knt wind profiles saying she will have those winds 30M and 50 knt winds out to 50M to the NW but NWS is only calling for winds in the mid 40's with higher gusts here!

It's those gusts you have to watch out for! I work in Greenville (lived there for many years, too, just rent is cheaper in Ayden, and they don't mind my ~15 cars.)

How's this for a coincedence: In August 1999, my Audi was totalled in a rear end collision. A few days later slow moving Cat 1 Dennis filled us up to maximum safe capacity with water, then Floyd flooded us. Here it is in 2005. My Audi was just totalled in a rear end collision last Thursday. A few days later a slow moving Cat 1 will dump a lot of rain on us, more than likely filling us up to maximum safe capacity...

How far is this parallel chain of events going to continue?

as a fellow pitt county resident i am asking you to please not get in anymore wrecks as 1) they can be hazardous to your health and 2) you seem to bring us bad weather when you do!!!!!!

[brunota2003]

hey george i am just up the road a ways and its weird that at the time of closest approch she will only be 32 miles SE of me with 64knt wind profiles saying she will have those winds 30M and 50 knt winds out to 50M to the NW but NWS is only calling for winds in the mid 40's with higher gusts here!

It's those gusts you have to watch out for! I work in Greenville (lived there for many years, too, just rent is cheaper in Ayden, and they don't mind my ~15 cars.)

How's this for a coincedence: In August 1999, my Audi was totalled in a rear end collision. A few days later slow moving Cat 1 Dennis filled us up to maximum safe capacity with water, then Floyd flooded us. Here it is in 2005. My Audi was just totalled in a rear end collision last Thursday. A few days later a slow moving Cat 1 will dump a lot of rain on us, more than likely filling us up to maximum safe capacity...

How far is this parallel chain of events going to continue?

yea, could 95L be our next "Floyd"... YOU NEED TO STOP GETTING INTO REAR END COLLISIONS...

[huricanwatcher]

hey george i am just up the road a ways and its weird that at the time of closest approch she will only be 32 miles SE of me with 64knt wind profiles saying she will have those winds 30M and 50 knt winds out to 50M to the NW but NWS is only calling for winds in the mid 40's with higher gusts here!

It's those gusts you have to watch out for! I work in Greenville (lived there for many years, too, just rent is cheaper in Ayden, and they don't mind my ~15 cars.)

How's this for a coincedence: In August 1999, my Audi was totalled in a rear end collision. A few days later slow moving Cat 1 Dennis filled us up to maximum safe capacity with water, then Floyd flooded us. Here it is in 2005. My Audi was just totalled in a rear end collision last Thursday. A few days later a slow moving Cat 1 will dump a lot of rain on us, more than likely filling us up to maximum safe capacity...

How far is this parallel chain of events going to continue?

yea, could 95L be our next "Floyd"...

hush!!!!

[beachbummer]

Ocean Isle Beach resident here...(mainland). Friend staying at Oak Island...they under mandatory evac. Hunkered down with supplies praying for the best. Rain is heavy and steady, windy but no major gusts at this point. Some streets pooling water. Most of Islands mandatory evac's because of bridge closings.

Gonna be a loooooong night.

[Okibeach]

Ocean Isle Beach resident here...(mainland). Friend staying at Oak Island...they under mandatory evac. Hunkered down with supplies praying for the best. Rain is heavy and steady, windy but no major gusts at this point. Some streets pooling water. Most of Islands mandatory evac's because of bridge closings.

Gonna be a loooooong night.

Everything going well on this side as well, I decided to stay on the island. I think they are just trying to cover all their bases with the evacs, I know it surprised me when they issued it. Dont know if it has ever been done for a cat1 before. I'm in a real good area away from the shore so not too worried except for how long the wind may last once it gets going.

[Robert]

Ocean Isle Beach resident here...(mainland). Friend staying at Oak Island...they under mandatory evac. Hunkered down with supplies praying for the best. Rain is heavy and steady, windy but no major gusts at this point. Some streets pooling water. Most of Islands mandatory evac's because of bridge closings.

Gonna be a loooooong night.

Everything going well on this side as well, I decided to stay on the island. I think they are just trying to cover all their bases with the evacs, I know it surprised me when they issued it. Dont know if it has ever been done for a cat1 before. I'm in a real good area away from the shore so not too worried except for how long the wind may last once it gets going.

I was talking to the EMS director for Carteret County earlier tonight and he said that the problem with this storm (apart from the flooding) is going to be the extended length of the wind. Most hurricanes go through in, say, about 10 hours. They are expecting tropical storm winds for maybe 36 hours (and maybe hurricane for at least a few hours). Some trees (and buildings) might be able to hold up for 10 hours, but might not hold up for 36 hours. They are expecting the winds to arrive around 5:00 tomorrow morning here, so I think tomorrow night is going to be the long night.

And I did break down today and put up a few storm shutters. I made them for my house when I built the house about 1.5 years ago. They are made of plywood, but go up really pretty fast (all set with fasteners and such). I didn't bother with the whole house, but did our master bedroom and bathroom, which at least gives us two rooms in the house with no exposed windows. I was not going to put up any, but as I drove around today there were a fair number of places boarding up, so I figured I would also do a bit.

Robert

[shaggy]

not sure what to expect this far inland with the current track but i am on graveyard shift this week and have to work from 11pm till 730am.With the center just off to my SE tomorrow night i am not sure if they will close the plant or not.it has been standard policy for them to say "if you can make it the plant will be open" they say this so they do not have to pay you if you do not show up whereas if they shut the plant they would.

This was a big problem during floyd because one of the workers died trying to cross a swollen creek just a 1/4 mile from my parents house while trying to go into to work!We watched as the state troopers on one side looked for him while we looked on the other didn't find him till the water went down after 2 weeks!

[GaryOBX]

Dare County Emergency Management
Bulletin Number: 7
Date/Time: 9/13/2005 5:28:58 PM

5:00 p.m. Update for September 13, 2005

At 5:00 p.m. today, Hurricane Ophelia was located approximately 110 miles south of Wilmington NC and was moving North/Northwest at approximately 4 m.p.h. All areas in Dare County are now under a Hurricane Watch and a Tropical Storm Warning.

The mandatory evacuation for Hatteras Island remains in effect. Residents and visitors who have not yet evacuated in the villages of Rodanthe, Waves, Salvo, Avon, Frisco, Buxton and Hatteras Village are encouraged to make final preparations and leave the area during daylight hours. There are no Red Cross approved shelters in Dare County. A shelter has opened at Bienvenue Elementary School located at 2700 Nicademus Mile Road in Rocky Mount, NC. This is just off Highway 64 East at the Winstead Avenue exit.

If evacuating, do not leave pets behind. The Dare County Animal Shelter (475-5620) has a list of pet friendly lodging in NC and Virginia. Public health regulations do not allow pets in public shelters.

Access to Dare County is not restricted and bridges leading to the Outer Banks are not scheduled to close unless gale force winds become a factor late Wednesday or Thursday. Gale force winds are expected to reach southern portions of Dare County at 6:00 a.m. Wednesday and are expected to remain for up to 24 hours.

As the storm passes through, significant soundside flooding is expected. Residents and visitors in low lying areas are encouraged to take necessary precautions to protect themselves and their property. This includes securing all outdoor items, including propane tanks. Construction sites should also be secured. Mobile homes are particularly vulnerable to high winds. If you live in a mobile home, plan to relocate. Secure all outdoor objects and check tie-downs.

Should a staged re-entry procedure be implemented after the storm passes, a valid Dare County driver’s license or Dare County tax receipt, as well as re-entry stickers, will suffice for re-entry identification. No re-entry permits are being issued by Dare County Emergency Management at this time.

Dare County Public Works has suspended garbage collection for Thursday, September 15. This includes service for Kitty Hawk, Colington, Buxton, Frisco, and Hatteras Village. The regular trash schedule will resume on Friday, September 16, conditions permitting.

The public is asked to limit 911 calls to emergency situations only.

There are no restrictions on the sale of alcohol in Dare County at this time.

Health Department and Department of Social Services staff have notified their clients in the evacuation area with special health needs to make transportation and shelter arrangements so that the two departments can continue attending to each person’s needs in a safer location. Any residents or concerned family members of residents with special needs wishing more information or help should call the Department of Social Services at (252) 475-5500.

Dare County Schools north of Oregon Inlet (i.e., all schools except Cape Hatteras Schools) will operate as regularly scheduled for Wednesday, September 14. This means that school will dismiss for staff development at 1:00 p.m. as previously announced. Cape Hatteras Schools will be closed on Wednesday. School officials will make an announcement concerning school operations on Thursday when weather updates are received on Wednesday.

Dare County Offices will be operating on a regular schedule on Wednesday, September 14.

Wright Brothers National Memorial and Fort Raleigh National Historic Site are closed. Cape Hatteras National Seashore is closed, including campgrounds and beach driving.

Ocracoke Island is under a mandatory evacuation.

All public use/recreational activities at Pea Island National Wildlife Refuge on Hatteras Island are suspended until the storm passes and damage assessments completed. This includes the visitor center, walking trails and beaches. For Alligator River National Wildlife Refuge, all Farm Unit recreational activities closed, including roads, from September 14, 12:00 p.m. until further notice.

The North Carolina Division of Forest Resources asks that everyone be extremely careful with all fires due to the high winds and very dry conditions currently being experienced on the Outer Banks. Over the weekend there have been numerous wildfires statewide. For more information on prevention of forest resources contact Jamie Dunbar, Dare County Forrester with the NC Division of Forest Resources at 252-473-2531.

IMPORTANT CONTACT INFORMATION

Dare County Emergency Management 475-5655 or http://www.darenc.com
NC Ferry Division, call 1-800-BY-FERRY or visit http://www.ncferry.org.
Evacuation and Re-entry Information 1-877-629-4386 or http://www.darenc.com
Dominion NC Power 1888-667-3000 or http://www.dom.com
Cape Hatteras Electric 1-866-511-9862 or 995-5616, http://www.capehatteras-ec.com
Tideland Electric (Mainland) 1-800-637-1079 or 252-943-3046 or http://www.tidelandemc.com
NC Road Conditions 1-877-DOT-4YOU or http://www.ncsmartlink.org

[Okibeach]

Ocean Isle Beach resident here...(mainland). Friend staying at Oak Island...they under mandatory evac. Hunkered down with supplies praying for the best. Rain is heavy and steady, windy but no major gusts at this point. Some streets pooling water. Most of Islands mandatory evac's because of bridge closings.

Gonna be a loooooong night.

Everything going well on this side as well, I decided to stay on the island. I think they are just trying to cover all their bases with the evacs, I know it surprised me when they issued it. Dont know if it has ever been done for a cat1 before. I'm in a real good area away from the shore so not too worried except for how long the wind may last once it gets going.

I was talking to the EMS director for Carteret County earlier tonight and he said that the problem with this storm (apart from the flooding) is going to be the extended length of the wind. Most hurricanes go through in, say, about 10 hours. They are expecting tropical storm winds for maybe 36 hours (and maybe hurricane for at least a few hours). Some trees (and buildings) might be able to hold up for 10 hours, but might not hold up for 36 hours. They are expecting the winds to arrive around 5:00 tomorrow morning here, so I think tomorrow night is going to be the long night.

And I did break down today and put up a few storm shutters. I made them for my house when I built the house about 1.5 years ago. They are made of plywood, but go up really pretty fast (all set with fasteners and such). I didn't bother with the whole house, but did our master bedroom and bathroom, which at least gives us two rooms in the house with no exposed windows. I was not going to put up any, but as I drove around today there were a fair number of places boarding up, so I figured I would also do a bit.

Robert

Yeah, I kinda figured the speed was at least one factor. They just didn't really say why directly, which led to a little confusion. Seems most people here are hurricane vetrans so they seem to be able to get their act together pretty quick when given the word anyway.

[NCHurricane]

Newport/Morehead City HLS:

Code: Select all

753
WTUS82 KMHX 140357
HLSMHX

AMZ130-135-150-152-154-156-158-NCZ045>047-080-081-093>095-098-103-104
-141000-

HURRICANE OPHELIA LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
1156 PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2005

...HURRICANE WARNING FROM OREGON INLET SOUTH...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH FROM OREGON INLET
NORTH...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT IS FOR RESIDENTS OF THE FOLLOWING AREAS:
CARTERET...WASHINGTON...TYRRELL...CRAVEN...BEAUFORT...DARE...HYDE...
PAMLICO...ONSLOW...OUTER BANKS DARE...AND OUTER BANKS HYDE COUNTIES.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST FROM
OREGON INLET SOUTH...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR OREGON INLET
NORTH...INCLUDING THE ALBEMARLE SOUND.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT DESTRUCTIVE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR HIGHER
AND DANGEROUSLY HIGH TIDES CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT WINDS OF 39 TO
73 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.0 WEST OR ABOUT 115 MILES EAST OF
CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA...AND 110 MILES SOUTH OF WILMINGTON NORTH
CAROLINA.

OPHELIA HAS BEEN STATIONARY FOR THE PAST FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...A SLOW
NORTHWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO RESUME OVERNIGHT. STEERING CURRENTS
REMAIN WEAK...SO AN ERRATIC MOTION IS LIKELY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OPHELIA
IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME
INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THERE IS A MANDATORY EVACUATION FOR ALL NON-RESIDENTS ON OCRACOKE
ISLAND. A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL VISITORS AND
RESIDENTS OF THE HATTERAS ISLAND AREA OF DARE COUNTY. THIS
EVACUATION DOES NOT APPLY FOR AREAS NORTH OF OREGON INLET.

A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT FOR PEOPLE LIVING IN LOW LYING
AREAS AND MOBILE HOMES IN ONSLOW COUNTY.

IN BEAUFORT COUNTY...A MANDATORY EVACUATION IS IN EFFECT FOR LOW
LYING COMMUNITIES ALONG WHICHARDS BEACH ROAD. A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION
IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR LOW LYING AREAS IN THE
BELHAVEN...AURORA...WASHINGTON...WASHINGTON PARK...AND PAMLICO BEACH
COMMUNITIES.

PEOPLE IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD HAVE THEIR PREPARATIONS COMPLETED
TO MINIMIZE PROPERTY LOSSES AND PERSONAL RISK.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
STORM SURGE FROM OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO BE 4 TO 5 FEET ALONG ONSLOW
COUNTY BEACHES...BOGUE BANKS...AND FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO CAPE
HATTERAS. IN ONSLOW AND CARTERET COUNTIES...THE HIGHEST SURGE WILL
LIKELY OCCUR WEDNESDAY EVENING...ESPECIALLY AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH
TIDE OF 5 PM. THE HIGHEST SURGE ON THE OUTER BANKS WILL LIKELY BE
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE
NEAR 5 AM. 

STORM SURGE IN THE LOWER PAMLICO SOUND AND THE NEUSE RIVER WILL BE
AROUND 6 TO 8 FEET. THE HIGHEST SURGES WILL BE IN EASTERN CRAVEN
COUNTY AROUND CLUB FOOT CREEK AND ADAMS CREEK.

STORM SURGE IN THE PAMLICO RIVER COULD REACH 7 TO 9 FEET. STORM
SURGE IN THE PUNGO RIVER AND IN HYDE COUNTY WILL BE AROUND 5 FEET.
STORM SURGE IN THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE ALBEMARLE SOUND WILL BE
AROUND 3 FEET WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING. THE NORTHERN
OUTER BANKS NORTH OF OREGON INLET WILL GET STORM SURGES UP TO 4 FEET
THURSDAY MORNING.

...WIND IMPACTS...
WINDS OFFSHORE WERE 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND SEAS WERE 8 TO 12 FEET. WINDS
AND SEAS WILL BUILD TONIGHT. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD STAY IN PORT.

...FLOODING IMPACTS...
HEAVY RAINS WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA LATE TONIGHT...AND SPREAD NORTH
DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY WITH
ISOLATED AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES. THE HEAVY RAINS WILL RESULT IN
LOCALIZED FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS.

...TORNADO IMPACTS...
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF TORNADOES...MAINLY IN THE RAINBANDS OF
OPHELIA.   

...RIP CURRENT IMPACTS...
THERE IS A HIGH THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG AREA BEACHES DUE TO
A LONG PERIOD SWELL FROM OPHELIA.

...HIGH SURF/BEACH EROSION IMPACTS...
SURF WILL BUILD WEDNESDAY AS OPHELIA APPROACHES. BREAKING WAVES OF 8
TO 10 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE PRODUCING MODERATE BEACH EROSION.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE AROUND 6AM.

$$

CGG

Chuck
http://www.nchurricane.com

[NCHurricane]

Wilmington HLS:

Code: Select all

968
WTUS82 KILM 140353 AAA
HLSILM
AMZ250-252-254-256-NCZ097-099>101-SCZ032>034-039-046-140730-

HURRICANE OPHELIA LOCAL STATEMENT...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1153 PM EDT TUE SEP 13 2005

...INLAND WARNINGS CANCELLED FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN SOUTH
CAROLINA...
...OPHELIA NEARLY STATIONARY WITH STRONG RAINBANDS JUST OFFSHORE...

...NEW INFORMATION...
INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THREE
COUNTIES IN NORTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA: FLORENCE...MARION...AND
WILLIAMSBURG. THE NEWEST PROJECTIONS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER DO NOT BRING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS INTO THESE COUNTIES.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.0 WEST OR ABOUT 110 MILES SOUTH
OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 80 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MYRTLE
BEACH. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 982 MB OR 29.00
INCHES.

OPHELIA HAS BEEN STATIONARY FOR THE PAST FEW HOURS...HOWEVER...A
SLOW NORTHWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO RESUME OVERNIGHT.
HOWEVER...STEERING CURRENTS REMAIN WEAK...AND AN ERRATIC MOTION IS
LIKELY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OPHELIA
IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.  SOME
INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  50 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES.  BECAUSE OF THE SLOW MOTION OF THE HURRICANE AND THE
RELATIVELY LARGE EXTENT OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...THE HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS WILL REACH THE COAST WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CENTER.
 
THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK TAKES THE BROAD CENTER OF OPHELIA WITHIN
25 TO 30 MILES OF THE CAPE FEAR COAST AT ITS CLOSEST APPROACH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. 

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
HURRICANE WARNINGS EXTEND FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER IN SOUTH CAROLINA
TO SURF CITY IN NORTH CAROLINA...AND INCLUDE THE COUNTIES OF
GEORGETOWN...HORRY...BRUNSWICK...NEW HANOVER AND PENDER.

A FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR BLADEN...PENDER...COLUMBUS...
BRUNSWICK...NEW HANOVER AND HORRY COUNTIES THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT IS FOR RESIDENTS OF THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN
NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...GEORGETOWN AND HORRY. AND IN SOUTHEAST
NORTH CAROLINA...BRUNSWICK...NEW HANOVER...PENDER...COLUMBUS...AND
BLADEN.

...WIND IMPACTS...
BASED ON THE LATEST TRACK...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
CONTINUE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS OVER LONG BAY...AND WILL REACH THE
IMMEDIATE COAST AROUND MIDNIGHT...THEN SPREAD FARTHER INLAND WELL
AFTER MIDNIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL AFFECT THE COASTAL WATERS
OF LONG BAY...OR AREAS SOUTH OF CAPE FEAR AFTER MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE
INTO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL AFFECT THE
COASTAL WATERS OF ONSLOW BAY NORTH OF CAPE FEAR FROM MID WEDNESDAY
MORNING INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING.

...SEAS AND RIP CURRENTS...
LONG PERIOD SWELLS WILL COMBINE WITH LOCALLY DRIVEN WIND WAVES TO
PRODUCE SEAS OF 11 TO 17 FEET ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS. AT OPHELIAS
CLOSEST APPROACH LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...SEAS WILL FURTHER
BUILD TO 13 TO 20 FEET. MARINERS ARE URGED TO REMAIN IN PORT.

THE LARGE SURF COMBINED WITH THE STRONG WINDS...WILL CREATE STRONG
LONG SHORE CURRENTS AND RIP CURRENTS. AS A RESULT...PEOPLE ARE URGED
TO STAY OUT OF THE WATER.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
WATER LEVELS ALONG NEW HANOVER...PENDER...HORRY AND GEORGETOWN
COUNTIES WILL RUN 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE PREDICTED ASTRONOMICAL TIDES
TONIGHT. ALONG THE SOUTH FACING BEACHES OF BRUNSWICK THE TIDES ARE
RUNNING 2 TO 2.5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL. 

DURING THE NEXT HIGH TIDE...AROUND 430 AM WEDNESDAY...MINOR TIDAL
FLOODING ACROSS FLOOD PRONE LOCATIONS CAN BE EXPECTED. THIS WILL
INCLUDE THE NORTH END OF CAROLINA BEACH...AND ROADWAYS BORDERING
MARSHES AND SOUNDS.

STORM SURGE FROM CAPE FEAR NORTHWARD...COULD RISE TO 5 TO 6 FEET
WEDNESDAY DURING OPHELIAS CLOSEST APPROACH. IN BRUNSWICK ALONG THE
SOUTH FACING BEACHES THE SURGE WILL BE 3 TO 4 FEET AND ALONG THE
EAST SIDE OF BALD HEAD ISLAND BETWEEN 6 AND 6.5 FEET.

FOR THE LATEST STORM AND FLOOD INFORMATION VISIT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC AT WEATHER.GOV/ILM

...HIGH SURF/BEACH EROSION IMPACTS...
BUILDING SURF CONDITIONS WILL AFFECT THE COAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
WITH 7 TO 10 FOOT BREAKERS NORTH OF CAPE FEAR...AND 4 TO 8 FEET
SOUTH OF THE CAPE.

MODERATE TO MAJOR BEACH EROSION WILL CONTINUE ACROSS AREA BEACHES
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE EAST FACING BEACHES WILL BE MOST
VULNERABLE...MAINLY ACROSS PENDER AND NEW HANOVER COUNTIES...AND
BALD HEAD ISLAND. BEACHES SOUTH OF CAPE FEAR...WILL SEE A NORTHERLY
PREVAILING WIND. THIS WILL AID IN KNOCKING DOWN THE SURF...ENOUGH TO
KEEP EROSION IN THE SLIGHT TO MODERATE CATEGORIES. 
 
...RAINFALL...
THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. COASTAL
SECTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA COULD SEE WIDESPREAD 5 TO 10
INCHES OF TOTAL RAINFALL...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS. RAINFALL
TOTALS ACROSS COASTAL NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA COULD SEE 4 TO 8
INCHES. LOCATIONS FARTHER INLAND...ESPECIALLY WEST OF I-95...WILL
RECEIVE CONSIDERABLY LESS RAINFALL.   

...TORNADO IMPACTS...
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT...MAINLY ACROSS COASTAL
AREAS OF SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA AROUND 330 AM.

$$

TRA

Chuck
http://www.nchurricane.com

[huricanwatcher]

bump to check on everyone...