Texas Safe Again....Perfect Timing with Ridge

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cctxhurricanewatcher
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#41 Postby cctxhurricanewatcher » Sat Sep 17, 2005 4:54 pm

ROCK wrote:
Portastorm wrote:Given how thinly stretched our state disaster resources are right now in dealing with Katrina, I shudder to think of the consequences should a strong cyclone threaten Texas.

:eek:



good point but remember Texas doesnt have a major city sitting below sea level on the coast. Not to downplay it by no means but the effects would not be as severe as Kat.


Just think how high gas prices will go again if their is a strong threat from Corpus to the Texas-LA stateline with all of the energy concerns in those areas? If the threat becomes real. we should start seeing the energy specualtors start cashing in start Monday or Tuesday.
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#42 Postby jasons2k » Sat Sep 17, 2005 4:57 pm

skysummit wrote:There are also thousands and thousands of evacuees in the Houston area. Where would the evacuees evacuate to?


Exactly, and not only that, but where will all the Texas evacuees go?? Our own shelters are all FULL.
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#43 Postby Portastorm » Sat Sep 17, 2005 4:59 pm

skysummit wrote:There are also thousands and thousands of evacuees in the Houston area. Where would the evacuees evacuate to?


This is my point folks ... as it is, I'm down in Houston right now trying to figure out where we are housing all of these folks. Not that we ever need a hurricane to hit Texas ... but if there was ever a time when a hurricane strike would be devastating ... it is now, when so much of our resources are focused on dealing with evacuees from Katrina.

I realize this is all premature ... but if these models start to pan out by mid-week, planning for such contingencies will be paramount.
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#44 Postby NastyCat4 » Sat Sep 17, 2005 6:10 pm

I think Texas better be vigilant--Invest 96 has the potential to be a low tracker, and could easily go West in the Gulf. Saying Texas is off the hook is being naive. It is equivalent to painting a target on Florida's back for every Invest and TD---naive.
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#45 Postby hicksta » Sat Sep 17, 2005 8:52 pm

Seen the past model runs???
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#46 Postby thunderchief » Sat Sep 17, 2005 9:25 pm

ya, the GFDL sure doesnt think that texas is safe.
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#47 Postby KatDaddy » Sat Sep 17, 2005 10:06 pm

I dont like what I am seeing tonight. I know its been 22 years since Alicia and this is tied with the longest timeframe between major canes on the Upper TX Coast. Lets just say I will watch the developments very very close. I think I will hold off on my ridge comments and hope like hell we are not visited.
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#48 Postby Stratosphere747 » Sat Sep 17, 2005 10:09 pm

KatDaddy wrote:I dont like what I am seeing tonight. I know its been 22 years since Alicia and this is tied with the longest timeframe between major canes on the Upper TX Coast. Lets just say I will watch the developments very very close. I think I will hold off on my ridge comments and hope like hell we are not visited.


Might think about changing the title of this thread....;)
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#49 Postby Brent » Sat Sep 17, 2005 10:10 pm

So... how do you like your crow? :lol:
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#50 Postby KatDaddy » Sat Sep 17, 2005 10:14 pm

Not with a Cane :x
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#51 Postby timNms » Sat Sep 17, 2005 10:30 pm

In my opinion, anyone living along the gulf coast from Texas to Florida should keep an eye on this one. Models will shift back and forth for the next few days.
Personally, I hope this one goes anywhere but here. Almost a week without running water, or ice, and two weeks without electricity is quite enough for me. I never have been the kind who liked camping out :eek:
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#52 Postby KatDaddy » Sat Sep 17, 2005 10:34 pm

As extreme as it sounds I hope it comes to TX rather than you guys have to deal with another tropical threat. You have been through more than I can ever imagine.

I cannot even imagine what its been like. This has been a hell of a season along the Culf Coast.
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#53 Postby ROCK » Sat Sep 17, 2005 10:43 pm

KatDaddy wrote:I dont like what I am seeing tonight. I know its been 22 years since Alicia and this is tied with the longest timeframe between major canes on the Upper TX Coast. Lets just say I will watch the developments very very close. I think I will hold off on my ridge comments and hope like hell we are not visited.


Come on Kat...stick to your guns man... :lol: I have seen the latest dynamic runs but last I checked the globals still have it MX or extreme STX with the GFDL being farther north. Locals METS saying Corpus south needs to pay CLOSE attention. Couple of more days we should have a better handle on the strength of the ridge then track....
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#54 Postby timNms » Sat Sep 17, 2005 10:43 pm

KatDaddy wrote:As extreme as it sounds I hope it comes to TX rather than you guys have to deal with another tropical threat. You have been through more than I can ever imagine.

I cannot even imagine what its been like. This has been a hell of a season along the Culf Coast.


I wouldn't wish anything like Katrina on my worst enemy. Our area, 90 miles inland took a major beating from her. Rural areas such as the one I live in have been through hell for almost three weeks.

I realize that New Orleans got it bad with the flooding, but it appears that Mississippi has been forgotten. There are places that used to exist before the storm that have been competely wiped off the map. Families lives have been changed forever!!

In rural areas here, we didn't see help from outside sources until Saturday following the storm. Had it not been for neighbor helping neighbor, a lot of lives would have been lost! Had it not been for residents of small communities, our roadways would still be blocked by trees and powerlines...we've YET to see a county machine in this area.

The sad thing is, there are still people in this area who have no running water or electricity. It's sickening to see people on TV living in shelters complaining that they are not getting a handout, complaining about what they have when there are others who have NO HELP.
I gotta get off this thing before my blood pressure rises lol.
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#55 Postby Galvestongirl » Sat Sep 17, 2005 10:47 pm

I am sticking to my guns, I dont believe the upper texas coast will see a cane this year. I have no prob eating crow, I just really belive our season is pretty much a wrap. NOT saying that one WILL absolutly not come here, because there has been some in the past, but it is a rare event. I just believe that once the cool fronts start making their way down, we close up.
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#56 Postby CronkPSU » Sat Sep 17, 2005 10:50 pm

<img src="http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/~vigh/guidance/atlantic/early1.png">
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#57 Postby ROCK » Sat Sep 17, 2005 10:52 pm

Galvestongirl wrote:I am sticking to my guns, I dont believe the upper texas coast will see a cane this year. I have no prob eating crow, I just really belive our season is pretty much a wrap. NOT saying that one WILL absolutly not come here, because there has been some in the past, but it is a rare event. I just believe that once the cool fronts start making their way down, we close up.


cool front?? when??where?? it was 97 today with a heat index of 105 :lol:
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cctxhurricanewatcher
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#58 Postby cctxhurricanewatcher » Sat Sep 17, 2005 10:58 pm

Why do I have a sick feeling in my gut right now about this depression?

I wish we could skip the rest of September, get the first cool front down here by the first week of October. Then our threat for all purposes is done for this season.

I can't stand it! :cry:
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#59 Postby southerngale » Sat Sep 17, 2005 11:04 pm

ROCK wrote:
Galvestongirl wrote:I am sticking to my guns, I dont believe the upper texas coast will see a cane this year. I have no prob eating crow, I just really belive our season is pretty much a wrap. NOT saying that one WILL absolutly not come here, because there has been some in the past, but it is a rare event. I just believe that once the cool fronts start making their way down, we close up.


cool front?? when??where?? it was 97 today with a heat index of 105 :lol:


No kidding!! Where ARE the cold fronts? It's freaking hot!
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#60 Postby Brent » Sat Sep 17, 2005 11:07 pm

southerngale wrote:No kidding!! Where ARE the cold fronts? It's freaking hot!


and DRY! Had all that rain in June/July/Early August, and since Katrina, NOTHING. :grr:
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