Invest 96L,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

[skysummit]

I do believe we have a new invest.....96L!

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_ho ... s&DISPLAY=

[Brent]

I was just wondering about that... I'm interested to see what the tropical models show as far as future tracks.

[SouthFloridawx]

yippy skippy lol!!

[HURAKAN]

HERE WE GO!!!

[Praxus]

I'm assuming this is the system north of Puerto Rico ?

[jamima]

getting busy again!

[skysummit]

I'm assuming this is the system north of Puerto Rico ?

It should be...I guess we'll see when they're finished updating their site.

[calculatedrisk]

http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/tropical/atlantic/models/05091621
INVEST (AL962005) ON 20050916 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050916 1800 050917 0600 050917 1800 050918 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 20.9N 62.9W 21.4N 64.1W 21.9N 65.2W 22.3N 66.3W
BAMM 20.9N 62.9W 21.4N 64.7W 21.9N 66.4W 22.4N 68.0W
A98E 20.9N 62.9W 21.3N 63.9W 21.4N 65.1W 21.7N 66.4W
LBAR 20.9N 62.9W 21.2N 63.9W 21.7N 64.9W 22.5N 65.9W
SHIP 25KTS 33KTS 42KTS 50KTS
DSHP 25KTS 33KTS 42KTS 50KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050918 1800 050919 1800 050920 1800 050921 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 22.8N 67.5W 23.3N 69.8W 23.4N 72.4W 23.9N 74.0W
BAMM 22.9N 69.5W 23.3N 72.3W 22.9N 75.6W 22.2N 78.2W
A98E 22.2N 68.0W 22.4N 72.0W 22.3N 76.2W 21.4N 79.3W
LBAR 23.6N 66.6W 25.6N 67.2W 27.8N 67.4W 31.3N 66.3W
SHIP 58KTS 67KTS 73KTS 76KTS
DSHP 58KTS 67KTS 73KTS 76KTS

[SkeetoBite]

[skysummit]

Ewwww......I don't like those models.

[skysummit]

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/archdat/trop ... N-629W.jpg

[SouthFloridawx]

thanks skeeto

[Windy]

Holy heck has this year been incredible.

I know that's not much of a post, but really -- I can't get over this year. I never expected to see a year like this in my lifetime.

[cajungal]

Our local meterlogist said if anything was to develop and get in the gulf, it would likely stay to our south and possible head to Mexico. And not be a concern for the gulf coast. Bob Breck will probably be back out with his vipir model if something develops.

[gboudx]

Our local meterlogist said if anything was to develop and get in the gulf, it would likely stay to our south and possible head to Mexico. And not be a concern for the gulf coast. Bob Breck will probably be back out with his vipir model if something develops.

Which local met? The guys in WWL were just as wrong as Breck with Katrina, this far out.

[cajungal]

Our local meterlogist said if anything was to develop and get in the gulf, it would likely stay to our south and possible head to Mexico. And not be a concern for the gulf coast. Bob Breck will probably be back out with his vipir model if something develops.

Which local met? The guys in WWL were just as wrong as Breck with Katrina, this far out.

Channel 4 New Orleans and channel 8 Bob Breck. Bob Breck is baaaaaaaaaaack!!!!!!!!

[JTD]

The VIPIR model is actually the BAMM model, btw

[Deb321]

Holy heck has this year been incredible.

I know that's not much of a post, but really -- I can't get over this year. I never expected to see a year like this in my lifetime.

I agree wow after last year I didn't think it could get much worse boy was I wrong! Kinda makes me wonder what surprises still to come?

[skysummit]

Of course that's what they're saying. That's exactly what they said for Katrina. I remember WWL saying that the high will protect us and it will likely head into Mexico if it go in the gulf, and Bob saying "this is NOT a gulf storm!" according to his Vipir.

[thunderchief]

the models do develope and maintain a large high over the gulf. Of course the models do lose a lot of accuracy in the long range period...