Texas Threat for TD 18?

[logybogy]

A slight jog north and Brownsville and the Corpus Christi area is threatened. A NW shift if the ridge weakens and Houston has major problems.

[loon]

for a real good time watch the 06Z GFDL run and watch the "CAN NO TAKE ANOTHER HIT" threads ensue. This is going to be one insane week on the boards....

http://bricker.met.psu.edu/~arnottj/cgi-bin/gfdltc2.cgi?time=2005091806-eighteen18l&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation


cheers,
loon

[logybogy]

That looks like a Houston hit!!!!

Man, those poor New Orleans people. 200,000 of them are in Houston. Someone must have put a voodoo hex on them. They are cursed!

[KatDaddy]

That is scary indeed.

[wxmann_91]

The latest NHC track bends northward at 120 hr.

[inotherwords]

11 a.m. model map:

http://www.skeetobiteweather.com/picser ... p?t=m&m=18

Looks like anywhere on the TX coastline at this point.

[KatDaddy]

We dont want it at all. Soon to be Rita will become another powerhouse of a storm.

[inotherwords]

We dont want it at all. Soon to be Rita will become another powerhouse of a storm.

Not necessarily.

http://www.skeetobiteweather.com/picser ... p?t=t&m=18

I know intensity is hard to predict and the GOM is very warm but you never know. We'll have to wait and see. I don't think we can conclude at this point it will be another Katrina. Let's hope not.

[logybogy]

One good thing about the Texas coast unlike Florida is there are plenty of "gaps" for it to hit that are nothing but cattle and farm land.

Like Brett from a few years ago...it was a Cat 4 and hit in farmland and ranches. Bothered nobody but the cows.

[inotherwords]

One good thing about the Texas coast unlike Florida is there are plenty of "gaps" for it to hit that are nothing but cattle and farm land.

Like Brett from a few years ago...it was a Cat 4 and hit in farmland and ranches. Bothered nobody but the cows.

Right, this is why FL hits now are so much worse today than they were in the 20s-40s. We have so many more people living right on the coast.

Are you in Houston? I was there for Alicia in 1983.

[logybogy]

Nope, but I am familiar with the area. Have a lot of friends there.

[ROCK]

One good thing about the Texas coast unlike Florida is there are plenty of "gaps" for it to hit that are nothing but cattle and farm land.

Like Brett from a few years ago...it was a Cat 4 and hit in farmland and ranches. Bothered nobody but the cows.

hey cows are people too......

[KatDaddy]

Yes I was here for Alicia in 83. Our last major hit and that was enough to last me forever. Sustained winds 80G100MPH was more than enough.

[inotherwords]

Yes I was here for Alicia in 83. Our last major hit and that was enough to last me forever. Sustained winds 80G100MPH was more than enough.

I remember that. I was so young and naive back then, thought it was no big deal when it was on the way and was shocked at how big of a deal it ended up being. I lived in a ground floor of a 3 story apartment on the west end of town. I remember it hit us near midnight. I watched the trees in the yard bend over at 90 degrees, generators exploding all around. The eye came over and a few minutes later I saw the trees bending 90 degrees the other way. It was so creepy because I could feel our whole building swaying, even on the ground floor. I only was without power for 24 hours but I remember my friends who lived inside the loop were without for 3 weeks in that horrible Houston heat and humidity.

[Houstonia]

Yes I was here for Alicia in 83. Our last major hit and that was enough to last me forever. Sustained winds 80G100MPH was more than enough.

Alicia was my first hurricane ever, and I am in no hurry to experience another one. There was not too much pleasant about it at all, including being out of power for two weeks afterwards.

Let's all hope and/or pray that Rita is an old lady with not much air in her lungs. She can be a little bit of a crybaby, but no BAWLING!

[inotherwords]

I am not sure if I remember this correctly, but didn't Alicia form right offshore and hit within something like 24 hours as a Cat 3?

Remembering Alicia is particularly sad for me because my beloved grandmother called me from FL the next day to make sure I was OK (unlike me, she knew about hurricanes and what they could do.) Two days later she died of a heart attack. I still tear up thinking about it. I really miss her.

[Houstonia]

I am not sure if I remember this correctly, but didn't Alicia form right offshore and hit within something like 24 hours as a Cat 3?

Remembering Alicia is particularly sad for me because my beloved grandmother called me from FL the next day to make sure I was OK (unlike me, she knew about hurricanes and what they could do.) Two days later she died of a heart attack. I still tear up thinking about it. I really miss her.

It blew up VERY quickly - something like 72 hours or maybe the 24 you mention. It's a good thing it didn't get stronger, as Houston/Galveston certainly didn't ahve time to evacuate.

[Swimdude]

1. I LOVE the fact that this thread is right next to the one that says, "TEXAS SAFE AGAIN."

2. All Houstonians, including myself, are people I disagree with.

3. I'd like to think that the 'big guy upstairs' knows that New Orleans is practically living in Houston right now, and that a hurricane for us in Houston would be absolutely horrible.

[Swimdude]

Yes I was here for Alicia in 83. Our last major hit and that was enough to last me forever. Sustained winds 80G100MPH was more than enough.

I remember that. I was so young and naive back then, thought it was no big deal when it was on the way and was shocked at how big of a deal it ended up being. I lived in a ground floor of a 3 story apartment on the west end of town. I remember it hit us near midnight. I watched the trees in the yard bend over at 90 degrees, generators exploding all around. The eye came over and a few minutes later I saw the trees bending 90 degrees the other way. It was so creepy because I could feel our whole building swaying, even on the ground floor. I only was without power for 24 hours but I remember my friends who lived inside the loop were without for 3 weeks in that horrible Houston heat and humidity.

Ooook that's frightening... I live in West Houston. I guess i'm a bit different than you, but so close to the same... I'm not naive about the damage a storm can do... But i've been wanting to experience one since age 9.

Yikes... =/

[mvtrucking]

for a real good time watch the 06Z GFDL run and watch the "CAN NO TAKE ANOTHER HIT" threads ensue. This is going to be one insane week on the boards....

http://bricker.met.psu.edu/~arnottj/cgi-bin/gfdltc2.cgi?time=2005091806-eighteen18l&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation


cheers,
loon

If a track like that happened,it could put NOLA on the east side of a storm.
Not good no matter how you look at it. I hope this system just heads into Mexico.(heck, they don't need it either, but the gulf coast can't get hit again.)