South Fla. preparations

Recurve · #1 Postby **Recurve** » Sat Sep 17, 2005 10:07 pm

Starting a thread for preparation discussion, questions about public and official actions -- not track speculation about TD 18

Local NWS advising watching closely; storm warnings are posted in the Bahamas. Contribute if you have information about your area.

Right now, it looks like if we have to evacuate, it would be Monday. I'm concerned about flooding here only if a strong storm is passing through the Keys; we may have to secure boats but will be prepared for TS winds.

This is the annual poker run weekend in the Keys, an estimated 15,000 motorcycle enthusiasts are in Key West and heading north to the mainland tomorrow (good thing).

#2 Postby **Canelaw99** » Sat Sep 17, 2005 10:11 pm

Haven't heard anything up here yet, but haven't watched the news yet as I'm watching football :wink:

We'll fill up the cars tomorrow, etc., but that's probably as much as we will do. I don't foresee us having to evac. because we are safe up to a Cat. 2. Will keep ya updated if I hear something new.

Recurve · #3 Postby **Recurve** » Sat Sep 17, 2005 10:19 pm

Hey Canelaw, I'm just south of you, Key Largo.

I see Florida up on Tenn 4th qtr. I'm watching the Higher Ground relief concert on PBS and the game.

Because this storm may threaten Key West more than the upper Keys, I expect Billy Wagner to jump on this tomorrow and maybe evacuate tourists. There isn't a lot of time on this one.

I saw one scary model, I'm checking Derek's forecast in the analysis form and the discussion thread here.
We all know to be more vigilant after Katrina.

NBC 6 local weather showed a Cat 1 cane over Key West on Monday night, but mostly said "keep an eye on it"

#4 Postby **Canelaw99** » Sat Sep 17, 2005 10:23 pm

We weren't here for Katrina - were in Puerto Rico so we missed all that fun :roll:

I'm expecting the local officials and media to get all over this by in the morning. It'll be interesting to see where it ends up though because some models are taking it through the middle and lower Keys while some are bringing it further up this way. Either way, I'll prepare for a good party LOL No, we'll get ready, just in case, but will monitor, as usual

scostorms · #5 Postby **scostorms** » Sat Sep 17, 2005 10:26 pm

Special Weather Statement
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1041 PM EDT SAT SEP 17 2005

AMZ630-FLZ063-066>075-180800-
BISCAYNE BAY-GLADES-HENDRY-PALM BEACH WESTERN-PALM BEACH EASTERN-
WESTERN COLLIER-EASTERN COLLIER-WESTERN BROWARD-
BROWARD METROPOLITAN-WESTERN DADE-DADE METROPOLITAN-
MAINLAND MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOORE HAVEN...CLEWISTON...LA BELLE...
BIG CYPRESS SEMINOLE RESERVATION...BELLE GLADE...
WEST PALM BEACH...NAPLES...IMMOKALEE...
MICCOSUKEE INDIAN RESERVATION...FORT LAUDERDALE...SHARK VALLEY...
MIAMI...FLAMINGO
1041 PM EDT SAT SEP 17 2005

...INTERESTS IN SOUTH FLORIDA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN...

THE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED TONIGHT AND IS NOW TROPICAL DEPRESSION
18. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH. THIS SYSTEM IS
FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE FLORIDA STRAITS FROM LATE MONDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY. ITS EFFECTS ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA ARE YET
UNCERTAIN BUT RESIDENTS ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA ARE ADVISED TO
MONITOR STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AND THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN MIAMI IN CASE WATCHES OR
WARNINGS BECOME NECESSARY LATER ON SUNDAY. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST
TO REACH HURRICANE INTENSITY AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE STRAITS.

#6 Postby **THead** » Sat Sep 17, 2005 10:30 pm

I'm going to get enough food and water to last until FEMA would get here, I hope I have enough room to store it all..........
:wink:

Seriously, I wouldn't be evacuating, even on a Cat 5(I'm not just talking about TD 18, or saying it would be a Cat 5). I'm about 7 miles inland, 2nd floor of a high rise building built back in the 70's, solid. I have a very safe room in the place, the kitchen, which is a good 30 feet from the nearest window, with 2 walls between the nearest windows (closet wall and kitchen wall) and has a door, and the other wall is up against an enclosed hallway in the building. We'd have to seriously unlucky not to survive in there.

Recurve · #7 Postby **Recurve** » Sat Sep 17, 2005 10:37 pm

I'm gonna get an axe.

#8 Postby **WeatherEmperor** » Sat Sep 17, 2005 10:39 pm

Recurve wrote:I'm gonna get an axe.

lol what for?

<RICKY>

Recurve · #9 Postby **Recurve** » Sat Sep 17, 2005 10:44 pm

Ricky -- So I can chop through my roof if the water gets too high.

Seriously, I'll leave if I have time and it's strengthening, but these close ones make it hard to decide.

Scorpion · #10 Postby **Scorpion** » Sat Sep 17, 2005 10:47 pm

Im watching it, but probably too far north to get in on the action.

#11 Postby **pavelbure224** » Sat Sep 17, 2005 10:49 pm

David Bernard from wfor will be doing updates all day on sunday

gtalum · #12 Postby **gtalum** » Sat Sep 17, 2005 10:50 pm

I keep an axe too.

in my case, it's because I'm paranoid of fire when I have plywood up and thu shave only one way out fo the house. I want to be able to bust out through a plywooded up window.

#13 Postby **WeatherEmperor** » Sat Sep 17, 2005 10:50 pm

Recurve wrote:Ricky -- So I can chop through my roof if the water gets too high.

Seriously, I'll leave if I have time and it's strengthening, but these close ones make it hard to decide.

yeah i see your point. in the 11pm discussion, Stewart mentioned that it would be totally possible if TD18 became a strong Cat2 hurricane before impacts on south florida.

<RICKY>

#14 Postby **HurricaneQueen** » Sat Sep 17, 2005 11:13 pm

Yikes on Stewart!

Our local met (a new and weekend relief one) was quite bullish on this having an impact on the Naples/Marco Island area. She expects that by the time it is near our location (late Monday into Tuesday), it will be Hurricane Rita unless she gets sheared.

Because this station was doing the news later than the other locals after the GATORS WIN, they had more current info. (I flipped over to see what the others were saying but they were still vague) Will be anxious to see what the a.m.brings.

Lynn

jax · #15 Postby **jax** » Sat Sep 17, 2005 11:48 pm

starting to look more and more like another GOM'er

#16 Postby **HURAKAN** » Sun Sep 18, 2005 12:30 am

Here in my house today we will begin to take all the necessary preparations. I hope this system doesn't go much farther than what I experienced in Katrina.

jax · #17 Postby **jax** » Sun Sep 18, 2005 12:31 am

HURAKAN wrote:Here in my house today we will begin to take all the necessary preparations. I hope this system doesn't go much farther than what I experienced in Katrina.

umm, yeah... yeah, me to.

Recurve · #18 Postby **Recurve** » Sun Sep 18, 2005 1:05 am

Katrina in FL was right close to as much as I ever want to see in a storm.

Tomorrow is looking like my day to gas up, top off supplies, and maybe screw down some of the shutters.

weatherwindow · #19 Postby **weatherwindow** » Sun Sep 18, 2005 2:25 am

Recurve wrote:Katrina in FL was right close to as much as I ever want to see in a storm......well i do believe that things will get nuts in cayo hueso this morning....knowing billy i would guess that he will cut into the tourists' festivities sometime this afternoon. never got the shutters put away after katrina, so up they go..... today the weather channel will be the channel of choice at the schooner wharf.............rich

Tomorrow is looking like my day to gas up, top off supplies, and maybe screw down some of the shutters.

Scorpion · #20 Postby **Scorpion** » Sun Sep 18, 2005 7:27 am

I don't think anyone should prepare just yet. Its still a 25 kt TD and the GFDL has backed off significantly. Also its still about 4-5 days away.

South Fla. preparations

South Fla. preparations

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