Tropical Depression 18,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #1 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sat Sep 17, 2005 9:30 pm

http://tcweb.fnmoc.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home.cgi

Wow!

#2 Postby **Portastorm** » Sat Sep 17, 2005 9:30 pm

Ugh ... I have a bad feeling about this ...

#3 Postby **skysummit** » Sat Sep 17, 2005 9:33 pm

Wow....a brand new depression and already hurricance watches for the Bahamas. Rita is not far away.

cinlfla · #4 Postby **cinlfla** » Sat Sep 17, 2005 9:33 pm

Bad link

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #5 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sat Sep 17, 2005 9:34 pm

The link works...Rita wow the 17th named storm soon enough. 8-)

MzShell · #6 Postby **MzShell** » Sat Sep 17, 2005 9:36 pm

Whoa...they're just popping up back to back. Hope this isnt GOM bound.

jkt21787 · #7 Postby **jkt21787** » Sat Sep 17, 2005 9:38 pm

MzShell wrote:Whoa...they're just popping up back to back. Hope this isnt GOM bound.

This one is.

Website · #8 Postby **Brent** » Sat Sep 17, 2005 9:38 pm

Near Key West as a hurricane Tuesday Evening...

*makes more coffee*

cinlfla · #9 Postby **cinlfla** » Sat Sep 17, 2005 9:38 pm

ok it just me link is working now sorry about that.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #10 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sat Sep 17, 2005 9:39 pm

That Energy that made all those Eastern Pacific systems is heading into the Atlantic. It is going to make a run at 1933 now.

#11 Postby **LAwxrgal** » Sat Sep 17, 2005 9:51 pm

Oh geez. Can we get any break?

#12 Postby **MWatkins** » Sat Sep 17, 2005 9:52 pm

I am glad they are getting out in front of this...this could be another Bahama Boomer...but with a better synoptic environment to work with than Katrina had east of Florida.

Goint to be a close call...I think the Fl straights is the best place to look right now and then a merciful westward track into the Gulf...hopefully the same high that has been keeping new orleans dry does the job here as well...but that is a long way out right now.

There isn't much deep convection yet but the cloud pattern is impressive...and I am concerned about that upper low running out in front...it could really help get this system going in a hurry.

Residents of the Bahamas...Cuba...and Southern Florida should dust off the old hurricane plans and get what they need in the next day or 2...tonight even would be a good idea. After all that has happened recently...the stores will be a madhouse after the media gets hold of this.

MW

#13 Postby **Canelaw99** » Sat Sep 17, 2005 9:55 pm

I agree with ya....we're planning on filling up the cars tomorrow. We still have water left, but will probably pick up some ice tomorrow since we should be able to find it. Food wise, we're pretty ok, but will probably stock up on the basics, just in case, tomorrow as well. Once this gets out, Publix will be a zoo!

#14 Postby **LAwxrgal** » Sat Sep 17, 2005 9:56 pm

MWatkins wrote:I am glad they are getting out in front of this...this could be another Bahama Boomer...but with a better synoptic environment to work with than Katrina had east of Florida.

MW

Mike, I always respect what you have to say.

That being said, "Bahama Boomer" -- no kidding. The Bahamas (unfortunately) have been a hotbed for tropical activity this season...they've now become notorious as the "Birthplace of Katrina". I agree with you that soon-to-be Rita could actually boom while IN the Bahamas instead of after when you-know-who did.

Needless to say, the soon-to-be Rita now has my attention.

Recurve · #15 Postby **Recurve** » Sat Sep 17, 2005 9:56 pm

Just looked at the GFDL link posted in the previous invest model thread -- 138 knots just south of the Keys?

Is the windspeed at 950 Hpa considered to reach the ground?

Kinda concerned now, a half-degree bump north and I'm in a terrible flood situation.

#16 Postby **LAwxrgal** » Sat Sep 17, 2005 10:00 pm

Recurve wrote:Just looked at the GFDL link posted in the previous invest model thread -- 138 knots just south of the Keys?

Is the windspeed at 950 Hpa considered to reach the ground?

Kinda concerned now, a half-degree bump north and I'm in a terrible flood situation.

GFDL has been bullish with intensity...then again, it nailed Katrina. I'll keep my eyes peeled for this one, even while we're recovering.

ConvergenceZone · #17 Postby **ConvergenceZone** » Sat Sep 17, 2005 10:02 pm

Looks like they got this one pegged for Northern Mexico based on the 5 day track below.

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr ... _5day.html

jkt21787 · #18 Postby **jkt21787** » Sat Sep 17, 2005 10:03 pm

ConvergenceZone wrote:Looks like they got this one pegged for Northern Mexico based on the 5 day track below.

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr ... _5day.html

TX is as much of a threat now as Mexico, IMO.

gilbert88 · #19 Postby **gilbert88** » Sat Sep 17, 2005 10:05 pm

ConvergenceZone wrote:Looks like they got this one pegged for Northern Mexico based on the 5 day track below.

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr ... _5day.html

Woohoo, seems like it won't bother anyone. :roll:

ConvergenceZone · #20 Postby **ConvergenceZone** » Sat Sep 17, 2005 10:07 pm

gilbert88 wrote:
ConvergenceZone wrote:Looks like they got this one pegged for Northern Mexico based on the 5 day track below.

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr ... _5day.html

Woohoo, seems like it won't bother anyone.

If that's what you want to believe.

Tropical Depression 18,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

Tropical Depression 18,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

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